SACRUS Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Soon this pattern is bound to flip. Just look at last July to August. Similar departures for July, then a much cooler August. You might be thinking more of 2011. Last August was between +1.5 and 2.5 above normal. 2011 saw the July heat end after the first week of Augus then the warm/rain occured. Last year and 2010 he heat continued thru August. This year I am leaning warmer than normal and had originally had august as the most positive departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Parts of middlesex have to be approaching 2" today. Should see things quiet down over the next couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Mets and models busting badly right now....any reason why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 13, 2013 Author Share Posted July 13, 2013 Mets and models busting badly right now....any reason why? The Euro pretty much nailed the location of the heaviest rain, but it's convection so the amounts will be higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Hot and humid south of the front JFK hot spot today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Mets and models busting badly right now....any reason why? Close to 3 inches of rain the last two days. Started today at 1pm and just got done. We have had enough rain, let these lawns burn out Pouring here now, never seen it rain so hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 No rain at all here, just hot and super humid, it feels like you're inhaling water, but without the drowning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Good amount of street flooding around the Monmouth and middlesex county area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 You might be thinking more of 2011. Last August was between +1.5 and 2.5 above normal. 2011 saw the July heat end after the first week of Augus then the warm/rain occured. Last year and 2010 he heat continued thru August. This year I am leaning warmer than normal and had originally had august as the most positive departures. I remember last August being cooler than last July because I wasn't using my AC that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Another slow moving cell going over Hazlet/Holmdel area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 13, 2013 Share Posted July 13, 2013 Thunder and lightning here in freehold, 1.65" of rain so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BionicMoron Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Can anyone remember the last time SPC had us in the D7 Severe Weather Outlook? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 10AM Roundup. Today will be the 1st of which should be at least 5 90+ days for many (even the park). some left over clouds should ccontinue to mainly clearout over the next couple of hours. TEB: 82 NYC: 81 EWR: 83 LGA: 82 JFK: 84 ISP: 83 New Brunswick: 81 BLM: 83 TTN: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Can anyone remember the last time SPC had us in the D7 Severe Weather Outlook? day48prob.jpg It's the strongest cold front we've seen this summer thus far, with potentially a major thermal gradient. We've got +10c 850's to the north and +20c to the south. Additionally, strong kinematic parameters (high wind shear) coupled with impressive thermodynamic (95/75 airmass, so CAPE will be plentiful) will probably yield an interesting period convection wise in the Northeast. We may see some differential advection type MCS activity early this week as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 It's the strongest cold front we've seen this summer thus far, with potentially a major thermal gradient. We've got +10c 850's to the north and +20c to the south. Additionally, strong kinematic parameters (high wind shear) coupled with impressive thermodynamic (95/75 airmass, so CAPE will be plentiful) will probably yield an interesting period convection wise in the Northeast. We may see some differential advection type MCS activity early this week as well. I can't remember the last time we had a strong squall line move through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 12PM Roundup; TEB: 88 NYC: 86 EWR: 87 LGA: 86 JFK: 87 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 88 BLM: 84 TTN: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 91/76 on the davis, heat index of 104 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 14, 2013 Author Share Posted July 14, 2013 You can really see the marine influence with convection forming to our north under the massive 594 dm ridge. If this ridge built in from the west instead of the east, then we would likely be seeing highs at places like EWR of 100+ and full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Sea breeze front marching in against a NW wind gradient. Dews are spiking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 2PM Roundup; TEB: 90 NYC: 87 EWR: 90 LGA: 89 JFK: 88 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 90 BLM: 88 TTN: 86 ACY: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Underwhelming day of heat unless we have a late spike with clearing. Still only 86.5F here in CNJ. Not sure 90F is doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Not sure park makes 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Park wasn't supposed to hit 90 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 88 but feels so hot. What a horrible week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 2PM Roundup; TEB: 90 NYC: 87 EWR: 90 LGA: 89 JFK: 88 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 90 BLM: 88 TTN: 86 ACY: 86 3PM Roundup; TEB: 91 NYC: 86 EWR: 91 LGA: 92 JFK: 88 ISP: 86 New Brunswick: 91 BLM: 88 TTN: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Hit 92 here in nothern nassau. Down to 90 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Feels much better than it did yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 14, 2013 Author Share Posted July 14, 2013 Hit 92 here in nothern nassau. Down to 90 now. Same here. Starting to get some sun again as the sea breeze CU clears a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Park goes from 87 to 86 same hour lga goes from 89 to 92...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Same here. Starting to get some sun again as the sea breeze CU clears a bit. Nice. Sitting around the pool and the seabreeze cu line is right over head inching north. Great pool and beach day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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