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Cut-Off Woes Next Few Days


CT Rain

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aLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
451 AM EDT SAT JUN 29 2013

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-VTZ013>015-301100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
451 AM EDT SAT JUN 29 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LITCHFIELD HILLS...WESTERN
MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD CONTAIN STRONG TO LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL GENERALLY MOVE
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH...BUT STRONGER CELLS TO
TURN MORE WESTERLY IN DIRECTION.

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box

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN
CONNECTICUT...CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERIOR
LATER TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS WOULD BE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

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How fast is the s/w moving?  

 

I really haven't looked at anything for today.  

 

It's really just SW of the patch of mid level clouds right over ALY's CWA. So if it's going to be severe it will have to do it early rather than late, otherwise we're just talking pulse severe and not widespread.

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It's really just SW of the patch of mid level clouds right over ALY's CWA. So if it's going to be severe it will have to do it early rather than late, otherwise we're just talking pulse severe and not widespread.

 

oh wow that is quite close.  maybe a better shot for eastern areas today then.

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Waiting for the clearing, visible shows its at doorstep, ignition between 2-3?

 

Already occurring across Upstate NY and VT.

 

The convection allowing models really don't like SNE for today. Just some scattered diurnal convection, but nothing overly strong.

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What kind of significant event is BOX talking? High end wind damage?

NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 5m

Across SNE, the threat of severe weather looks to be more north & west as driving energy moves thru the region faster than anticipated

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We are in the right entrance region of a pretty sizable jet streak but the issue is IMO the short wave swings through way too soon with all this morning junk around.

 

Yeah timing really isn't going to be in our favor.  I would have to think the best chances will be to our north in the slight risk area.

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Damage cancel:

NWS Boston ‏@NWSBoston 1m

A modification to our previous graphic reducing the severe weather threat across Southern New England: http://ow.ly/i/2u3uW

Yeah that looks about right. It can't go a day without VT getting drenched. Some spots are almost up to a 1"/day average over the past 5-6 days.

Props to the mets on here who recognized the sultan signal up this way.

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