SACRUS Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 A couple of more hours in the sun before clouds and storms, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 20, 2013 Author Share Posted July 20, 2013 The Euro has three waves of low pressure over the next 10 days as the WAR will be too strong to allow the fronts from the west to clear the coast. The GFS has a similar pattern with a very moist flow and high dewpoints for the next 10 days. Warm daily mins should be the main contribution to above normal temps. Any days with enough sun could wind up in the mid to upper 80's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 The Euro has three waves of low pressure over the next 10 days as the WAR will be too strong to allow the fronts from the west to clear the coast. The GFS has a similar pattern with a very moist flow and high dewpoints for the next 10 days. Warm daily mins should be the main contribution to above normal temps. Any days with enough sun could wind up in the mid to upper 80's. Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_120.gif M7D7.gif At least that's better than what we had in the past 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 JFK tied a record high with 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 my area had a light shower that wet the ground late last evening...It felt like a steam bath after that...my gut feeling is we see some severe storms later in the day...Where they develop is the question?... my gut feeling turned out to be gas...I'm getting a shower now and had some lightning before... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 my gut feeling turned out to be gas...I'm getting a shower now and had some lightning before... Looks like heavier storm on the doorstep of the Outter bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 The Euro has three waves of low pressure over the next 10 days as the WAR will be too strong to allow the fronts from the west to clear the coast. The GFS has a similar pattern with a very moist flow and high dewpoints for the next 10 days. Warm daily mins should be the main contribution to above normal temps. Any days with enough sun could wind up in the mid to upper 80's. Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_120.gif M7D7.gif I am really thinking this week ((7/21 - 7/27) will work out much like the end of june/early July period where we were on the east side of the trough/west side of WAR in the a steamy but potentially wet pattern. Thu-Fri could be warm if enough sun is oute. Beyond there, most guidance does push the trough through between 7/28 and 7/30 before emerging WAR (again).... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 Looks like heavier storm on the doorstep of the Outter bridge yea it's raining hard now...I'm down to 79 in the rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 20, 2013 Share Posted July 20, 2013 Nice late day rally with the passage of the front turning us back to a west wind. Got up to about 94 with that wind shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 today's highs JFK: 96EWR: 96LGA: 95New Bnswk: 94PHL: 94ACY: 94TEB: 93NYC: 93TTN: 92ISP: 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 today's highs JFK: 96 EWR: 96 LGA: 95 New Bnswk: 94 PHL: 94 ACY: 94 TEB: 93 NYC: 93 TTN: 92 ISP: 90 Seventh consecutive day at or above 90 for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 yea it's raining hard now...I'm down to 79 in the rain... down to 75 now...Another shower to my west...It will be the fourth shower this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 down to 75 now...Another shower to my west...It will be the fourth shower this evening...Got 0.48 here so far. Heavier rain ssw of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 With the temperature holding at 82° at NYC at 11:51 pm, it appears extremely likely that July 18-20, 2013 saw 3 consecutive days with a minimum temperature of 80° or above in NYC. That ties the record for most consecutive low temperatures at or above 80°. The only other times that occurred was August 9-11, 1896 and July 5-7, 1908. FWIW, the earliest 80° minimum temperature occurred on June 26, 1952. The latest occurred on August 15 in 1985 and 1988. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 NYC did stay above 80 w/ low of 81. EWR due to storms dipped below 80 (79). LGA also remained above 80 (83) for a 3rd conescutive night . Hot summer nights... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 NYC did stay above 80 w/ low of 81. EWR due to storms dipped below 80 (79). LGA also remained above 80 (83) for a 3rd conescutive night . Hot summer nights... Had a low here of 73 which occurred at 9pm following 0.50 in. of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 the last seven days averaged 86.8...That is tied for the fifth hottest week on record... Hottest seven day period...high low mean max ..98.0 76.9 87.4 102 7/07-7/13 199398.4 76.3 87.4 104 7/15-7/21 197798.3 76.0 87.1 102 8/29-9/04 195395.1 78.9 87.0 .98. 8/05-8/11 189695.7 77.9 86.8 104 7/18-7/24 201194.6 79.0 86.8 .98. 7/14-7/20 201395.3 78.0 86.7 .99. 8/09-8/15 198896.6 75.1 85.9 102 8/11-8/17 194496.1 75.2 85.7 100 8/01-8/07 195595.3 75.9 85.6 103 8/04-8/10 200194.9 76.1 85.5 102 7/16-7/22 198097.3 73.6 85.4 102 7/17-7/23 199195.7 75.1 85.4 .98. 8/28-9/03 197394.1 76.7 85.4 .96. 7/12-7/18 198194.3 76.4 85.4 103 7/04-7/10 201095.4 75.1 85.3 100 7/17-7/23 1955 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 the last seven days averaged 86.8...That is tied for the fifth hottest week on record... Hottest seven day period... high low mean max .. 98.0 76.9 87.4 102 7/07-7/13 1993 Definitely one of the more impressive heatwaves in my lifetime. We really didn't get that bonafide 100 degree heat throughout the area, but I feel that the high minimums into the mid 80s contribute more to the oppressiveness factor than a day that tops out at 104, but with a minimum in the mid 70s. There's just no relief whatsoever...and I know first hand because my days start out at 4 am on the construction sites. Unfortunately this week I got stuck working at the oil refinery in Linden. Holly hell was it hot out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 Definitely one of the more impressive heatwaves in my lifetime. We really didn't get that bonafide 100 degree heat throughout the area, but I feel that the high minimums into the mid 80s contribute more to the oppressiveness factor than a day that tops out at 104, but with a minimum in the mid 70s. the minimum averaged 79.0 for the seven days...It broke the record of 78.9 set in 1896...imagime living back then with no ac or electric fans... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2013 Author Share Posted July 21, 2013 the minimum averaged 79.0 for the seven days...It broke the record of 78.9 set in 1896...imagime living back then with no ac or electric fans... That was a real tragedy with people packed into tenements. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=129127924 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 the minimum averaged 79.0 for the seven days...It broke the record of 78.9 set in 1896...imagime living back then with no ac or electric fans... I can't. lol. Our power went out on Thursday night for about 5 hours and that was enough for me. The humidity just sucks the life out of you. I've had no ac nights in Phoenix, AZ in the summer, but it just doesn't compare to the humidity we get on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 That was a real tragedy with people packed into tenements. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=129127924 great find...1896 was a wild year weatherwise in NYC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2013 Author Share Posted July 21, 2013 great find...1896 was a wild year weatherwise in NYC... It looks like the ridge really locked in right over the area creating the long heat wave that August 4-13. Conditions were also very dry that month especially just to our west over PA. That was likely the longest official heat wave of the 19th century in NYC. Does you pre Central Park data show any really long heat waves earlier than the 1870's? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/climate/records/heatwaves.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2013 Author Share Posted July 21, 2013 It's pretty impressive to see any station in the Northeast with a +8 through the first 20 days of July. STATION: BENNINGTON VT MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2013 LATITUDE: 42 53 N LONGITUDE: 73 15 W[TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16AVERAGE MONTHLY: 75.9 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 2.55 1 = FOG OR MISTDPTR FM NORMAL: 8.0 DPTR FM NORMAL: -0.21 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITYHIGHEST: 92 ON 19 GRTST 24HR 1.11 ON 10-10 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESSLOWEST: 58 ON 12 3 = THUNDER The highs return closer to normal there the rest of the month, but the mins remain elevated. BENNINGTON KDDH GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/21/2013 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SUN 21| MON 22| TUE 23| WED 24| THU 25| FRI 26| SAT 27| SUN 28 CLIMO X/N 81| 53 82| 62 83| 63 81| 62 79| 60 81| 60 79| 62 78 57 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 Lets see if we can tack on another (8th in a row) 90 degree day for most spots. Dewpoints down into the 60's. 11Am roundup: TEB: 83 NYC: 81 EWR: 85 LGA: 81 JFK: 84 ISP: 81 New Bnswk: 85 BLM: 80 TTN: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 21, 2013 Author Share Posted July 21, 2013 Lets see if we can tack on another (8th in a row) 90 degree day for most spots. Dewpoints down into the 60's. 11Am roundup: TEB: 83 NYC: 81 EWR: 85 LGA: 81 JFK: 84 ISP: 81 New Bnswk: 85 BLM: 80 TTN: 83 I am thinking that we could have approached or broken the record at some sites from 2005-2013 if we had drier conditions of previous years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 Central Parks Longest heat waves 90+...#.....max.....dates12...102...8/24-9/4 195311.....98...7/23-8/2 199910...102...7/7-7/16 199310.....98...8/4-8/13 18969.......98...8/11-8/19 20029.....104...7/13-7/21 19779.....101...7/6-7/14 19669.......94...7/5-7/13 19448.....102...8/10-8/17 19448.......97...7/29-8/5 20028.......98...8/2-8/9 19808.......98...8/28-9/4 19738.....100...6/26-7/3 19017.......98...7/14-7/20 2013 + other years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 I am thinking that we could have approached or broken the record at some sites from 2005-2013 if we had drier conditions of previous years. 2012, 2010, 2006 I think NYC missed longer streaks by the usual 89 readings on several occasions. Same in 1988. Tomorrow looks to break the streak for many as clouds and storms/rain will be likely mon - wed. Although with enough sun and less rain i could see some scattered 90 degree readings within these days. Otherwise it's mianly mid to upper 80s and increasing humidity by tue evening. Better shot at more widespread 90 degree readings thu/sat (7/25 - 7/27) ahead of the cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 Whatever happened with that possible costal storm posted a few days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 21, 2013 Share Posted July 21, 2013 So the GFS continues to show a very wet Tuesday whereas the other models don't have as much. The NAM is wet tomorrow and the Euro towards the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.