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Cut-Off Woes Next Few Days


CT Rain

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Lapse rates do suck, but shouldn't these dews compensate somewhat?  I'm fine with isolated severe.  I'm just wondering why it seems the towel is being thrown in for later on.  Unless I'm interpreting the MCD wrong, it sounds as if they aren't expecting much of anything to develop later on across the area?  

70 dews are the only reason we're squeezing 500 J/kg out of the structure aloft.

 

The shortwave is pretty subtle, so a lot of this is diurnally driven. The late arrival will really just mean scattered showers rather than scattered severe.

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Wiz meltdown in 3..2..

Anyhow is eastern sne a good spot for storms this pm or not much potential

Mesoanalysis "favors" that area now, but over the next few hours the best dynamics move northward and then the focus shifts west.

 

Here's a look at the latest Significant Tornado Parameter values:

stor.gif

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