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July 2013 Observations and Discussions


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Heat Advisory up now for most of the area

 

... Heat advisory in effect from noon to 8 PM EDT Monday... 

The National Weather Service in New York has issued a heat
advisory... which is in effect from noon to 8 PM EDT Monday.

* Locations... western Long Island... interior portions of northeast
New Jersey... the lower Hudson Valley... and interior portions of
southern Connecticut.

* Hazards... heat.

* Heat index values... up to 100 due to temperatures in the middle
90s and dew point temperatures near 70.

* Timing... highest heat index values will occur during the
afternoon and early evening on Monday.

* Impacts... initial impacts if no protective action is taken... 
fatigue. Sunstroke... muscle cramps... and/or heat exhaustion is
possible.

Precautionary/preparedness actions... 

To reduce risk during outdoor work the occupational safety and
health administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks
in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by
heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke
is an emergency... call 9 1 1.

A heat advisory is issued when the combination of heat and
humidity is expected to make it feel like it is at least 95
degrees for two consecutive days or if heat index values reach 100
to 104 degrees. Take extra precautions if you work or spend time
outside. When possible... reschedule strenuous activities to early
morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion
and heat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

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Looking ahead we should see temps near normal after the front next weekend before the mean trough backs west into the lakes and mid west.  As we head towards the 24th we may see the WAR rebuild west again and set the stage for more heat on/around the 25th

 

test8.gif

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Looking ahead we should see temps near normal after the front next weekend before the mean trough backs west into the lakes and mid west. As we head towards the 24th we may see the WAR rebuild west again and set the stage for more heat on/around the 25th

test8.gif

Last heatwave of the month is from the 25th-27th. After that, probably one more heatwave around August 1st - 4th.

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Looking ahead we should see temps near normal after the front next weekend before the mean trough backs west into the lakes and mid west.  As we head towards the 24th we may see the WAR rebuild west again and set the stage for more heat on/around the 25th

 

test8.gif

What does WAR stand for?

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Could NYC (central park or LGA) hit 100 this week with the extended heat wave?

 

I dont think the park will reach the century mark this next heat wave.  850's on the cusp and excessive rainfall will limits areas with vegeatation.  It will be close for EWR, LGA, TEB, etc...  If the 2006, 2001 analog has legs then the potential exists for a stronger heat wave in August.

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Looking at the models this weekend should give us one of the best organzied storm chances we have had in awhile... Also the ocean is much warmer now which should help negate the marine layer. Hopefully the timeing is right with the front.

Figures, on the day I'm due to see a close friend up in Brooklyn (Saturday)...

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