Eskimo Joe Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 Cell NW of capon bridge is rotating Two funnel cloud reports along the Chesapeake Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 I'm on board. This train of moisture stretches all the way to the Caribbean...someone is going to get some serious rains over the next 24 - 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 30, 2013 Share Posted June 30, 2013 I'm on board. This train of moisture stretches all the way to the Caribbean...someone is going to get some serious rains over the next 24 - 36 hours. Upgradintg MehCon Factor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 ..CAROLINAS TO MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES ISOLATED TSTM WIND GUST POTENTIAL HAS LIKELY WANED ACROSS A BROAD PORTION OF THE EASTERN CONUS WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HOWEVER...A MOIST AIRMASS /NEAR 70 OR LOWER 70S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE COMMON/ EXISTS TO THE EAST OF A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE THAT ROUGHLY PARALLELS THE APPALACHIANS SPINE. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEEP/MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY YIELD A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES TONIGHT IN AREAS SUCH AS NC/VA AND PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS PA...BUT THE OVERALL TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN QUITE LIMITED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 ..CAROLINAS TO MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES ISOLATED TSTM WIND GUST POTENTIAL HAS LIKELY WANED ACROSS A BROAD PORTION OF THE EASTERN CONUS WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. HOWEVER...A MOIST AIRMASS /NEAR 70 OR LOWER 70S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE COMMON/ EXISTS TO THE EAST OF A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE THAT ROUGHLY PARALLELS THE APPALACHIANS SPINE. A MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN CONJUNCTION WITH DEEP/MODERATELY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW MAY YIELD A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES TONIGHT IN AREAS SUCH AS NC/VA AND PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS PA...BUT THE OVERALL TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN QUITE LIMITED. You conveniently left out how any severe probs skip right over our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 You conveniently left out how any severe probs skip right over our area. I know its meh and doubtful... but thought I would post it anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Pretty anamalous pattern setting up for the area. With a blocking high off the eastern seaboard and a closed upper level low over the IL/IN border the stage is set for a conveyor belt of rich tropical moisture to stream into the Mid Atlantic. Between the mountains and a stationary front draped over the region it will not take much to produce training showers and thunderstorms. The water vapor satellite and 500mb analysis depicts this nicely, with precipitation already taking shape over Florida and eastern Georgia. heavyrainfall.PNG This precipitation will not be a gully washer for everyone, but those who do get under the line could experience flooding not seen for a few years. Our flash flood guidance has been lowered by the recent thunderstorms and showers from last week, so the flash flood watch is certainly justified. This certainly has my interest. EDIT: Going with a MehCon Factor of 6/10 It better get its act together then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Swing and a miss! That little cell missed us to the west. I saw cracks in the dry garden beds this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 1, 2013 Share Posted July 1, 2013 Looks like we have 2"+ PWats over the region today. That will keep lapse rates in the crapper. Stronger speed shear expected for today though, so we'll probably see some better storm organization compared to this past weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.