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July 2013 Observations and Discussions


bluewave

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This cell in Hunterdon County is passing right over me and the biggest action is just to my south.  We're only getting some sprinkles but the lightning is frequent, vivid, and rather dramatic, and totally unobscured by rain.  It's all coming out of a towering anvil cloud.

 

 

Well, not much... though if nothing else the ridge is in a favorable position for East Coast action and I guess it's going to remain that way.

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This cell in Hunterdon County is passing right over me and the biggest action is just to my south.  We're only getting some sprinkles but the lightning is frequent, vivid, and rather dramatic, and totally unobscured by rain.  It's all coming out of a towering anvil cloud.

 

 

Well, not much... though if nothing else the ridge is in a favorable position for East Coast action and I guess it's going to remain that way.

With all this CAPE, it doesn't take much to get towering clouds, and therefore charge separation and lightning.

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Seems like the pattern is repeating to some degree from late June to ealry July before the first WAR expansion July 4th. 

Should see things progress 7/21 - 7/27 as warm/humid and wet.  Looks overall above normal.  It'll be interesting to time the next WAR expansion - guidance has been hinting some of the heat out west spills east into the Plains and troughing into the NW may lead to another linkage of the w ridge and WAR should we get the expansion early august.

 

starting monday the 18z gfs shows a string of 70f dewpoint days

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On the hottest day in Central Park history -- July 9, 1936, what were the dew point temperatures that day?

Probably pretty low because that heat was aided by the Dust Bowl and the poor farming practices that largely contributed to that event.

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A really impressive +6 (83.2) at LGA through the 19th of July. 

 

Hottest Julys at LGA

 

83.2.....2013...so far

82.8.....2010

81.9.... 1999

81.3.....1955

80.8.....1993...1966

80.7.....2006

80.6....1994

80.4.... 2012..2011

80.3...1952

80.0...2008

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A really impressive +6 (83.2) at LGA through the 19th of July. 

 

Hottest Julys at LGA

 

83.2.....2013...so far

82.8.....2010

81.9.... 1999

81.3.....1955

80.8.....1993...1966

80.7.....2006

80.6....1994

80.4.... 2012..2011

80.3...1952

80.0...2008

Been keeping records here for 35 years... currently running a mean of 81.9 for the month. Warmest month is 80.5 set in July of 1999... will be interesting to see where we finish up.

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More/bigger breaks in the clouds will allow for some decent heating the next 2 - 3 hours.  Still may get some mid, perhaos upper 90s for many in the area.   Outside chance tomorrow for some of the hotter spots then we have temps closer to normal mon/tue before more humid flow develops by wed - fri. 

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Been keeping records here for 35 years... currently running a mean of 81.9 for the month. Warmest month is 80.5 set in July of 1999... will be interesting to see where we finish up.

 

 

Don how did July 88, 91, 93, 95, 2010, 2011 fare?  What part of SI are you in? 

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Don how did July 88, 91, 93, 95, 2010, 2011 fare?  What part of SI are you in? 

Top five for warmth are 1999, 2010, 2011, 1994 and 1993. The other years you listed with the exception of 1991, were also top ten. Im in Travis which is west shore across the river from new jersey.

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Top five for warmth are 1999, 2010, 2011, 1994 and 1993. The other years you listed with the exception of 1991, were also top ten. Im in Travis which is west shore across the river from new jersey.

 

Thanks, Don.  We were in Annadale for a number of years between Brooklyn and NJ.  We'll see how the last 10 days progress, but we should remain overall above normal by way of humid flow and higher mins more so than maxes.

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