Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

Recommended Posts

powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

And it's not typical of Spring to want days and days of near 90F and high dews. 60s/70s with low dews is more typical of our Springs. I would say Spring performed close to climo this season.

 

Trying to figure it out will make your head explode.  He just wants extremes...doesn't seem to be a fan of weather that 90% of the public finds enjoyable.  Those days of 60-70F under blue skies with 20% RH must be boring or something.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 1.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

true tell us what you are doing to enjoy the weather

 

lol... circa 2007

 

"I guess you could sit inside the AC and watch the temperature inch up."

 

Either way, it is about time for some summer weather...right about on time at the end of June.  It will be a good change of pace for a few days as it looks like it doesn't stick around.  Not shaping up to be one of those summers where it moves in and stays for 6 weeks straight.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Interesting...GFS moves through weak cold front during the day on Tuesday while the NAM seems to not move it through at all and is quite unstable here on Wednesday while the GFS has nada for instability.  

 

Biggest threat the next few days?  Weak t-storms but heavy heavy rainers? 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Yeah torrential downpours will certainly be the biggest threat over the next few days.  Can't rule out a pulse severe storm though, with strong winds as cores collapse 

 

Upgraded to a slight risk today and now a possible watch....

 

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1186   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   1201 PM CDT SUN JUN 23 2013   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THROUGH NERN NY...CNTRL VT AND NH   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE    VALID 231701Z - 231900Z   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING THIS   AFTERNOON FROM SWRN THROUGH ECNTRL/NERN NY INTO CNTRL VT AND NH.   THIS ACTIVITY MAY POSE A MODEST RISK FOR MAINLY LOCALLY STRONG WIND   GUSTS. SOME SMALL HAIL MIGHT ALSO OCCUR. OVERALL SEVERE RISK DOES   NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY ROBUST...SO ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL ULTIMATELY   DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS.   DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON STRONG DIABATIC WARMING OF THE   MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF NY AND SRN NEW   ENGLAND WITH MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES RISING   THROUGH THE 80S. THE LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE FROM 1500-2000   J/KG...AND CUMULUS CONGESTUS IS EVIDENT ALONG SW-NE ORIENTED CLOUD   STREETS FROM SWRN THROUGH NCNTRL NY. CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS   SUFFICIENTLY WEAK AS TEMPERATURES WARM TO UPPER 80S FOR THUNDERSTORM   INITIATION ALONG LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS. THIS REGION RESIDES   WITHIN A LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER RIDGE WITH WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND   MODEST DEEP LAYER WINDS SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELLS. THE WEAK SHEAR   ENVIRONMENT AND WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ULTIMATELY SERVE AS A   LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...THE   DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES   WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT FOR STRONG WIND   GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS CAN GROW UPSCALE INTO SMALL CLUSTERS OR   LINE SEGMENTS.   ..DIAL/KERR.. 06/23/2013   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Mets piggy piling on hapless Blizzy continues

 

Nah, Kev's a friend....   You have to understand the man and his origin.  He was the type of boy out behind the shed with a long stick, poking at the entrance of the bee-hive because in his deviance he enjoyed the chaos of the swarm.  This love of torment and anarchy has matured along with him, in such a way that when he drops these little verbal ecstatic bombs they serve as a metaphor toward full-filling that native, inside desire to incur that same wrath as the devious young tormentor with a long stick.  We're just all his little bees, and ...call our "pig piling" more like him getting stung for doing that poking.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
#NoPoles

#NoPoles

Posted
Posted

Nah, Kev's a friend....   You have to understand the man and his origin.  He was the type of boy out behind the shed with a long stick, poking at the entrance of the bee-hive because in his deviance he enjoyed the chaos of the swarm.  This love of torment and anarchy has matured along with him, in such a way that when he drops these little verbal ecstatic bombs they serve as a metaphor toward full-filling that native, inside desire to incur that same wrath as the devious young tormentor with a long stick.  We're just all his little bees, and ...call our "pig piling" more like him getting stung for doing that poking.

me thinks the meteorologist doth analyze too much :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
  • Author
Posted

Looks like the Euro caves to the GFS for the end of the week. Warm and muggy right through Friday for most so far.

 

Not to come off heavy handed but the writing was on the wall with that.  The GFS was really pretty dern consistent all along, and the Euro was wavering on the BD, having solution ranging from almost none, to the next cycle having us in the 50s and 60s with strata loading.   It was always outside that D4.5 wheel-house too.

 

 

Now watch... but the GFS and the Euro come back with the BD tonight - ha

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...