Stormlover74 Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 They don't issue a heat warning for the temp but for the possible heat index. That was expected to be in upper 90s to lower 100s. Heat Advisory probably would have been sufficient today. Most HI levels are in the mid and upper 90s plus theres been a breeze most of the afternoon. Right now the storms don't look all the impressive so we'll see if they hold together or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Some shear is moving into the area now - 20z HRRR is even better than 19z now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2013 Author Share Posted July 7, 2013 I was able to see the tops of the storms over the Hudson Valley and Orange County all the way down here on the south shore. Very impressive anvil tops for a time. I can see the anvil now on that lone Fairfield County cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 the mcs has a well developed cold pool so i think it has a good chance of making it to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 7, 2013 Author Share Posted July 7, 2013 the mcs has a well developed cold pool so i think it has a good chance of making it to the coast The mid-level lapse rates are a little better east of the Delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 the mcs has a well developed cold pool so i think it has a good chance of making it to the coast The southern part that the HRRR suggests will hit us is really blowing up right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Yeah Considering its presentation on radar I was quite surprised of its lack of precip.. The storm was pretty much over head for about 30 mins too.. Rain today = 0.02" Lets see what this bowing line of storms can produce later on.. I drove past Middletown on Route 17 around 3pm through a massive thunderstorm with cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rain. It was at its peak around Goshen, but the sun returned as I continued southeast towards NYC. I was coming from my parents' house in the Poconos and they had no precipitation, just distant rumbles of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Later this week, GFS suggests we may have a shot at 70F high or lower for NYC on Friday. Cooler sfc high to the north and hvy rains training along the coast could mean a cool July day for SNE/NYC. We'll see if it holds on later runs.My local forecast shows a high of 79F in Dobbs Ferry on Friday with a chance of showers. Even that would be nice...upper 60s would be welcomed with open arms. Even our hottest Julys have a few cooler days...I believe 2010 had a couple prior to Independence Day. I think the second half of the month is closer to normal temperatures with more arctic blocking (falling NAO/AO) as well as the western ridge retrograding and permitting more trough amplification in the east. We might still finish the month in the +2.0-2.5 range though given the incredibly hot start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 I drove past Middletown on Route 17 around 3pm through a massive thunderstorm with cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rain. It was at its peak around Goshen, but the sun returned as I continued southeast towards NYC. I was coming from my parents' house in the Poconos and they had no precipitation, just distant rumbles of thunder. The view from West Harlem, looking at your storm in the distsance, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 LGA hit their high for the day of 96 at 7pm! You've got to be kidding me. Where is the heat coming from to warm them up beyond any surrounding station's temp at this hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 LGA hit their high for the day of 96 at 7pm! You've got to be kidding me. Where is the heat coming from to warm them up beyond any surrounding station's temp at this hour? Jet exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 18z GFS goes nuts with the death ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 LGA had a6hr max of 98. West wind causing the temp to jump, just before sunset, has happened before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 18z GFS goes nuts with the death ridge 12z gfs, ggem and ensembles als hinting that the WAR continues to build west later next week (7/16 - 7/22) and hooks with the western ridge pumping heights into the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Gust front apparent on radar. Might choke inflow. If so, hopefully more convection develops out ahead of it, but no guarantees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 today's highs TEB: 95NYC: 92EWR: 96LGA: 98JFK: 88ISP: 88New Bnswk: 95TTN: 93ACY: 94PHL: 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Gust front apparent on radar. Might choke inflow. If so, hopefully more convection develops out ahead of it, but no guarantees. storm in morris county is warned. Yanksfan territory but I think hes out of town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I drove past Middletown on Route 17 around 3pm through a massive thunderstorm with cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rain. It was at its peak around Goshen, but the sun returned as I continued southeast towards NYC. I was coming from my parents' house in the Poconos and they had no precipitation, just distant rumbles of thunder. Going home from the Poconos and driving through Middletown? 84 to 17? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 TEWR has strong gust front with t-storm over Somerset,NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Looks like the city may dodge storms yet again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 lol Swing and a miss again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 The whole thing completely fell apart, probably not even a sprinkle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 One cloud in the distance is full of lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 The whole thing completely fell apart, probably not even a sprinkle here. 4K had the whole thing falling apart so I guess it wins today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 8, 2013 Author Share Posted July 8, 2013 I can see some beautiful anvil crawlers on that NNJ warned cell from here in Western Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Yay my town is on the map lol. But seriously that was a good storm here in Bernardsville. The winds didn't underperform and kn ocked out power a couple times but ultimately got it back. Certainly the most impressive storm for me personally since the supercell (and subsequent microburst) on July 29th, 2009 in Bedminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Does anyone know what those slow moving objects over the ocean are on the HD Radar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Does anyone know what those slow moving objects over the ocean are on the HD Radar? Ships? The quicker ones are likely aircraft. The beam scans very low.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Lots of lightning and high wind gust here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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