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June 24-? severe weather discussion


Ian

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There really was no need for this red box.  Most areas south of I-70 won't even see a storm.

 

not sure i agree.. pretty standard for this area. i think the main tor risk is along the track of the low/pseudo warm frontal area tho.

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There really was no need for this red box.  Most areas south of I-70 won't even see a storm.

I'd say thanks to the passing shortwave in association with the flow S of the boundary assists with rotation. Like Ian just said its run of the mill for the area. By no means is the threat a large one, but spin-ups aren't out of the question in addition to damaging gusts. 

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Did SPC not notice this?

 

They mentioned it in the meso discussion. Their box didn't go as far west as the watch ended up so LWX must have decided to include the VA counties. Dews aren't much lower but CAPE is a good deal lower behind it.

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