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July 2013 Observations and Discussions


bluewave

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12z guidance showing the next epansion of the western atlantic ridge by the 15th into the middle of July.  Its showing a similar progression to what we just went through 6/29 - 7/7 for 7/11 - 7/6 (and beyond).  Wet storms/rain by the 11th - 13th wth southerly flow before WAR builds back and heights rise.

 

test8.gif

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12z guidance showing the next epansion of the western atlantic ridge by the 15th into the middle of July. Its showing a similar progression to what we just went through 6/29 - 7/7 for 7/11 - 7/6 (and beyond). Wet storms/rain by the 11th - 13th wth southerly flow before WAR builds back and heights rise.

test8.gif

You sure do like humid weather. :P

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12z guidance showing the next epansion of the western atlantic ridge by the 15th into the middle of July.  Its showing a similar progression to what we just went through 6/29 - 7/7 for 7/11 - 7/6 (and beyond).  Wet storms/rain by the 11th - 13th wth southerly flow before WAR builds back and heights rise.

 

test8.gif

The idea makes perfect sense IMO.

WX/PT

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I can't remember the last time almost all the areas stations were around 80 at 7am. That is extreme impressive. Usually only the urban areas stay up like that but we have places like Islip and Brookhaven reporting similar temps.

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We could see severe storms around the region later today as the upper low ejects

east into a very moist and unstable airmass with steeper mid level lapse rates

than we have experienced recently. Any thunderstorms could drop torrential

downpours with dews 72-75 and PW's approaching 2.00". The models are

currently hitting interior zones highest where the best shear is expected to be.

So will have to monitor the 12z guidance and radar trends for specifics.

 

 

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4th overnight min of 75 or higher in a row for Central Park. July 2011 may be the record with

7 days in a row, but we'll see what Uncle has.

18  95  75  85   8   0  20 0.11  0.0    0  5.3 14 270   M    M   3 18     20 25019  94  75  85   8   0  20 0.00  0.0    0  4.0 12  50   M    M   1 18     17  4020  89  75  82   5   0  17 0.00  0.0    0  3.6 10 140   M    M   0 18     15 15021  97  75  86   9   0  21 0.00  0.0    0  5.8 15 210   M    M   1 18     22 25022 104  84  94  17   0  29 0.00  0.0    0  4.5 12 280   M    M   0 8      17 22023 100  83  92  15   0  27 0.00  0.0    0  4.0 12 270   M    M   0        18 29024  91  78  85   8   0  20 0.03  0.0    0  3.5 13  50   M    M   0 18     17  30
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