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We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter


Typhoon Tip

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That is a good point. The amount of warnings we get up here compared to actual definition verification (1" hail and/or 58+ MPH winds) is very disproportionate. There are many marginal storms that get warned.

 

In hindsight of last week's event, I could see why a Watch and/or MD was not warranted. There were only a few non-severe thunderstorm reports across the area.

 

I wonder if the radar can be tuned to trip warnings at a lower criteria -

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I have one in my br, but ... not going there for any reason - ha

 

 

Anyway, ... 11 warnings and no watch...   Sorry that's incompetent.  period. 

There have been numerous reports of quarter to golf ball-sized hail in central NY, where there was no Watch or MD...

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There have been numerous reports of quarter to golf ball-sized hail in central NY, where there was no Watch or MD...

 

right, and they issued a MD for marginal wind for us farther east...  I guess... if that activity collapses and sends an outflow wave down our wave?

 

Also, TCU glaciating to my N of S NH now... looks like a line formulating. 

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right, and they issued a MD for marginal wind for us farther east...  I guess... if that activity collapses and sends an outflow wave down our wave?

 

Also, TCU glaciating to my N of S NH now... looks like a line formulating. 

Tip what am I missing here, is it possible to somehow mix down those winds way up at the tropopause?

post-532-0-50880200-1372105734_thumb.gif

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"Marginal wind damage" from those 15 knot winds we'll mix down from H7 :lol:

 

Ehe... you're talking about momentum transfer alone in your sarcasm.    Negative CAPE is a different subject matter.   If you have a mass of air parcel that falls below the pseudo-adiabat a wet microburst can take place in an otherwise shearless environment.   There's that, and, anytime there is a 60dbz return on a rad sweep the intensity of the column alone can generate non -burst winds that can get impressive.  

 

In general, there's been enough warnings tripped and reports of large hail to justify a bone-head move by SPC on this one.   

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Ehe... you're talking about momentum transfer alone in your sarcasm.    Negative CAPE is a different subject matter.   If you have a mass of air parcel that falls below the pseudo-adiabat a wet microburst can take place in an otherwise shearless environment.   There's that, and, anytime there is a 60dbz return on a rad sweep the intensity of the column alone can generate non -burst winds that can get impressive.  

 

In general, there's been enough warnings tripped and reports of large hail to justify a bone-head move by SPC on this one.   

Thanks for the explanation Tip, I will have to read up on wet microbursts so I don't make anymore smart-a** remarks. :arrowhead:

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Dry begets dry.

 

The epic damaging drought getting hyped in April and early May has turned into 11-16 inches of rainfall up in this part of New England since May 10th. 

 

We are *only* at around 6" so far for June but should be able to add to those numbers over the next week. 

 

I still vote for the damaging drought to be on the biggest fails I've ever seen hyped on these forums, lol.

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Missed the excitement at home as I was in Boston at the museum of Science.  Saw the warning up for the Pit and caught a look at the radar and the report from my station. 

 

Got to my high of 86.4 at 2:30 (got 86.7 yesterday).  Now sitting at 66.3/64.  .59" from the first round with another heavy batch moving in.

 

Deck disaster.  Time for a new umbrella.  Blew the 80lb table and the whatever pound umbrella base right off the deck.

 

 

 

 

post-462-0-75800500-1372116186_thumb.jpg

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The epic damaging drought getting hyped in April and early May has turned into 11-16 inches of rainfall up in this part of New England since May 10th. 

 

We are *only* at around 6" so far for June but should be able to add to those numbers over the next week. 

 

I still vote for the damaging drought to be on the biggest fails I've ever seen hyped on these forums, lol.

 

lol--7.87" on the month so far, 10.56" since May 16th.

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QPFMike's outdoor office all ashambles! Sorry about the damage. Or possibly it's "congrats"?

 

 

LMAO.  The umbrella's toast, but other than that was just lifiting the table and chairs back up.

 

I'll really get a tan during the mornings now! 

 

Winds suddenly gusting again as the next round approahces.  Nce comfortable evening.

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High of 95 and DP of 72. No skeeters to speak of at tryouts but the black flies were friggin' ruthless. Just pelted.

 

Knock on wood--we've been doing pretty well in the bug deparment this year.  Black flys were a pretty minor nuisance here this spring; very few deer flys have been unremarkable, and even the mosquitos haven't been that big a pain.  Given the constant rains, I'd have thought we'd be much worse.

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93+ Max temps today...

 

NH

MHT 95

ASH 94

CON 93

PSM 93

 

MA

BOS 95

TAN 95

LWM 94

FIT 94

OWD 94

PYM 94

BAF 94

CEF 93

BVY 93

 

CT

BDL 94

HFD 94

 

RI

PVD 93

 

That's just gross. Gross here, too, but not that hideious.   Local GC sites highs for the day (per wunderground):

 

Shelburne--   86.4

Ashfield --      86.1

Charlemont-- 93.0

Plainfield --    88.9

Chesterfield--87.1

Windsor--      81.0

Cheseter--     89.1

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