wxmeddler Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Surprise showers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 fail wx is fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Severe downpour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Dump right up there with yesterday's but maybe quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Dump right up there with yesterday's but maybe quicker Did we really need to know this Ian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Nice pop-up downpour around 9:30pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Dump right up there with yesterday's but maybe quicker Wow you must have some severe hemorrhoids by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 gooo nam4k! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Looks like 00z NAM sounding at 21z is the best out of the lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 We should probably just set our expectations at a passing shower just to be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 we're not even good at heat this year...we suck at all weather except annoying wind And jungle grade humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 In addition to a Tornado Watch tomorrow, let's throw in a Winter Storm Watch too, just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 my guess is spc will bring the slight north. wiggle room. tho the nam is still pretty insistent on keeping n md cape free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 At least we aren't Amarillo and near OKC with t'storm warnings for outflow and no storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 my guess is spc will bring the slight north. wiggle room. tho the nam is still pretty insistent on keeping n md cape free. Prediction: 06z = shift north, 13z = see text, 1630z = slight risk back as storms form too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Prediction: 06z = shift north, 13z = see text, 1630z = slight risk back as storms form too far south. 06z = SLGT risk. 13z = 30% wind nudged just south of us.... 1630z = SLGT risk nudged just south of us 2000z = there were supposed to be storms today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 my guess is spc will bring the slight north. wiggle room. tho the nam is still pretty insistent on keeping n md cape free. SLGT risk went all the way to C PA on new Day 1 2/15/30... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Wind shear is much better looking for severe today, though with more of a westerly component to the surface winds, the tornado risk is probably going to be best in southern VA and the coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Where have I seen this before? Hmmmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Where have I seen this before? Hmmmmmmmm Richmond wins again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Snzzzzz. It will go south. Ditto: We can't muster up a decent storm/snow. Monday was the best round here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Woostorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Woostorms Storms should congeal into a nice line but some discrete structures could also make it a pretty interesting day. CHO/CJR (Culpeper)/NHK (Pax) looking like the best spots for the day. I think the 30% could verify N of the M/D line but like MTN south and west to CHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Derecho of death inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Hmm hadn't looked at radar. Today screwed up by timing? Always something here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Hmm hadn't looked at radar. Today screwed up by timing? Always something here.That batch in the mountains could minimize the threat in some areas. Would clear behind quickly, but whoever doesn't get anything from that is obviously better off. Might mix some behind too, so yeah, its always something. Shear is substantial behind this along with CAPE, so not the end all be all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 That batch in the mountains could minimize the threat in some areas. Would clear behind quickly, but whoever doesn't get anything from that is obviously better off. Might mix some behind too, so yeah, its always something. Shear is substantial behind this along with CAPE, so not the end all be all. Remain vigilant. 81/66 here with a down sloping west wind feels great out there today, not the stormy kind of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 28, 2013 Share Posted June 28, 2013 Still a fair amount of obs with dews aoa 70 - let's see what that muck out west does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 28, 2013 Author Share Posted June 28, 2013 Eskimo Joe is our resident naysayer these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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