Kmlwx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lolz spc They should have just kept the 15%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Quite a long discussion on the MD issued by SPC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Is there really a risk for a few spin-ups tomorrow? Eh... GFS soundings I guess would say enough is there for a 2% risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 Is there really a risk for a few spin-ups tomorrow?Probably embedded stuff (the usual) mainly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Probably embedded stuff (the usual) mainly. So the usual QLCS crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 They should have just kept the 15%.Yeah no real reason for the overnight shift. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Yeah no real reason for the overnight shift. Oh well. Maybe we should have Eastern Region SPC and then Central Region and so on. You've said many times SPC can sometimes be lacking in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I really hope LWX doesn't go trigger happy for twigs down in the forest. STW up in Culpeper/Southern Rappahannock/Northern Madison for damaging winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Can they really bust if they put a 5% tornado risk? Or a hatched 45% for that matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 STW up in Culpeper/Southern Rappahannock/Northern Madison for damaging winds That storm actually has legs. Tops approaching 50,000 ft. and a nice hail core. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 first stuff def going to want to run south of dc area. might be more later tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 first stuff def going to want to run south of dc area. might be more later tho. Looks like a slight bow echo in that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Def more to come. Already stuff trying to fire up on the ridges in WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 yep and a good bit of lightning with it as well. Looks like a slight bow echo in that line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Wouldn't be surprised to see SPC pull the trigger on a watch soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 first stuff def going to want to run south of dc area. might be more later tho. one day we will get lucky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 That warned cell appears to be starting the dive SE from Culpeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT TREES HAVE BEEN UPROOTED AND A BARN DESTROYED. ^Culpeper warned cell Officials in Culpeper also report numerous trees down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Another small cell about 5 ENE of Front Royal is going, echo tops up to 35kft and building. Nice single cell if it can sustain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 1752 UNK REVA CULPEPER VA 3849 7813 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. CARPORT DAMAGED. BARN AND FENCE DAMAGED. (LWX) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 That thing popped fast. Another small cell about 5 ENE of Front Royal is going, echo tops up to 35kft and building. Nice single cell if it can sustain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT TREES HAVE BEEN UPROOTED AND A BARN DESTROYED. ^Culpeper warned cell Officials in Culpeper also report numerous trees down don't hang out in a barn during severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 don't hang out in a barn during severe weather well, maybe it depends on the barn. we had some pretty good barns when i was a wee one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 NWS has issued a statement on that one, decent VIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 one day we will get lucky 3 more years till the next real derecho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Could see quick hail threat... 6.5 C/KM mid-level lapse rates have shown up DC S and SE on the 1800 SPC meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Meh, save the good storms for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Another small cell about 5 ENE of Front Royal is going, echo tops up to 35kft and building. Nice single cell if it can sustain. I've been watching it go up. Skies turning black as night just to my east (as usual). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 NWS has issued a statement on that one, decent VIL. Now warned... Leesburg just north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I'm thinking wet microburst with that destroyed barn, conditions seems to be right today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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