RowanBrandon Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 yes, and it can pick up on something in future runs that can turn this into a dud. So make sure you just take it as it is until a day or 2 before the event, especially this year. I don't even care if it's a bomb or not. I just think in general that we have a great shot at at least measurable snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I don't believe anything the models display anymore until we're within 120, maybe even 96. It's obvious this fast PAC nina flow combined with the blocking pattern to our north will just play havoc with the models and whatever solutions they display. Right now I'm hopeful we get lucky tomorrow and eke out some accumulating snow, and on Christmas we do the same. If it ends up as a coastal bomb, all the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 If the PNA spikes, then there is strong likelihood of a low pressure system off the coast. this has a lot of potential as shown by the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I don't believe anything the models display anymore until we're within 120, maybe even 96. It's obvious this fast PAC nina flow combined with the blocking pattern to our north will just play havoc with the models and whatever solutions they display. Right now I'm hopeful we get lucky tomorrow and eke out some accumulating snow, and on Christmas we do the same. If it ends up as a coastal bomb, all the better. I'm much more hesitant to get excited now too after the models' recent debacle, but at the same time you have to at least be a little optimistic since it looks like we will have a much better ridge in the West. Plus this has been consistently showing up on the GFS run after run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 You will be doing EURO pbp tonight right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 You will be doing EURO pbp tonight right? yes sir, i will, im sure john will add into also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 0z gfs snow depth at hr 192, the red contour is 12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 yes sir, i will, im sure john will add into also Oh yeah...I'm off from class for the next month so expect lot of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Oh yeah...I'm off from class for the next month so expect lot of this. lol im off till atleast after new years maybe to feb 1 lol so yea most deff. Better enjoy while it last, jan and feb could be blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Only a foot from the GFS? Disappointing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 yes sir, i will, im sure john will add into also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 you in to jay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Oh yeah...I'm off from class for the next month so expect lot of this. storms during semester break are the best! no interruptions. I was in the middle of my Junior year of college during the Jan 96 storm. It was an awesome time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 lol im off till atleast after new years maybe to feb 1 lol so yea most deff. Better enjoy while it last, jan and feb could be blah from DT's latest post on his website...... The European weekly models do not show the pattern breaking down and it keeps it cold right through the middle of January. Sometimes the European weekly models have shown some skill and sometimes they have been absolutely worthless. But I wanna to get this out there to let you know that there is some indication that the pattern might not turn Mild in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 you in to jay? I'm gonna do my best. I just got back from NYC from a Weezer concert. I don't think I can hear anything. lol Great show, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 storms during semester break are the best! no interruptions. I was in the middle of my Junior year of college during the Jan 96 storm. It was an awesome time! Well this is my junior year break...let's repeat the results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Well this is my junior year break...let's repeat the results. Nice! I'll to that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 heres the ggem hr 156 and 168 qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Well this is my junior year break...let's repeat the results. Your finals are over? Ours continue until Wednesday, and then winter classes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 from DT's latest post on his website...... The European weekly models do not show the pattern breaking down and it keeps it cold right through the middle of January. Sometimes the European weekly models have shown some skill and sometimes they have been absolutely worthless. But I wanna to get this out there to let you know that there is some indication that the pattern might not turn Mild in January ill to that, i forgot they came out last sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 euro is out to hr 24 no precip from the fish storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 from DT's latest post on his website...... The European weekly models do not show the pattern breaking down and it keeps it cold right through the middle of January. Sometimes the European weekly models have shown some skill and sometimes they have been absolutely worthless. But I wanna to get this out there to let you know that there is some indication that the pattern might not turn Mild in January people can say what they want about the CFS, and they are correct sometimes too lol but this winter, it has been pretty good and today's maps support the cold in JAN top one is surface map and bottom one are 850 anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I know it will change and this isn't the final result, but it sure is something how central and northeast PA keeps getting punked even when there IS a good storm. 0z gfs snow depth at hr 192, the red contour is 12 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Anyone have the ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 storms during semester break are the best! no interruptions. I was in the middle of my Junior year of college during the Jan 96 storm. It was an awesome time! And I am on my semester break, so lets do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Anyone have the ukie? im still waiting for it on meteocentre, should be up to date very soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 im still waiting for it on meteocentre, should be up to date very soon Usually hits there around 2:00 but there are some other sites I lost the links to that it should be out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 00z so far is much like 12z GFS : Major hit/storm GGEM : Suppressed, weak and dry (flurries) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 00z so far is much like 12z GFS : Major hit/storm GGEM : Suppressed, weak and dry (flurries) Um i might be wrong, but I dont think GGEM was suppressed I think it was just weak...low in ohio valley wasnt it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 0z gfs snow depth at hr 192, the red contour is 12 inches Why tease folks with a snow depth map knowing the model will change a million times between now and next weekend? Well I guess it's all we have considering all of the potential systems in December have been flops so far. I hope the next one will be different, but I won't get my hopes up too high until it's in much closer range. Looking at details at this early point is worthless with these awful models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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