DaculaWeather Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Good question. After reading the AFD this morning you would have thought it would be a decent day for rain. Maybe in 3-4 hours? I give up trying to figure it out. I guess they really didn't have a clue either: HOWEVER...STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY ON LOCATION...INTENSITY AND DURATION OFCONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...SO SOME AREASEAST OF THE WATCH COULD STILL SEE PERIODS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Good question. After reading the AFD this morning you would have thought it would be a decent day for rain. Maybe in 3-4 hours? I give up trying to figure it out. I guess they really didn't have a clue either: HOWEVER... STILL MUCH UNCERTAINTY ON LOCATION...INTENSITY AND DURATION OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...SO SOME AREAS EAST OF THE WATCH COULD STILL SEE PERIODS OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. Do they ever have a clue on forecasting rain in the summer months ? From June to August there's really no point in even looking at the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Wonder where all that heavy rain we are supposed to get is coming from ? Don't see any headed our way. Starting to think the Flash Flood Watch was unnecessary. FFC is calling for widespread 1-3" amounts with locally more. Probably should have said widespread .1-.3". Do they ever have a clue on forecasting rain in the summer months ? From June to August there's really no point in even looking at the forecast. I thought you would have learned your lesson about bashing FFC after the last few days when you mocked their forecasts and southern GA ended up getting hammered. The forecast says through Monday on the totals and the FFW was hoisted likely for antecedent conditions. It won't take much to start a flash flood around here. You really should just stop trolling FFC. I don't think there are many posters on here who appreciate your eeyore like attitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I thought you would have learned your lesson about bashing FFC after the last few days when you mocked their forecasts and southern GA ended up getting hammered. The forecast says through Monday on the totals and the FFW was hoisted likely for antecedent conditions. It won't take much to start a flash flood around here. You really should just stop trolling FFC. I don't think there are many posters on here who appreciate your eeyore like attitude. They are starting to realize that they were a little bullish on their rainfall forecast amounts. It went from widespread 1-3" to 1-2" possible. Flash Flood Watch expires in less than 5 hours which says to me that most of the flooding concern should be over with by this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I believe the bands of heavy rain in the FL panhandle are expected to head into the FFW area later today/evening. .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...PRIMARY CONCERNS FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WILL BE WHERE MODERATETO HEAVY RAIN AXIS SETS UP AND WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE WITH THEFLASH FLOOD WATCH AS A RESULT. AFTER A WET START TO THEDAY...ACTIVITY HAS DWINDLED FOR THE MOST PART WITH JUST SOMEPASSING SHOWERS THROUGH THE ATLANTA METRO NOW HEADING INTONORTHEAST GEORGIA. FOCUS NOW SHIFTS TO THE SOUTHEAST WHERE LOCALWRF AND HRRR HAVE BEEN BEEN HONING IN ON WITH THUNDERSTORMSDEVELOPING NICELY OVER THE FAR SOUTHEAST AT THIS HOUR. SPC SREFSHOWS INSTABILITY INCREASING AS WARM FRONT EASES NORTHWARD WITHAREAS AROUND TOOMBS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES SHOWING IN EXCESS OF1000 J/KG OF AVAILABLE CAPE. WOULD EXPECT A LINE OF SHOWERS ANDSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA AND PROGRESS TOWARD MACON LATER THISAFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY COULD FORM AHEADOF THIS AS WELL IN THE MORE UNSTABLE SECTION FROM COLUMBUS TO JUST SOUTH OF ATHENS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Well, the sun ;has been out here a good bit since morning, so I'm hoping some heating might entice some moisture over here. It's summmer, and all you can hope for, usually, is for some of the rain that forms, to fall over you. I've been getting missed a lot, but one of these days I'll get hit, and I hope it's today. Can't forecast for that....just have to say the signs are propiticious. A good thumping can make up for a lot of ills, and compared to many recent summers I'm swimming in rain, lol. And even though I picked up an inch while places with in a short range were getting 5 inches, if was gentle, soaked in, a constant dripping, a cad, in Aug, and 60's, and no mosquito's. It's like paradise around here Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 That line of passing showers brought me 0.02"!! WooHOOOOO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 They are starting to realize that they were a little bullish on their rainfall forecast amounts. It went from widespread 1-3" to 1-2" possible. Flash Flood Watch expires in less than 5 hours which says to me that most of the flooding concern should be over with by this evening.We received the heaviest rain down here after the flash flood watches were dropped. Not saying this is what will happen up there.We just picked up a 0.23 in 4 minutes. Winds were easily gusting up 40+mph. Sunny now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 They are starting to realize that they were a little bullish on their rainfall forecast amounts. It went from widespread 1-3" to 1-2" possible. Flash Flood Watch expires in less than 5 hours which says to me that most of the flooding concern should be over with by this evening.Please just stop... Ill take the opinion of educated meteorologists over an armchair quarterback 10 times out of 10. Wrong once again... Radar trends are troublesome and the NWS feels there is a threat. Even if we don't see flash flooding in the watch area it is good to have it posted.FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 403 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013 GAZ001>007-011>013-019>021-030>033-041>046-052>058-066>071- 078>083-089>096-102>110-191200- /O.EXT.KFFC.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-130819T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-CHATTOOGA- GORDON-PICKENS-FLOYD-BARTOW-CHEROKEE-POLK-PAULDING-COBB- NORTH FULTON-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB- ROCKDALE-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-TROUP- MERIWETHER-PIKE-UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD- BIBB-TWIGGS-MUSCOGEE-CHATTAHOOCHEE-MARION-SCHLEY-MACON-PEACH- HOUSTON-BLECKLEY-STEWART-WEBSTER-SUMTER-DOOLY-CRISP-PULASKI- WILCOX-DODGE-TELFAIR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...ROME...CARTERSVILLE... MARIETTA...ATLANTA...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT... DECATUR...CONYERS...NEWNAN...PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN...MACON... COLUMBUS...WARNER ROBINS...LUMPKIN...AMERICUS...CORDELE 403 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA... NORTHWEST GEORGIA AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. * THROUGH MONDAY MORNING * THE COMBINATION OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM... ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON. AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * WITH SATURATED SOILS ALREADY IN PLACE...ANY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING...TO INCLUDE RAPID RISES ON AREA CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. ADDITIONALLY...BECAUSE OF THE SATURATED SOILS... THERE IS ALSO A POTENTIAL FOR DOWNED TREES ACROSS THE AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Finally! Got a good slug of rain coming up from Col/LaGrange from whence all my good gulf rain cometh. I might could get some real rain tonight! Won't be holding my breath just yet, but soon maybe Just hoping for rates beyond the three days of drizzle/drip I've been having. I'd like to see some flooding/ run off for a change of pace. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I believe if you are slightly north of Macon,Ga going down to the GOM through FL the fire hose is about to be turned on. The 500mb 850mb trough and sea breeze is about to interact across that area. http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast.php Especially west of Albany, east of Columbus, Ga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 TORNADO WARNINGGAC045-149-190030-/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0022.130818T2340Z-130819T0030Z/BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA740 PM EDT SUN AUG 18 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIANORTHWESTERN HEARD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA* UNTIL 830 PM EDT* AT 737 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED ASEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR EPHESUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TOBOWDON...ROOPVILLE...MOUNT ZION AND CARROLLTON.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANSTHAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAYALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOUARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO ABASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM ON THE GROUND FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROMWINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAITTO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT WILL BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFEPLACE.IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HASPASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 86 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.&&LAT...LON 3370 8514 3353 8496 3333 8528 3355 8532TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 229DEG 18KT 3345 8527$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Pretty clear signal of a potential tornado... Ironically enough Carrollton is in the warning the home of snowstorm...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 ... Ironically enough Carrollton is in the warning the home of snowstorm...... :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Lol that's the first thing that came to my mind when I saw 2003. I read the post wrong. I was thinking he was saying 2003 is close to this year in terms of rainfall but he was actually referring to it being close in terms of lawn care. Right lol/Sean/Isopycnic? Nope talking about often and how much rain we have had in my area. It has been hard for us to work. 2003 was closest to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Nope talking about often and how much rain we have had in my area. It has been hard for us to work. 2003 was closest to it Speaking of 2003 being the closest to to this year makes me wonder if we could use that winter as an example of this coming winter . Was not the greatest winter(03-04) of all but considering the last couple of years wouldn't hurt. Last really decent winter around here was 09-10. As much rain we've had I would give it anything for the moisture we had and the cold to combine so it will snow @*$hole deep to a giraffe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 2003 is the closest to this year. It has been a challenge this year in lawn care landscape industry. I know exactly what u talking about Ah, then with a wet summer, this leads me to believe that we are due for a February 25th-26th, 2004 redux this winter! Haha, just kidding. But I do hope.......... In other news, it's raining. Again. I have barely watered the plants at all this year since it's rained so much. It's been weeks. KGSO is now 10.30" above normal for the year. EDIT: LOL, ncweather appears to have had the same wintry thoughts as I had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Ah, then with a wet summer, this leads me to believe that we are due for a February 25th-26th, 2004 redux this winter! Haha, just kidding. But I do hope.......... In other news, it's raining. Again. I have barely watered the plants at all this year since it's rained so much. It's been weeks. KGSO is now 10.30" above normal for the year. EDIT: LOL, ncweather appears to have had the same wintry thoughts as I had. You're not the only one having the same dirty wintry thoughts ... 03 was a good year other than the Feb storm for me. Scrolling back http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rah/events/ Sure hope this year is better and adds alot more promis than recent years. Anway you said its raining. it may be a deleuge by the time you wake up. Given the setup it will probably tomorrow afternoon before it stops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Ah, then with a wet summer, this leads me to believe that we are due for a February 25th-26th, 2004 redux this winter! Feb. '04 is my avatar, but you're a day early with your dates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Got .85 this evening. 3/4's in about half an hour, around 8:30. Closest I've had to a downpour like the rest of you describe, lol. One of these days I'll get hit head on, instead of getting sideswiped. Maybe tomorrow. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Got .85 this evening. 3/4's in about half an hour, around 8:30. Closest I've had to a downpour like the rest of you describe, lol. One of these days I'll get hit head on, instead of getting sideswiped. Maybe tomorrow. T I did even better! 1.17" yesterday (most of that after 9pm) and another 0.17" since midnight today. Up to 3.07 for the month. I've had rain 4 days in a row now. Last night the rain started as we were going to bed. I told my wife that it figures that we would wait all day to see rain, only to have it hold off until we go to sleep. Not that I'm complaining about the rain, I just want to see it! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 I did even better! 1.17" yesterday (most of that after 9pm) and another 0.17" since midnight today. Up to 3.07 for the month. I've had rain 4 days in a row now. Last night the rain started as we were going to bed. I told my wife that it figures that we would wait all day to see rain, only to have it hold off until we go to sleep. Not that I'm complaining about the rain, I just want to see it! :-) It must be nice to actually be excited about seeing rain. Polar opposite in this neck of the woods; precipitation data from KAVL: WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST Precipitation VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR NORMAL .................................................................. MONTH TO DATE 5.46 2.55 2.91 2.39 SINCE JUN 1 28.12 11.51 16.61 9.85 SINCE JAN 1 57.24 29.76 27.48 28.49 Also check out the following article from Asheville Citizen Times: Asheville tops US rainfall anomalies Study looked at 180 cities' departure from normal http://www.citizen-times.com/article/20130819/NEWS/308190016/?sf16246046=1&nclick_check=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 Way to go Steve! It's nice to feel included after all this time of being outcast I've got you beat on the month though, I just got to near 4 inches last night. Well, 3.95 to be exact, but with the sun coming out finally around noon, the heating should be able to get me a mere .05, right? Yeah, right, lol. Can't count un hatched chickens in the cursed lands Sure miss the cad. The heat and humidity yesterday and today are very Aug. like. Oh, well, I can almost touch Sept. Another summer survived pretty soon now. That cad reminded me of just how much I love fall. I got more done during those cad days that I have all summer T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 We picked up 2.15 over the last 3 days. Here are our monthly totals: August to date: 9.07 inches July: 16.73 inches June 8.07 inches We are also over 61 inches for the year!!! This is ridiculous!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 Wonder where all that heavy rain we are supposed to get is coming from ? Don't see any headed our way. Starting to think the Flash Flood Watch was unnecessary. FFC is calling for widespread 1-3" amounts with locally more. Probably should have said widespread .1-.3". Do they ever have a clue on forecasting rain in the summer months ? From June to August there's really no point in even looking at the forecast. They are starting to realize that they were a little bullish on their rainfall forecast amounts. It went from widespread 1-3" to 1-2" possible. Flash Flood Watch expires in less than 5 hours which says to me that most of the flooding concern should be over with by this evening. The flash flood watch verified with a few North Georgia counties being put under flood warnings yesterday evening and last night. The totals also verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 That's pretty amazing and would have seemed like a far fetched idea last year about this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 We picked up 2.15 over the last 3 days. Here are our monthly totals: August to date: 9.07 inches July: 16.73 inches June 8.07 inches We are also over 61 inches for the year!!! This is ridiculous!!!! 1964 keeps showing up a lot in W.South Carolina as a big year also. Pickens 78.46'' Anderson 77.40'' GSP 70.41'' Don't know if these are the records though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 20, 2013 Share Posted August 20, 2013 The flash flood watch verified with a few North Georgia counties being put under flood warnings yesterday evening and last night. The totals also verified. the totals verified in some areas. Some areas got 1-3" of rain if not more... Other areas nothing. Very hit or miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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