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July 2013 Observations and Discussions


bluewave

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No model had clouds and scattered storms.

Euro had 0.00" for yesterday and today.

Wednesday and Thursday are the 2 days to watch for widespread convection and rain.

Whats the Euro look like for the weekend? Does the front still clear the coast?

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then why were the forecasts for limited sun, plenty of clouds and chance of scattered showers

Because there was scattered showers yesterday. NYC recorded .22" and some areas saw an inch or more.

But they were always forecasted as scattered.

Tomorrow has a much better chance for a wider coverage.

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hello from Florida...NYC now has 16 straight days with a minimum of 70 or higher not counting today...

consecutive days with a minimum 70 or higher...

number...year...

22.....2010

22.....1980

21.....1988

18.....1979

17.....1906

17.....1979

16.....2013 and counting...

 

Intersting that 2002, 2011 arent on that list im sure they were very close.  Also a nice stretch in 2006 late july into august.  Most sites running between 4 and 5 above normal through the first week of July.

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Intersting that 2002, 2011 arent on that list im sure they were very close.  Also a nice stretch in 2006 late july into august.  Most sites running between 4 and 5 above normal through the first week of July.

No in 2011 the longest streak was only 9 days though 3 days in the upper 60s otherwise it would have been closer to 18. 2002 had a streak of 9 to end July and begin August. Just goes to show it doesn't need to be an unprecedented heat wave as there's only been a handful of 90+ days so far during this streak.

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12z rgem has a pretty healthy amount of storms for the NYC area this afternoon/evening and an even better chance tomorrow.

Today through Thursday looks to be fairly active.

When the rgem and euro match, the outcome is pretty likely.

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12z rgem has a pretty healthy amount of storms for the NYC area this afternoon/evening and an even better chance tomorrow.

Today through Thursday looks to be fairly active.

When the rgem and euro match, the outcome is pretty likely.

 

The GFS forecast soundings suggest  some locally heavy downpours with the storms just crawling along at 9 kt

and PW's close to 2.00".

 

 

 

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Intersting that 2002, 2011 arent on that list im sure they were very close.  Also a nice stretch in 2006 late july into august.  Most sites running between 4 and 5 above normal through the first week of July.

 

July, 2011 wasn't even close. For July, the longest 70 degree minimum stretch was only 6 days.

Similar thing in August, 2011.

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