Ginx snewx Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 My niece in Longmont Co just took this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Holy crap Steve great pic !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 I honestly hope we don't get another severe threat this year. This week has just been dreadful and highly stressful. Part has to deal with people around me, especially at work and then on here. It almost really enjoyable to just post about convection anymore it just post during the summer. Everything turns into a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 I honestly hope we don't get another severe threat this year. This week has just been dreadful and highly stressful. Part has to deal with people around me, especially at work and then on here. It almost really enjoyable to just post about convection anymore it just post during the summer. Everything turns into a joke. This week has hardly been a "severe threat"...more like a typical summertime regime with scattered thunderstorms in a humid airmass caused by the Bermuda ridge and Midwestern troughing. We haven't seen the intersection of really excellent shear/kinematics with thermodynics. As the surface low approached, it got overcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Lol. Well I'm glad folks are finally coming around to that idea. A few weeks ago a nice night was lows in the 40's by certain posters and they had windows open and loved it. Now temps and dews in the low 70's is nice. Interesting After adjusting to the tropics, it'll feel freezing when the dew point eventually drops below 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 How many severe reports today? Turned out to be a decent day, no rain, low temps made the sticky tolerable. With the same flow for a while the constant seabreeze should keep the beach areas pretty clear. 67/66 - Dense Fog. The seabreeze may keep us clear of rain and/or thunderstorms during the daylight... but not of fog... Visibility briefly came up above 1 mile here between 3pm and 4pm... but quickly went back down below 1/4 mile shortly after 4pm. Hoping for at least a glimpse of sun tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Swell. The stuff pivoting through far SW MA/ E.NY is going to ride right up the E Slope and Valley. radar.gif As suspected, right on Greenfield's doorstep now. Booms and torrential rain atm. Wind gusting pretty good too. \ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 This week has hardly been a "severe threat"...more like a typical summertime regime with scattered thunderstorms in a humid airmass caused by the Bermuda ridge and Midwestern troughing. We haven't seen the intersection of really excellent shear/kinematics with thermodynics. As the surface low approached, it got overcast. I understand this but it's just the tone in these threads. While widespread severe was certainly never in the cards, each day offered the potential for at least a few severe storms and if you're truly concerned about public safety, you have too keep an eye in things. The trolling and other garbage posts are just annoying. If these sort of posts happened during the winter, everyone would complain, but b/c it's summer and 90% of people here don't see anything exciting then its not interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Wow, closing on 3" since yesterday. 2.7" or slightly over, so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 As suspected, right on Greenfield's doorstep now. Booms and torrential rain atm. Wind gusting pretty good too. \ radar.gif Great, more rain! ;P Noticed some of those showers and storms are picking up in intensity a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Nice thunder with the cell in SW NH, like 15 mi. wsw of here. appealing radar appearance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 ...NERN STATES...WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND WITH MIDTO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS ADVECTING THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR. WHILECLOUDS MAY LIMIT DIABATIC WARMING IN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA...SOMEPOCKETS OF HEATING WILL LIKELY OCCUR...SUPPORTING 1000-1500 J/KGMLCAPE. ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WITH ATTENDANTUPPER JET STREAK WILL LIFT NWD INTO THIS REGION. STORMS WILL LIKELYREDEVELOP DURING THE DAY WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENTCHARACTERIZED BY MODEST SWLY WINDS THROUGH 700 MB...BUT STRONG UPPERFLOW AND 45-50 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP SHEAR. POTENTIAL WILL EXISTFOR A FEW ROTATING STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THE MAINTHREATS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 ...NERN STATES... WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NWD THROUGH REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND WITH MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS ADVECTING THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR. WHILE CLOUDS MAY LIMIT DIABATIC WARMING IN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA...SOME POCKETS OF HEATING WILL LIKELY OCCUR...SUPPORTING 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE. ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WITH ATTENDANT UPPER JET STREAK WILL LIFT NWD INTO THIS REGION. STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP DURING THE DAY WITHIN A KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST SWLY WINDS THROUGH 700 MB...BUT STRONG UPPER FLOW AND 45-50 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP SHEAR. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW ROTATING STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS. Slight risk for the 6th day in a row... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 66/65 - Very Loud... Very Flashy non-severe storm that developed just south of the Hamptons moving along the RI coast now. Small and compact but showy none the less. At least it broke up the fog! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 some of the mesos look good for interior areas this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 As suspected, right on Greenfield's doorstep now. Booms and torrential rain atm. Wind gusting pretty good too. \ radar.gif We had enough thunder/lightning from that to wake me up. There were one or two claps that were pretty close, seemed like the bulk of the action passed to my east, ftl. As far as the needed clearing necessasry for storm development mentioned in the AFD, looks like it's dawning with a fair amount of blue sky. That might change, but off to a promising start as I begin working my way up to a scorching 80* today. 64.4/64 with 2.68" since this stretch started. Edit: sun is shining brightly. That's a check in the plus column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Nice line just clearing the cape, let's see what today brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 I like that the 6z Slight Risk discussion mentions large hail and damaging winds as the main threats in New England today, but the hail graphic doesn't have 5% anywhere east of the Mississippi. Another very marginal setup for #damage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 I like that the 6z Slight Risk discussion mentions large hail and damaging winds as the main threats in New England today, but the hail graphic doesn't have 5% anywhere east of the Mississippi. Another very marginal setup for #damage? Do washed away seedlings and expansion of lawn fungus counts as major, major damaage??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Not too impressed by today. Eastern areas with warmer temps and higher dew-points have more clouds and some debris to go through over the next few hours. Western areas that are breaking out have lower dew-points and may be just a tad west of the best dynamics. I think we'll have a somewhat similar situation to yesterday where a few storms could be locally strong with flash flooding being the biggest threat. Wind shear is increased though, so I could see some widely isolated storms feature damaging wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Another 0.49" overnight, mostly 6-7 AM, actually. Storm total now 2.36" and month at 6.99". Those short bursts added up, and as others have posted, "fooled" the Doppler estimates. They had my area at perhaps 0.5" at 4 PM yesterday, and I found 1.2" in the gauge to add to the 0.28" I'd dumped at 7 AM. However, MBY was at/near bullseye (Maine version only) for the past 24 hr, as the only cocorahs obs today that was like my 2.07" was Madison at 2.05". That's about 15 miles to my NE. My wife heard one lone but very loud crash of thunder yesterday, shortly after noon. Still cloudy but very stuffy, dews must be mid 60s and climbing, different from yesterday's temps of 62/54. Looks like June temps will finish 0.1-0.2F below my 15-yr avg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Great discussion from BOX HIGHLIGHTING the POTENTIAL for today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 ACROSS THE INTERIOR...STRONG VORTMAX ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVELCOLD POOL ALOFT /SEE H5 TEMPERATURES/ WILL DEFINITELY BE THE FOCUSFOR SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATER TODAY ASDAYTIME HEATING PROCEEDS. WESTERN AND CENTRAL MA/CT INTO SOUTHERNNH WILL BE THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN. THIS COULD BE A VERYSIGNIFICANT WEATHER DAY.INSTABILITY ALREADY PROCEEDING...AND EVALUATING UPSTREAM UPPER-AIR SOUNDINGS OVER ALBANY/BUFFALO/PITTSBURGH...ALONG WITH WATERVAPOR SATELLITE...CLEARING ACROSS PA INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND WILLALLOW INSTABILITY VALUES OF MLCAPE TO GROW 1K-2K J/KG. AGREE WITHSPC/S ASSESSMENT OF A SLIGHT RISK...0-6 KM UNI-DIRECTIONAL BULKSHEAR VALUES 30-40 KTS WILL SUPPORT MULTI-CELLULAR THUNDERSTORMCLUSTERS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH MARGINALLYSEVERE HAIL DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE COLD POOL ALOFT. CAN/TRULE OUT THE POTENTIAL OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH DECENT 0-1/0-3 KMSHEAR AND A POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 when are we getting a gift from canada? this southerly fetch and tropical humidity blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 ACROSS THE INTERIOR...STRONG VORTMAX ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL COLD POOL ALOFT /SEE H5 TEMPERATURES/ WILL DEFINITELY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATER TODAY AS DAYTIME HEATING PROCEEDS. WESTERN AND CENTRAL MA/CT INTO SOUTHERN NH WILL BE THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN. THIS COULD BE A VERY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER DAY. INSTABILITY ALREADY PROCEEDING...AND EVALUATING UPSTREAM UPPER- AIR SOUNDINGS OVER ALBANY/BUFFALO/PITTSBURGH...ALONG WITH WATER VAPOR SATELLITE...CLEARING ACROSS PA INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND WILL ALLOW INSTABILITY VALUES OF MLCAPE TO GROW 1K-2K J/KG. AGREE WITH SPC/S ASSESSMENT OF A SLIGHT RISK...0-6 KM UNI-DIRECTIONAL BULK SHEAR VALUES 30-40 KTS WILL SUPPORT MULTI-CELLULAR THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE COLD POOL ALOFT. CAN/T RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL OF ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH DECENT 0-1/0-3 KM SHEAR AND A POSSIBLE ISOLATED TORNADO. How did Blizz get into BOX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 29, 2013 Author Share Posted June 29, 2013 Lol BOX with big storms and okx/aly with no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 So which is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Lol BOX with big storms and okx/aly with no big deal. I think the biggest issue is that the shortwave is already on the doorstep. It's a very narrow zone of destabilization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Delay this wave another hour or so, and the morning convective debris would be completely clear and wind damage would be a lot more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 29, 2013 Share Posted June 29, 2013 Delay this wave another hour or so, and the morning convective debris would be completely clear and wind damage would be a lot more likely. How fast is the s/w moving? I really haven't looked at anything for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.