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E PA/NJ/DE/Okle: Banter/Non Storm OBS thread


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mcd2002.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2002

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0441 AM CDT FRI NOV 01 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN NY/THE ERN HALF OF PA/WRN NJ/NRN MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 558...

VALID 010941Z - 011115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 558
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A FORCED CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES CROSSING THE
APPALACHIANS...ALONG WITH ATTENDANT/LOCAL RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
A DOWNSTREAM WW SPREADING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF PA AND VICINITY
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOPS SHOW A NARROW/LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE
LINE MARCHING EWD ACROSS WRN NY/CENTRAL PA AND SWD ACROSS MD/ERN WV.
WHILE NO LIGHTNING HAS BEEN OBSERVED WITH THE LINE...LOCALLY
STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS CONTINUE...AS VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL WINDS
CONTINUE TO BE LOCALLY MANIFEST AT THE SURFACE COINCIDENT WITH THE
CONVECTIVE LINE. DESPITE A LACK OF INSTABILITY...EXPECT CONVECTION
TO REMAIN LINEARLY ORGANIZED AS IT CONTINUES SHIFTING EWD/ENEWD
AHEAD OF THE STRONG UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. AS THE
STORMS GRADUALLY SHIFT E OF THE EXISTING WW WITH TIME...NEW WW
ISSUANCE IS ANTICIPATED.

..GOSS/MEAD.. 11/01/2013

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Not that I'm expecting anything but warnings are up:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
837 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WARREN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  WESTERN MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
  MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  SOUTHERN SUSSEX COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
  BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...
  NORTHERN NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...
  CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 945 AM EDT

* AT 832 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THIS LINE
  EXTENDED FROM HIDDEN LAKE TO LEHIGH UNIVERSITY TO GREEN LANE TO
  HONEY BROOK TO GLEN ROY...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. THIS LINE IS
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THERE IS LITTLE TO NO LIGHTNING BEING DETECTED WITH THIS LINE,
HOWEVER VERY STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE CAN MIX DOWN WITH
THE LINE AS IT MOVES THROUGH RESULTING IN WIND DAMAGE.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FIVE POINTS...
  WEST GROVE...
  KENNETT SQUARE...
  FRANKLIN...
  HAMBURG...
  CONCORDVILLE...
  BRYN MAWR...
  WILLOW GROVE...
  GERMANTOWN...
  WOODSIDE...
  MILLSTONE...
  LEVITTOWN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS LINE MAY CONTAIN LITTLE OR NO LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT TO HEAR
THUNDER BEFORE TAKING COVER. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A
STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM EDT
FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

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Maybe Tony or another meteorologist at Mt. Holly can speak to this, but I've been having issues submitting storm reports on weather reporting form. Every time I click submit, it tells me I must sign up for a Microsoft account and blocks the submission. So for today I clicked on that hyperlink below "click here if you are having problems using this" and send my report to the 3 email addresses listed.

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Maybe Tony or another meteorologist at Mt. Holly can speak to this, but I've been having issues submitting storm reports on weather reporting form. Every time I click submit, it tells me I must sign up for a Microsoft account and blocks the submission. So for today I clicked on that hyperlink below "click here if you are having problems using this" and send my report to the 3 email addresses listed.

Please email directly to [email protected] if issues are present. We'll look into it once the storms pass. 

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Maybe Tony or another meteorologist at Mt. Holly can speak to this, but I've been having issues submitting storm reports on weather reporting form. Every time I click submit, it tells me I must sign up for a Microsoft account and blocks the submission. So for today I clicked on that hyperlink below "click here if you are having problems using this" and send my report to the 3 email addresses listed.

Our ITO is correcting this today. Thanks for bringing it to our attention. 

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Got down to 32F at KWWD for the first time this season.  Also a north wind made for a 23F wind chill.  No frost, low dews.  Hopefully killed the mosquitoes that plagued me Saturday evening. 

Torch until mid-month then a pattern flip? 

nope mid month big torch with nobody sure how long it will last

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