stormtracker Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 18z is better. .5-.75 through 138 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ender Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 18z run of the DGEX looks good! 988 off Delmarva and 978 off AC. Showing 12"+ from DC. Balt and up I95! http://raleighwx.ame...zdgexp72156.gif I guess everyone's new favorite model is the 18Z NAM now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 18Z suite is better for us. NAM looks best of all, but it is the 18Z NAM at 84HR. I hope we see some good runs at 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Geeze everyone excited with the 18z models which usually suck and them will be sad at the 0z runs tonight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Geeze everyone excited with the 18z models which usually suck and them will be sad at the 0z runs tonight lol No they don't. There's not much difference in scores with them vs 0z/12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinBerk Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Fellow Weather Geeks: Don't sweat the small stuff this early. If you must then pick out the fine tuned subtleties in the models such as the stronger blocking and slightly stronger CA shortwave for 18Z Wed from this18Z compared to the 12Z GFS.... That is why this storm looks like it is back on for the east. Don't worry about every single model. We just saw this last week with the GFS. The overall pattern is what you need to focus on. Stay the course and only worry if two main runs in a row differ greatly. Stay the course and have faith in the flakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Fellow Weather Geeks: Don't sweat the small stuff this early. If you must then pick out the fine tuned subtleties in the models such as the stronger blocking and slightly stronger CA shortwave for 18Z Wed from this18Z compared to the 12Z GFS.... That is why this storm looks like it is back on for the east. Don't worry about every single model. We just saw this last week with the GFS. The overall pattern is what you need to focus on. Stay the course and only worry if two main runs in a row differ greatly. Stay the course and have faith in the flakes! just don't go to Glen Burnie and say that,OK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Geeze everyone excited with the 18z models which usually suck and them will be sad at the 0z runs tonight lol Do you think you can stick to trolling just one thread at a time? So I can go to whichever one your not in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I just called suicide prevention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Imagine if you will a stream flowing along from west to east. It's a very smoothly flowing stream as the culvert it's in is one of those big wide concrete rivers they have in places like Las Vegas. Now imagine that there's side culverts that can dump into, or along side, the rushing river of rain water. Some jack--- dumps his 20 sewage tankers into one of those side culverts and the ensuing slurry rushes down to meet the swiftly flowing river of crisp clean rain water. The result is a beautiful tapestry of brown and clear, and at the area of greatest laminar flow gradient you get complex whirls and even deep vortexes in the water. Well, it's not precisely like that as it has a lot more to do with the linking of jet exit regions, one to the northern and the other in a more southern stream of flow, with the result being a region that's particularly favored for surface low deeping via outstanding UL divergence. +10000 EXCELLENT analogy And, I LOVE Las Vegas!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I just called suicide prevention I just called to warn them of crank calls from Leesburg, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I just called suicide prevention aren't they tired of hearing from you by now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I just called to warn them of crank calls from Leesburg, VA I just called them warning of a guy warning them of a crank calls from Leesburg, VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Haven't been paying close attention to the news, but the man on the street is already expecting snow on Christmas. Several people said to me today, "I hear a storm is coming for Christmas." I couldn't find it in myself to go into detail about how everything is still less than conclusive on that front. Anyway, let's bring it home in the next 24 to 48 so I feel comfortable, saying, "yes, I believe one is." (As an aside, the clerk at the Exxon station also believes snow is coming tomorrow -- I guess from the Clipper?. I just nodded and said, "Oh really?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Looks like 00Z GFS is bringing sexy back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbfan Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 i hope this is good news> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Yay for 00z not killing our hopes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 i hope this is good news> The track on the 00Z GFS is nearly perfect. Verbatim, we get 3-5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbfan Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 your in maryland though. im in southern va . how does it look for around here? im not good at reading models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Just remember when you feel bad someone north gets 1.5' ... I will share pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ALL from RIC NEward can come back off the ledge now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The track on the 00Z GFS is nearly perfect. Verbatim, we get 3-5 inches. we got 90 inches last year....3-5 is simply unacceptable when 150 miles north and NE is getting 12-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 we got 90 inches last year....3-5 is simply unacceptable when 150 miles north and NE is getting 12-24 You are stoopid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 GFS gives us a nice 3-6 inche overrun event then dry slot, while I-95 from Philly to Boston gets hammered - typical miller B. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Just remember when you feel bad someone north gets 1.5' ... I will share pics. No need to be an ass, dude. Seriously... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 You are stoopid have fun with your 3 inches while 100 Miles north of you, there are yellow and red bands while its flurying for us. THe GFS gave us 32 inches a few days ago and i have to believe that option is still on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 have fun with your 3 inches while 100 Miles north of you, there are yellow and red bands while its flurying for us. THe GFS gave us 32 inches a few days ago and i have to believe that option is still on the table You should go beat up the guys at HPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 You should go beat up the guys at HPC. i just hate how we just accept 3-5 and say great storm. We have shown that this area is capable of major snowstorms. We arent Richmond or Raleigh. We can get legit storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 we got 90 inches last year....3-5 is simply unacceptable when 150 miles north and NE is getting 12-24 3-5" is a gift considering we're in a moderate/strong LA NINA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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