We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter

[CoastalWx]

By next Friday, Powderfreak will be evacuating his apt complex.

[dendrite]

Haven't washed my car in over a year. Looks fine.

I only do it to get the salt off. Other than that, I like it when the truck is a little dirty.

[dendrite]

Glad we don't live there

I'm glad you don't too.

[CoastalWx]

I'm glad you don't too.

 

Lets see if he says those words in winter when his snow vaporizes from an inside runner while you bulletproof your snowpack.

[N. OF PIKE]

By next Friday, Powderfreak will be evacuating his apt complex.

Moscow village and sterling valley may be areas to watch for. They were in 2011. (Stowe area)

[Bostonseminole]

When I go to PEI I get red mud all over the car, looks like I've been mudding, never wash it off, that is what rain is for.

[CT Rain]

That actually may be one of the most significant sultan signals outside of a TC that I've ever seen. 

 

The axis may wind up far enough west to give us a dry day or 2 in there but not good.

[CoastalWx]

That actually may be one of the most significant sultan signals outside of a TC that I've ever seen. 

 

The axis may wind up far enough west to give us a dry day or 2 in there but not good.

 

I'm hoping to avoid the heaviest rains for the most part...definitely not climo for ern MA, but that's more precarious out west and in NNE.

[CT Rain]

I'm hoping to avoid the heaviest rains for the most part...definitely not climo for ern MA, but that's more precarious out west and in NNE.

 

Yeah you guys are in much better shape. That's a pretty ugly signal for E NY, NW CT, W Mass, VT, N NH. 

[MaineJayhawk]

I'm glad you don't too.

We know he wants to live in the North Conway/Glen area. That has been documented.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah you guys are in much better shape. That's a pretty ugly signal for E NY, NW CT, W Mass, VT, N NH. 

 

Lots of ski workers holding each other by their pony-o's as they float down river?

[CT Rain]

Lots of ski workers holding each other by their pony-o's as they float down river?

 

Mud slides for all

[moneypitmike]

Yeah you guys are in much better shape. That's a pretty ugly signal for E NY, NW CT, W Mass, VT, N NH. 

 

THank God--I could use a little rain.

[Tropopause_Fold]

That actually may be one of the most significant sultan signals outside of a TC that I've ever seen. 

 

The axis may wind up far enough west to give us a dry day or 2 in there but not good.

yeah.

 

how do euro ens precip probs look? 

[CoastalWx]

yeah.

 

how do euro ens precip probs look? 

 

Really wet. Sort of looks like western NE/eastern NY axis.

[Damage In Tolland]

Maybe the rest of us escape with Bermuda blues and high dews..while all that you see to our west is the party in the back side of the Pony tails floating

[CoastalWx]

Maybe the rest of us escape with Bermuda blues and high dews..while all that you see to our west is the party in the back side of the Pony tails floating

 

I know we are far out, but it does look serious.

[CT Rain]

yeah.

 

how do euro ens precip probs look? 

 

I don't have access to them. I imagine quite wet though with the trough axis as such. 

 

The Euro ensemble mean has more anomalously low heights in the D6-D10 range than the op run does. I think what potentially saves us from a 7-day long SOS is the ULL retrograding a bit and bringing the heaviest rain axis over central PA/NY.

[CT Rain]

Maybe the rest of us escape with Bermuda blues and high dews..while all that you see to our west is the party in the back side of the Pony tails floating

 

Meh. Next week looks like a terrible week for vacation. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Meh. Next week looks like a terrible week for vacation.

Nothing wrong with high dews Bermuda blue in the mornings and Pm storms that bang into the night

[CT Rain]

Maybe the rest of us escape with Bermuda blues and high dews..while all that you see to our west is the party in the back side of the Pony tails floating

 

One of the most annoying phrases to be used on this board. 

[CT Rain]

Nothing wrong with high dews Bermuda blue in the mornings and Pm storms that bang into the night

 

I'm guessing you don't understand how these ULLs work lol

[Damage In Tolland]

One of the most annoying phrases to be used on this board.

Tippy started that one

[Damage In Tolland]

I'm guessing you don't understand how these ULLs work lol

You start out sunny and clouds billow as sun goes to work by noon ish,, then heavy rainers . Repeat daily . Sort of like our version of the western Monsoon

[CoastalWx]

You start out sunny and clouds billow as sun goes to work by noon ish,, then heavy rainers . Repeat daily . Sort of like our version of the western Monsoon.

[CT Rain]

You start out sunny and clouds billow as sun goes to work by noon ish,, then heavy rainers . Repeat daily . Sort of like our version of the western Monsoon

 

OK

[dendrite]

Get your tan in between 10 and 11.

[Brian5671]

Meh. Next week looks like a terrible week for vacation. 

Wow-I lucked out taking this week....was worried when we picked it that it might be a bit early, but not at all August weather in June

[Damage In Tolland]

What am I not reading right?

[CoastalWx]

What am I not reading right?

 

Well it all depends where it sets up. With the front and dynamics west, you may get some passing downpours from time to time, but tstms are few and far between. But this isn't a daily tstm deal unless you are another 50-100 miles west. You may have to wait for a wave to develop perhaps on the front if you want convection.