Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I wonder why he is being negative about it so much? Seems like he thinks many of us are predicting a big snow when in fact most of us are thinking a nice 2-4 or 3-6 event. I suppose there are a few people who don't know that a miller b screws us mostly for big snows...I appreciate him reminding us of that I guess. the issue may be further north.. i could see this going ots without much trouble.. though we have plenty of time for every solution known to man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Enough snow to cover the grass would make me (and probably most) very happy. Anything more than that is just gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 This event looks good, has what I would call very good model support and continuity, but the disappointment potential of this one is huge. Not because I don't think it will happen, because I do. But because it is Christmas, the added hope puts the potential very high. I know I am trying to not look ahead, and have the attitude to just take whatever comes, which, is really all we can do anyway. But, I can't help being excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I actually like this one. Of course I thought the last one looked good as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I wonder why he is being negative about it so much? Seems like he thinks many of us are predicting a big snow when in fact most of us are thinking a nice 2-4 or 3-6 event. I suppose there are a few people who don't know that a miller b screws us mostly for big snows...I appreciate him reminding us of that I guess. I think we are golden. Risk is OTS up north as Ian said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I think we are golden. Risk is OTS up north as Ian said. well another risk might be the storm ending up too far north as it passes east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 queue the 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 unhappy weenies http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_850_138m.gif good thing the gfs blows lately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 queue the 18z gfs fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 fun this run is lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 the 18z GFS for RIC is a fooking nightmare and pretty bad for DCA as well looking at the 132 to 144 hr RH fields and 850 temps ric would get a smal periof od snow then rain then DRY slot and its over all the precup would break/ develop well N and W of RIC the 18z GFS says it would be snowing in CHO and DCA before it ever reached ric but like I said I dont have any love for the GFDS past 72 / 84 hrs and I never will... not with east coast snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Christmas shopping/trauma/stress is going to seem like a pleasant retreat to model mania this week I fear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 funny...one bad run and suddenly the model is right....good stuff right here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 funny...one bad run and suddenly the model is right....good stuff right here yea it's funny watching people panic over an 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 18z ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 funny...one bad run and suddenly the model is right....good stuff right here You know how it goes man.. We had the worry brigade at 12z, and now the doomsdayers at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 18z ens RED FLAG!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 ONCE AGAIN the GFS ensembels are in very very close agreement with the 12z euro and euro ensembles 18z ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 You know how it goes man.. We had the worry brigade at 12z, and now the doomsdayers at 18z Yeah and the numbnuts will come out for 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Here come the worriers and inland posters out of the woodwork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 RED FLAG!!! Fire danger?!?!?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I guarantee there will be a met somewhere...and I don't mean wiggum or vinylfreak...who will say that this solution is very believable and likely.It goes with the territory of having such a large audience...you are bound to find someone with an agreeing opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Please, no radio shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I guarantee there will be a met somewhere...and I don't mean wiggum or vinylfreak...who will say that this solution is very believable and likely.It goes with the territory of having such a large audience...you are bound to find someone with an agreeing opinion. He will probably be from Upstate NY or possibly from some area with zero connection to the storm who is just a model hugger. Does Wiggum still post here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 yea it's funny watching people panic over an 18z run almost as funny as people believing in the purples of previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 He will probably be from Upstate NY or possibly from some area with zero connection to the storm who is just a model hugger. Does Wiggum still post here? SteveB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 almost as funny as people believing in the purples of previous runs. Goshen gets plastered on all models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I hope this storm doesn't happen. I have to backpack 140 miles on Christmas day from DC to Philly. And then my grandmother's brother needs dry weather for his doctors appointment the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 I hope this storm doesn't happen. I have to backpack 140 miles on Christmas day from DC to Philly. And then my grandmother's brother needs dry weather for his doctors appointment the day before. Don't worry, 18Z GFS just canceled the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Don't worry, 18Z GFS just canceled the storm. I 100% believe it. I knew the 16 other consecutive runs of it showing a good solution were wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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