H2O Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 PDS -potentially depressing situation Need TORCON update now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Need TORCON update nowI'm issuing a mod risk that Yoda* pastes a lot of warnings later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 I'm issuing a mod risk that Yoda* pastes a lot of warnings later Incorrect. High risk if it states destructive winds in excess of 70mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The back of my house faces due west with a clear view of the sky. Cannot wait to watch storms roll in! You moved already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 The back of my house faces due west with a clear view of the sky. Cannot wait to watch storms roll in! You moved already? Nah, official moving day is next Friday. But the house is ours so we are there now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nah, official moving day is next Friday. But the house is ours so we are there nowMight as well christen it right away. With storms I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Full on cloudy here in the Loudoun hinterlands, but we got a few hours of good sun prior to the clouds moving in. 89/71 should mean some good instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Derecho, long track's or bust. 240 miles of wind damage reports = derechoese's's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 I'll go with a MehCon Factor of 3/10 today. What is a MehCon? Is that the likelihood of 'meh' - meaning that a 3 means 30% chance of 'meh' and 70% chance of EF5 on the mall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Stuff popping locally now. Time to muck up the main line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Stuff popping locally now. Time to muck up the main line!Pre derecho wedgefest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nah, official moving day is next Friday. But the house is ours so we are there now Might as well christen it right away. With storms I mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Were the windows down? Zipper was. By accident, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Pre derecho wedgefest This is pretty classic DC. We'll probably see the stuff near us congeal into a semi organized cluster (token warnings with verification in a few isolated spots). Then we will all watch the line fizzle into stratiform precip as it heads towards us into the overturned airmass. I think I've got DC down really well now. Only took me 21 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Stuff popping locally now. Time to muck up the main line! Screw the main line, we need some isolated supercells! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Hours and hours of storms on tap. Serious bidness! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. Lolwut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. Calm yourself, they're obviously not going to issue a watch from Ohio to the coast, lol. Another will be coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. You'll be blue boxed eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 New watch coming out on weather radio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Yeah us!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Let's goooo supercells! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Yeah us!? Its basically exact same as watch issued an hour ago... but perhaps better chance of sups here looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 387 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 210 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA NORTHEAST VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF COLUM TO 15 MILES NORTH OF TRENTON NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 385...WW 386... DISCUSSION...A FURTHER INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH WERE THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. CURRENT VAD DATA INDICATE THAT 50 KT WLY WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE REGION AT 6 KM AGL WHICH IS RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030. ...MEAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. You don't have to worry anymore SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 387 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-029-031-033-035-037- 039-041-045-047-510-290100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0387.130628T1810Z-130629T0100Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL CHARLES DORCHESTER HARFORD HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE`S SOMERSET ST. MARYS TALBOT WICOMICO WORCESTER MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wow we would get left out. SPC is going to pay for this. Like I was saying... Watch issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 DISCUSSION...A FURTHER INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED THISAFTERNOON ALONG A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH WERE THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. CURRENT VAD DATA INDICATE THAT 50 KT WLY WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE REGION AT 6 KM AGL WHICH IS RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 387 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 210 PM EDT FRI JUN 28 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA NORTHEAST VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF WASHINGTON DISTRICT OF COLUM TO 15 MILES NORTH OF TRENTON NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 385...WW 386... DISCUSSION...A FURTHER INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH WERE THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG. CURRENT VAD DATA INDICATE THAT 50 KT WLY WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE REGION AT 6 KM AGL WHICH IS RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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