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June 24-? severe weather discussion


Ian

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DISCUSSION...BAND OF STG-SVR TSTMS ACROSS SWRN PA...GARRETT COUNTY   MD AND NERN WV IS MOVING THROUGH RELATIVE MOISTURE MIN ATTM...BUT   WILL ENCOUNTER SUBSTANTIALLY RICHER THETAE OVER ERN MTNS AND   ADJOINING PIEDMONT.  SEVERAL REPORTS OF TOPPLED TREES HAVE BEEN   RECEIVED FROM PASSAGE OF THESE TSTMS.  FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF   THIS ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...AS IS CONTINUED SVR THREAT WITH MORE   WIDELY SCATTERED BLEND OF DISCRETE AND CLUSTERED CONVECTIVE MODES   FARTHER E TOWARD DE VALLEY AND CHESAPEAKE BAY REGIONS.  UPSCALE   AGGREGATION OF COLD POOLS IS POSSIBLE FROM ANY OF THIS   ACTIVITY...ENHANCING POTENTIAL FOR FORWARD-PROPAGATIONAL DAMAGING   WIND ON MESOBETA SCALE.   SOME SUPERCELL RISK ALSO EXISTS...PRIMARILY FROM EXTREME SRN PA SWD   ACROSS ERN WV PANHANDLE AND MD INTO NRN VA...THEN SHIFTING EWD OVER   DELMARVA/NJ.  THAT AREA LIES BENEATH ENHANCED BELT OF MID-UPPER   LEVEL FLOW THAT OFFSETS VEERED BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS ENOUGH TO   GENERATE 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES.  PRECONVECTIVE AIR   MASS SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLY UNSTABLE FOR NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH SFC   DEW POINTS 70S F IN LOWER ELEVATIONS AND INSOLATION CONTRIBUTING TO   MLCAPE 1500-2500 J/KG E OF BLUE RIDGE. 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1292.html

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I'm hesitant to say the line will be all that impressive here. I guess we have a chance north of DC but there's been rain there as well. Question is how bad the overturning is - probably much worse to the south but damage might be done across the entire metro. 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

337 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

NORTHERN CHARLES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND...  

SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF MANASSAS PARK IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHWESTERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  

SOUTHERN FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 400 PM EDT  

 

* AT 332 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS DETECTED NEAR LAKE  

RIDGE...OR NEAR DALE CITY...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS  

STORM HAS PRODUCED HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND  

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

WOODBRIDGE...  

LORTON...  

NEWINGTON...  

FRANCONIA...  

FORT BELVOIR...  

HYBLA VALLEY...  

GROVETON...  

FORT WASHINGTON...  

BELLE HAVEN...

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Big big hail

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  343 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013    MDC017-033-VAC059-153-685-282000-  /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0124.000000T0000Z-130628T2000Z/  CHARLES MD-CITY OF MANASSAS PARK VA-PRINCE WILLIAM VA-  PRINCE GEORGES MD-FAIRFAX VA-  343 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013    ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT  FOR THE CITY OF MANASSAS PARK...AND FAIRFAX...PRINCE GEORGES...PRINCE  WILLIAM AND CHARLES COUNTIES...    AT 341 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS DETECTED NEAR LORTON...OR 6  MILES NORTH OF WOODBRIDGE...AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.    THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS   AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.    LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...    FORT BELVOIR...    FRANCONIA...    MASON NECK...    MOUNT VERNON...    POTOMAC HEIGHTS...    FORT WASHINGTON...    HYBLA VALLEY...    TANTALLON...    ACCOKEEK...  
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  

345 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A  

 

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...  

THE SOUTHERN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...  

NORTHERN CHARLES COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND...  

EASTERN ARLINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

CITY OF ALEXANDRIA IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

SOUTHERN PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...  

SOUTHEASTERN FAIRFAX COUNTY IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA...  

 

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT  

 

* AT 341 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED ALONG A LINE  

EXTENDING FROM REAGAN NATIONAL AIRPORT TO LORTON...AND WERE MOVING  

EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS LINE OF STORMS HAS PRODUCED HAIL UP TO THE  

SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  

 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  

CORAL HILLS...  

OXON HILL...  

MARLOW HEIGHTS...  

FORESTVILLE...  

FORT WASHINGTON...  

FRIENDLY...  

CAMP SPRINGS...  

CLINTON...  

ANDREWS AFB...  

UPPER MARLBORO...

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