We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter

[Brian5671]

Does it make it to tolland, plz

Per the NYC thread, it makes it to NYC area-verbatim, it's low 70's from NYC N and E for the 2nd half of the week

[CoastalWx]

Maps?  when?

 

The overall look starting next weekend. It's got the front hung up over the east coast. Hopefully it stays west.

[ORH_wxman]

Holy Sultan signal on the GFS.

 

 

Starting to look more like th Euro and ensembles.

 

 

If that setup stays as we get closer, someone may need to post the SOS pic of Ginx.

[Ginx snewx]

Starting to look more like th Euro and ensembles.

If that setup stays as we get closer, someone may need to post the SOS pic of Ginx.

pattern persistence

[free_man]

 

[free_man]

That looks fascinating not only from the rainfall standpoint, but perhaps getting a "Bertha"-like system lined up.

[Damage In Tolland]

Lets keep it muggy as hell with storms late next week. Fine with us if that run verifies

[N. OF PIKE]

Holy Sultan signal on the GFS.

Any 384 gfs qpf weenie fodder image

[Brian5671]

Any 384 gfs qpf weenie fodder image

yeah, I want to see a minimum of 10 inches of QPF over New England.

[CoastalWx]

Any 384 gfs qpf weenie fodder image

 

 

yeah, I want to see a minimum of 10 inches of QPF over New England.

 

It wasn't 10", but looked wet. And Kevin, that's 500mb not the surface.

[N. OF PIKE]

yeah, I want to see a minimum of 10 inches of QPF over New England.

Do you have "it could happen tommorrow" on replay

[Damage In Tolland]

I know. It would be humid on SE flow with dews mid- upper 60's with downpours and storms. It's almost July then.. Not April

[Typhoon Tip]

Actually upon closer inspection ...that technically not a backdoor for us up here. It arrives from a NW component... It's more a backdoor down in the MA.  

 

Lots of whole-scale continuity issues here.

[ORH_wxman]

I know. It would be humid on SE flow with dews mid- upper 60's with downpours and storms. It's almost July then.. Not April

 

 

Lol at stratiform rain in June?

[Damage In Tolland]

Lol at stratiform rain in June?

Thats not strat rain there lol

[Tropopause_Fold]

haven't had a chc to go back through the last few pages - i assume many have already brought up the big SS later next week on the euro and now the GFS. that would be a huge rainer in localized spots. 

[weathafella]

Blazing heat in parts of the nation next week. 588 thickness TX panhandle up into extreme sw NE. Yikes!

[weathafella]

That's per today's euro.

[Tropopause_Fold]

going to be a pretty short-lived heat i think. 2-3 days...maybe 4? euro is really raising heights out west quickly as the ridge retros quickly. also looks like a hint at some BDCF-action mid-week.

[ORH_wxman]

Frontage in here Wednesday afternoon/evening...could set off some decent storms.

 

Backdoor murk on Thursday though...has a chunk of the area in the 50s at 18z Thu!!

[Brian5671]

Blazing heat in parts of the nation next week. 588 thickness TX panhandle up into extreme sw NE. Yikes!

Wow.  Torch City.

[Damage In Tolland]

[Bostonseminole]

Frontage in here Wednesday afternoon/evening...could set off some decent storms.

 

Backdoor murk on Thursday though...has a chunk of the area in the 50s at 18z Thu!!

 

50'S?>???? man going on vacation Friday, hoping for some warmer weather!!

[weathafella]

Noyes will bust badly beyond d5-6

[Damage In Tolland]

Noyes will bust badly beyond d5-6

What would you like to wager? We are heading into a totally different pattern change

[weathafella]

Noyes will bust badly beyond d5-6What would you like to wager? We are heading into a totally different pattern change

The euro says we're not.

[Damage In Tolland]

The euro says we're not.

As the mets always say .. Anything past Day 4/5 in Euro usually doesn't work out

[Quincy]

As the mets always say .. Anything past Day 4/5 in Euro usually doesn't work out

So should we toss the Euro beyond 96hr for now on and use a GFS/DGEX blend?

[Tropopause_Fold]

euro is basically a 4 to 5 day pattern shift (including this weekend) and then it's back to a big trough.

[weathafella]

Euro has mid day temps 15+ subnormal Thursday and Friday of next week.