dryslot Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Your screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Your screwed Been hearing constant thunder now in town for a half hour or so from a tiny cell that has popped up over the ski resort. Radar estimates are around 1" in the past hour directly over Mansfield and we aren't even close to the real deal moving in. I have a feeling we are going to have some work-road washouts and interesting water-related issues at the ski resort. We haven't had a big rock or landslide up there since two summers ago (I think it was 2011) when a rockslide threatened Route 108, with house size boulders snapping all large, mature trees in its path. Should be interesting tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Been hearing constant thunder now in town for a half hour or so from a tiny cell that has popped up over the ski resort. Radar estimates are around 1" in the past hour directly over Mansfield and we aren't even close to the real deal moving in. I have a feeling we are going to have some work-road washouts and interesting water-related issues at the ski resort. We haven't had a big rock or landslide up there since two summers ago (I think it was 2011) when a rockslide threatened Route 108, with house size boulders snapping all large, mature trees in its path. Should be interesting tomorrow morning. That sucks but it looks like you are going to pile it up up there, Stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The 21z SPC SREF is actually pretty bullish for tomorrow...has some decent svr probs and also generates some decent instability in the afternoon. Obviously there are several questions and factors and we aren't going to get an outbreak but any convection will certainly have to be watched. There was a tornado in PA earlier. Also, we really have to see how far north the warm front goes...the SPC SREF really decreases helicity as the morning goes on and it looks like it gets the warm front pretty far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 How long is this SOS threat for N vt. Ibhave a friend suppose to go to SMUGGlers notch resort monday to friday, think they will close pfreak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Landphoon with banding, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 The 21z SPC SREF is actually pretty bullish for tomorrow...has some decent svr probs and also generates some decent instability in the afternoon. Obviously there are several questions and factors and we aren't going to get an outbreak but any convection will certainly have to be watched. There was a tornado in PA earlier. Also, we really have to see how far north the warm front goes...the SPC SREF really decreases helicity as the morning goes on and it looks like it gets the warm front pretty far north. 00z NAM actually shows a severe threat tomorrow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Big differences between composite and base reflectivities right now. On composite it looks like the world is ending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nice band getting ready to rotate through. Distant lightning here past 30-40 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nice band getting ready to rotate through. Distant lightning here past 30-40 min. Good stuff, storms at night are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Im hoping the period from 445 to 515 am, wakefield to melrose is dry, puhlllzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 00z NAM actually shows a severe threat tomorrow as well. Yes it does, and has some decent instability. As long as dews don't mix out, dews around 70F or a touch higher are really going to help us out I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Lightning!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Good stuff, storms at night are the best. Agreed...although this is pretty tame. Flash of lightning every 2-4 minutes...but still the first thing I've seen all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Constant thunder in the distance now. That band is rotating around from the SSW. Very strange direction for a T-storm to come from for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 At my cousin's place in Plymouth, frequent lightning and +RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nice light show and the thunder is the low rumbly kind...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Decent light show here! 2nd t'storm today!!! Weather Gods being nice to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Waterfall outside.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 I wonder what the phase diagram looks like with this beast. Almost hints at warmish core on rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Pouring out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Lightning has let up a bit....moderate rainfall....looks worse on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Lightning has let up a bit....moderate rainfall....looks worse on radar Fun anyways! Took some video. I was hoping to go to bed at 9 PM Then i saw mlb.com is doing the $5.6 million beat the streak in a day tomorrow...pick 57 players, if they all get a hit you get $5.6 million...then I worked on that, saw there were storms coming and here I am. Have to get up at 4:30 tomorrow, and did today and yesterday, all with 4 hours of sleep the past two nights. Coming down very hard again after letting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Waterfall outside.... Funny how isolated heavy rain/convection can be. On the north side of town near the Bloomfield line (really north of 44) there was 1.5-2.0" of rain earlier. As of right now (including the current downpour) I'm only at 0.45! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Holy crap at the GFS for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Sneaky little cell heading into southern CT with the potential for very small hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Holy crap at the GFS for tomorrow Looks like a severe day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow, look at these NYC area obs after that band went through - CENTRAL PARK CLOUDY 74 72 93 CALM 29.61R FOGLAGUARDIA APRT CLOUDY 75 71 87 S17G26 29.57FKENNEDY INTL CLOUDY 74 71 91 S18G28 29.60SNEWARK/LIBERTY CLOUDY 76 73 91 S16G25 29.56STETERBORO CLOUDY 76 74 93 S17G24 29.55FWHITE PLAINS TSTM 72 70 93 SE16G22 29.59F VSB 1 Gusting to 25kts from the S. And the DPs are rich! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Looks like a severe day tomorrow. The latest trends are quite encouraging, especially with regards to the instability. While lapse rates won't be impressive, the very high surface dewpoints and presence of very rich llvl moisture will make for an extremely buoyant llvl airmass and echance upward parcel acceleration. Both the NAM/GFS weaken the sfc low to 996mb, and of course we're in the warm sector, that's quite impressive. Big question with regards to the tornado potential is do we see helicity values decrease? NAM still has around 150 m2s2 which is sufficient enough, but if we are still seeing 200-250+ m2s2 of helicity watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nice little storm rolling through Tolland now... wonder if it'll wake Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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