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June 24-? severe weather discussion


Ian

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Even if they come through non-severe... night time lightning is always fun to enjoy and look at

they're pulsing meh again for now. we need a meso to tell us what to think.

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post-1615-0-66850700-1372206862_thumb.gi

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1230   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   0722 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...WRN NJ...NERN MD...NRN DE   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE    VALID 260022Z - 260145Z   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT   SUMMARY...SEVERE SQUALL LINE/MCS IS MOVING SEWD AT 40-45 KT OVER   CNTRL PA THIS EVENING. THE MCS MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT AREAS OF SERN   PA...WRN NJ...NERN MD...AND NRN DE OUTSIDE OF WW 365 DURING THE NEXT   1 TO 2 HOURS. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW.   DISCUSSION...THE 00Z RAOB FROM IAD SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF A   WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH MLCAPE   VALUES GENERALLY AROUND 1000-1500 J/KG. THIS THERMODYNAMIC   ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH A VEERING DEEP-LAYER WIND PROFILE...PER   AREA VWP/S...MAY AID IN MCS MAINTENANCE AND A CONTINUED THREAT FOR   DAMAGING WINDS AS SYSTEM APPROACHES PORTIONS OF SERN PA...WRN   NJ...NERN MD...AND NRN DE. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A NEW WW.   ..GARNER/CORFIDI.. 06/26/2013   ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...   LAT...LON   40487640 40757581 40457463 39647494 39037583 39147743               40487640 
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Good call on this one Ian. Has a nice appearance, velocities are increasing nicely. DC Baltimore could be game on.

Still could fall apart I guess but it's starting to run into a better environment again. We shall see.
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