SACRUS Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 That's what I posted the other day. But there will be several opportunities for readings above 90 next week. Today will end the 90 streak for the sites that were at days. Next shot at 90s comes sun - fri next week with stronger heat by tue - thu period. Some guidance hinting at 850 temps of 20c(+) then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 11, 2013 Author Share Posted July 11, 2013 Today will end the 90 streak for the sites that were at days. Next shot at 90s comes sun - fri next week with stronger heat by tue - thu period. Some guidance hinting at 850 temps of 20c(+) then. Yeah, I think that the hotspots will go 95+ at some point around the peak as the GFS and Euro have 20 C 850's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 11, 2013 Share Posted July 11, 2013 Very irresponsible to say given the many people who suffered damages in the flood Says the guy rooting for the deadliest weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 The 70 degree streak is going to cut it real close tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 The 70 degree streak is going to cut it real close tomorrow night The humidity is dropping here. Yeah, I sense a change in the air for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 today's highs TEB: 87NYC: 84EWR: 88LGA: 86JFK: 88ISP: 84New Bnswk: 90TTN: 85ACY: 84PHL: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 The DP is 62F and the RH 78% with a wind from the N @6 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Dew point is below 65 for the first time since June 23 here....crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 DP still near 70. 69 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 This is the point where the heat and humidity feel endless, probably another 3+ weeks of the worst heat. No wonder that first low in the 50s sometime in latter August or September feels so chilly. This strong WAR pattern combined with an active hurricane season could strongly resemble 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Tuesday may not be as hot and humid as you think with a NNW wind in the works. That's more of a dry enjoyable heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Just looked at all overnight and morning guidance, and the euro looks like a huge outlier with regards to tonight and tomorrow. Euro: 8pm to 2am: .69" 2am to 8am: .28" 8am to 2pm: .12" 2pm to 8pm: .14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 12, 2013 Author Share Posted July 12, 2013 Just looked at all overnight and morning guidance, and the euro looks like a huge outlier with regards to tonight and tomorrow. Euro: 8pm to 2am: .69" 2am to 8am: .28" 8am to 2pm: .12" 2pm to 8pm: .14" We'll see what the 12z guidance comes up with. The Euro is east of the GFS with the rainfall tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 this pattern sort of reminds me of july 99No, I don't get that impression. That was persistent 95+ heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 The 12z NAM takes the crap down south and moves it north to upstate NY by tonight. Not sure if it will happen as rain is really struggling to make it north of Cape May County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 4k Holds 70 tonight in the Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 12z GFS has the 0.50"+ line kissing Staten Island through Saturday afternoon. Also keeps things unsettled for the weekend, espeically for eastern and southern areas as different waves develop along the stalled out front. Overall wetter than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 12z GFS has the 0.50"+ line kissing Staten Island through Saturday afternoon. Also keeps things unsettled for the weekend, espeically for eastern and southern areas as different waves develop along the stalled out front. Overall wetter than the NAM Yes and most of that is from this morning through 7pm tonight with only a tenth falling thereafter. Considering how far the rain is from us right now I'd say the NAM and GFS are both clueless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Yes and most of that is from this morning through 7pm tonight with only a tenth falling thereafter. Considering how far the rain is from us right now I'd say the NAM and GFS are both clueless.Aside from the rain down in Delaware there are some showers south of long island moving west, while the heaviest rain will likely be south of us there could be some convergence further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Aside from the rain down in Delaware there are some showers south of long island moving west, while the heaviest rain will likely be south of us there could be some convergence further north. QPF forecasts in general have been poor all the way around. Two days ago the RGEM went from showing apocolyptic rains to virtually nothing in one run. It was also one of the wettest runs in awhile for the east coast again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 QPF forecasts in general have been poor all the way around. Two days ago the RGEM went from showing apocolyptic rains to virtually nothing in one run. It was also one of the wettest runs in awhile for the east coast again And did any model show Delaware and parts of MD getting 3 to 5" of rain in 12 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 And did any model show Delaware and parts of MD getting 3 to 5" of rain in 12 hours? Some of the guidance had the highest totals over that region but not as much as what fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Rain developing south of LI now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Pretty miserable summer day here. 72/70 with hvy rain now. Dark outside like a late autumn day. The weather overall since early May has blown chunks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 i think dewpoints will help keep the nyc 70+ streak going tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 i think dewpoints will help keep the nyc 70+ streak going tonight If heavier rain moves in I could see a quick drop to 68-69, otherwise yeah probably holds in the low 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Just looked at all overnight and morning guidance, and the euro looks like a huge outlier with regards to tonight and tomorrow. Euro: 8pm to 2am: .69" 2am to 8am: .28" 8am to 2pm: .12" 2pm to 8pm: .14" Just a note that the 12z euro SLASHED this and corrected to the rest of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Pouring here in Holmdel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Just a note that the 12z euro SLASHED this and corrected to the rest of the guidance. And for those following the 70 degree streak, the euro now has a very early morning low of 69.5 degrees for NYC. NAM has 70.3. Gonna be mightily close to hold on and break the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 12, 2013 Author Share Posted July 12, 2013 And did any model show Delaware and parts of MD getting 3 to 5" of rain in 12 hours? The Euro had the max in the right region, but the amount was low since this was convection. Often this time of year, it's a big model win just to get the location of the maxes correct when convection is involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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