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Christmas/Post Christmas Threat


Nikolai

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If this turns out to be the final solution, the GFS will have taken the Euro to school. GFS had just off the coast or OTS for how many runs now? And we thought something was wrong with the GFS but now it could be the other way around.

First GM wins car of the year, now the GFS is outperforming the EURO. Is this really America?

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EURO will be discounted for the rest of the season. Someone needs to get to work on it!

It got it's nickname "Dr. NO" because it always said no to big east coast storms when the GFS was claiming blizzard. This year it seems like the rolls have been reversed. Sometimes you can tweak a model too much and that might be what happened with the Euro now that it seems to overphase everything.

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Hopefully, it will put to rest the vast superiority of the euro assuming the euro moe east is permanent. If so, then the rumbling I heard about the GFS overphasing lows here and in Europe may have validity. If so, the best game in town will be the ensembles from the various models as they have pointed towards a more out to sea look than the operational.

I feel silly because I was SURE the EURO was wrong on Tuesday but I started to fall for it yesterday. It will be interesting to see if we get more phantom blizzards like this (and it's already done it on previous storms) over the rest of the winter.

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It was hard not to with as consistent as it was being. axesmiley.png

It was consistent right till the SW came onshore. Then it was like "oh wait guys just kidding." A clear deficiency in the Euro. I wonder if it had better handling for that sort of feature what it would have shown 4-5 days out...

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And if the Euro comes in great, lemmings will follow it again. The Emperor has no clothes...the GFS was NOT bad here..it never gave into the Euro idea. We'll all forget this and somehow continue to love the Euro

Unless if it's the gfs showing a monster storm, then it will be loved... Just euro has loved tempting us lately lol

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And if the Euro comes in great, lemmings will follow it again. The Emperor has no clothes...the GFS was NOT bad here..it never gave into the Euro idea. We'll all forget this and somehow continue to love the Euro

it's hard to move the bus with no driver

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now people will swing the other way probably.. the euro is still the best model most likely. they all have their issues... though i'd be wary if we see this again this winter on the euro for sure.

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Maybe next euro wont be so bad... About to find out.

Let's just hit the reset button in our heads...try to forget the last 5 days of model runs happened...and get enthused there might be some very light snow on Christmas and be happy the forecast is not "partly sunny with a high of 58F"...Happy Holidays to everyone!

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Agree.. I'm not sure what else it's gonna see on the 12Z... I remain skeptical. (But don't really want to be)

Euro has been to often treated like a god. It's good for it to be 'humbled' IMO tho of course I'd like another HECS.

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