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Cut-Off Woes Next Few Days


CT Rain

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Naked as a jaybird on  a Park bench..free and easy..everyone tasting it and breathing it in..weeks and weeks...months and months

 

BOTH OF THE AREAS COMBINED WITH THE CURRENT PWATS OF 2+
INCHES AND DEWPOINTS OF 70+ 

TEMPS ARE RUNNING LOW SO HAVE ADJUSTED FORECAST...MANY AREAS WILL
NOT GET BELOW 70F THIS MORNING. ANOTHER INDICATION THAT DEWPOINTS
ARE QUITE HIGH AND THAT WE ARE IN A TROPICAL AIRMASS

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Naked as a jaybird on a Park bench..free and easy..everyone tasting it and breathing it in..weeks and weeks...months and months

BOTH OF THE AREAS COMBINED WITH THE CURRENT PWATS OF 2+

INCHES AND DEWPOINTS OF 70+

TEMPS ARE RUNNING LOW SO HAVE ADJUSTED FORECAST...MANY AREAS WILL

NOT GET BELOW 70F THIS MORNING. ANOTHER INDICATION THAT DEWPOINTS

ARE QUITE HIGH AND THAT WE ARE IN A TROPICAL AIRMASS

meh wait till they are 80f dews in aug

72/71 here and overcast , decent early am breeze again

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Of course the thought always crosses ones mind that if we have excessive rainfall all summer will climo balance it out with an excessively dry winter...?

Sometimes it happens, but it doesn't necessarily have to go down like that. I think it's more important to see how the atmosphere responds to ENSO. It's possible a weak Niño could happen, but I think maybe neutral warm is more likely at this stage.

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Still a challenging forecast for today as the axis of precip could very well remain off to the west, however, with some better forcing, we should see some more activity develop further east, still hit and miss, but precip rates will be extremely in any area of precipitation so a FFW makes alot of sense, despite activity maybe being more hit and miss

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Still a challenging forecast for today as the axis of precip could very well remain off to the west, however, with some better forcing, we should see some more activity develop further east, still hit and miss, but precip rates will be extremely in any area of precipitation so a FFW makes alot of sense, despite activity maybe being more hit and miss

 

Early look at radar suggests more 'miss' than anything, especially outside of the far NW areas of SNE.  PF on the other hand.....

 

OT--where has Rick (Logan11) been?  I haven't seen a post from him in months it seems.

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Early look at radar suggests more 'miss' than anything, especially outside of the far NW areas of SNE. PF on the other hand.....

Yeah BTV has been hitting southern areas harder in the forecast with this one but looking at radar I think we get wet again today.

It's the same axis from PA into upstate NY (ALY and BGM CWAs)...I think the heavy stuff on the eastern side south of ALB should get you MPM.

I'll be up the cloud all day working near the summit, always interesting watching the weather from that vantage point.

BTV came 0.07" from the June record, lol. At least it got the May record last month, and now we start July off with more water.

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Early look at radar suggests more 'miss' than anything, especially outside of the far NW areas of SNE.  PF on the other hand.....

 

OT--where has Rick (Logan11) been?  I haven't seen a post from him in months it seems.

 

Well there will be a series of s/w riding along the stalled boundary so as those approach the region the radar will begin to light up a bit more.  

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