RickinBaltimore Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 WOAH... 126 hrs DCA: 1.36" BWI-1.30" again per mitchnick If that holds up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Darn...my call of riding up inland for this run is a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I'll take 1.5"of qpf....particularly since it looks like even the big cities will be nearing 15:1 ratio's. Maybe 17-18:1 out here. That's a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Also, it will be interesting when the NAM comes into range with its very wet bias. Is the Euro not typically a bit dry on QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Darn...my call of riding up inland for this run is a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carolina23 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Wow, I expected the EURO to move east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Anyone know where I can find the Euro QPF numbers? Or is it subscription only? Trying to figure out SBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Anyone know where I can find the Euro QPF numbers? Or is it subscription only? Trying to figure out SBY. Available only to subs. DT should be able to post for Salisbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Lol... Imagine if in one week we can say "Storm of December 2010- makes last winter look mild" :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I have to agree. I am just not buying this large storm idea. I genuinely felt that the euro would start moving towards the a consensus mean (consensus with the rest of the global models) by 12Z today. Instead it basically just spit out the same forecast that it had from 0Z. It's perhaps 6hr slower but other than that...it's pretty much the same forecast. I was discarding this single OP model as repeating its mistakes of the last several weeks. At this point any reasonable person would have to question their stubbornness. I can't see the UKMET past 72hr, but I can tell that its already more amplified with the ridge over the Rockies for 12Z Friday. Clearly it's going to pull west towards the EC. I'm going to head down to Wegman's before that Leesburg guy buys all the milk, and before he can track me down and assault me in the produce aisle for having insulted his "logic and implied conclusion". You know how people out there in Leesburg can be, it's really not any better than West Virginia. Were it not for the tiny Best Buy kiosk, you'd think you were in a snowless version of Elkins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Available only to subs. DT should be able to post for Salisbury. Thanks Kevin, much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I genuinely felt that the euro would start moving towards the a consensus mean (consensus with the rest of the global models) by 12Z today. Instead it basically just spit out the same forecast that it had from 0Z. It's perhaps 6hr slower but other than that...it's pretty much the same forecast. I was discarding this single OP model as repeating its mistakes of the last several weeks. At this point any reasonable person would have to question their stubbornness. I can't see the UKMET past 72hr, but I can tell that its already more amplified with the ridge over the Rockies for 12Z Friday. Clearly it's going to pull west towards the EC. I'm going to head down to Wegman's before that Leesburg guy buys all the milk, and before he can track me down and assault me in the produce aisle for having insulted his "logic and implied conclusion". You know how people out there in Leesburg can be, it's really not any better than West Virginia. Were it not for the tiny Best Buy kiosk, you'd think you were in a snowless version of Elkins. When the met is running to the grocery store, you know we are in BIZNESS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I genuinely felt that the euro would start moving towards the a consensus mean (consensus with the rest of the global models) by 12Z today. Instead it basically just spit out the same forecast that it had from 0Z. It's perhaps 6hr slower but other than that...it's pretty much the same forecast. I was discarding this single OP model as repeating its mistakes of the last several weeks. At this point any reasonable person would have to question their stubbornness. I can't see the UKMET past 72hr, but I can tell that its already more amplified with the ridge over the Rockies for 12Z Friday. Clearly it's going to pull west towards the EC. I'm going to head down to Wegman's before that Leesburg guy buys all the milk, and before he can track me down and assault me in the produce aisle for having insulted his "logic and implied conclusion". You know how people out there in Leesburg can be, it's really not any better than West Virginia. Were it not for the tiny Best Buy kiosk, you'd think you were in a snowless version of Elkins. Why you!!! I'm gonna talk to the town and make sure you Ashburners pay triple for water that us leesburgers pay. I have a full set of my own teef by the way...don't lump us in with WV. Hope you get lots of snow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowJoe Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I thought it would be more east (trending to GFS). I was wrong about that. Sometimes it's good to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Anyone know where I can find the Euro QPF numbers? Or is it subscription only? Trying to figure out SBY. 2.40" for SBY. It'd seem like there might be a period in there where .88" could be mixed with IP. At that time T85 is at -3.3C and TSFC is 1.6C. The total for IAD would be 1.45" and DCA would be 1.65". The 850mb to SFC temps would argue for fairly high snow ratios in this area. RIC looks to be 2.06" and, again, -9C to -11C aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I genuinely felt that the euro would start moving towards the a consensus mean (consensus with the rest of the global models) by 12Z today. Instead it basically just spit out the same forecast that it had from 0Z. It's perhaps 6hr slower but other than that...it's pretty much the same forecast. I was discarding this single OP model as repeating its mistakes of the last several weeks. At this point any reasonable person would have to question their stubbornness. I can't see the UKMET past 72hr, but I can tell that its already more amplified with the ridge over the Rockies for 12Z Friday. Clearly it's going to pull west towards the EC. I'm going to head down to Wegman's before that Leesburg guy buys all the milk, and before he can track me down and assault me in the produce aisle for having insulted his "logic and implied conclusion". You know how people out there in Leesburg can be, it's really not any better than West Virginia. Were it not for the tiny Best Buy kiosk, you'd think you were in a snowless version of Elkins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Why you!!! I'm gonna talk to the town and make sure you Ashburners pay triple for water that us leesburgers pay. I have a full set of my own teef by the way...don't lump us in with WV. Hope you get lots of snow!! Oh man that whole water argument...sick of that one. I missed that injustice by something like 3mi. It's a whole different world over here along Claiborne parkway. Oh, and by the way, I wasn't trying to imply that you were so poor that you'd have to share a set of teeth with someone else. I'm sure you were able to get your own set... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Richmond's all time record gets destroyed if the 12z EURO verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Oh man that whole water argument...sick of that one. I missed that injustice by something like 3mi. It's a whole different world over here along Claiborne parkway. Oh, and by the way, I wasn't trying to imply that you were so poor that you'd have to share a set of teeth with someone else. I'm sure you were able to get your own set... That's the other dude in Leesburg... Claiborne parkway?? The lady that cleans our house lives over that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Richmond's all time record gets destroyed if the 12z EURO verifies. Wonder what their season record is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Rudimentary question, but one I'd like to ask: did the storm slow down again (ie, does it hit us later) than before, or did it hit in the same timeframe? I'm just curious because the timeframe has already shifted quite a bit it seems like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The 12Z UK is definitely well east of the EC...but it's even more impressive with the system, a full 8mb or more deeper, and, yes, it seems like it's probably a bit west of its last track...but definitely not the 12Z EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 FWIW, if the 12z EURO run were to be realized, what would the winds be like? I see 65kts 850 winds at 120... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Claiborne parkway?? The lady that cleans our house lives over that way. Yup, that's why we're putting up a taller, slipperier plastic fence around our neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The 12Z UK is definitely well east of the EC...but it's even more impressive with the system, a full 8mb or more deeper, and, yes, it seems like it's probably a bit west of its last track...but definitely not the 12Z EC. Jesus 966 right there?? bound to get some precip thrown back far with that. I think I saw the RH maps and the 80% was by our house but DC was in the 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 im definitely getting enthused now... hard to hug one model but the euro solutions here are almost identical at least dc south qpf-wise last three runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 what is the updated time line for the storm?It now seems more a Sunday afternoon-Monday event for me.Is this right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 what is the updated time line for the storm?It now seems more a Sunday afternoon-Monday event for me.Is this right? euro drops about .1" across the dc area by 0z MON... looks to wind down between 18z Mon and 0z Tue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 what is the updated time line for the storm?It now seems more a Sunday afternoon-Monday event for me.Is this right? I was going to ask this myself....it looks that way, but I don't really have a "start" time for say RIC up to DCA to PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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