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We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Tent cities are going all over

 

I'm close to suffocating up here... dragging the Adirondack chair into the river out back in a few minutes.

 

My first 68F dew of the year right now.  NNE is baking in moisture right now (I can see haze lifting off the field, its disgusting) from the rain yesterday and now filtered sunshine and 80s.

 

Dews are near 70F on the whole up here...even a few 72s and 73s showing up.  Hopefully we mix this crap out a little, but man look at even the Adirondacks.  A lot of those stations are like at 2,000ft and still are showing dews near 70F.  You have to go to the Whiteface Summit (just shy of 5,000ft) to get that dew of 61F.

 

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weatherwiz

weatherwiz

Posted
Posted

It's a shame we just can't have stronger wind fields or lapse rates over the next several days.  We def will have threats for convection every day with the threat for some pulse-type storms, but despite the lack of shear aloft, especially speed shear, there is actually some decent directional shear.  

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Muggy, but the rain has been keeping us cool so far today. 69/69 with occasional showers.

 

Interesting obs up this way... most of the ASOS stations are showing partly to mostly sunny though I really haven't seen much if any sun. 

 

It is either just that hazy out or there's so much low level moisture that it looks cloudy out but the ASOS can't tell?  The visible sat doesn't look that bad, but you can't see anything that resembles clear or sunny skies.

 

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
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The Euro looks less raw for late week then previous runs for the Tri-State region although it is still fairly wet. 12z GFS is a little cooler, but still keeps the boundary in ME.

 

Interesting obs up this way... most of the ASOS stations are showing partly to mostly sunny though I really haven't seen much if any sun. 

 

It is either just that hazy out or there's so much low level moisture that it looks cloudy out but the ASOS can't tell?  The visible sat doesn't look that bad, but you can't see anything that resembles clear or sunny skies.

 

attachicon.gifimage24.jpg

The ASOS will only report clouds up to 12k so if there's a mid-level deck in there they will miss it. BDL, BOS, and PSM all have 25k ceilometers and are reporting SCT-BKN layers above 12k. There's quite a bit of haze too so that isn't helping.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

Why do you like summer in spring and early fall? Why can't spring perform as spring and fall perform as fall?

 

We all wonder that too when he flips to cold/snow mode on like October 15th...even though if you want seasons to perform as seasons, you realistically wouldn't start looking for snow till early December.  All November all we hear is deep winter moving in when that's not usually the case.  Same with summer moving in in late April.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
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We all wonder that too when he flips to cold/snow mode on like October 15th...even though if you want seasons to perform as seasons, you realistically wouldn't start looking for snow till early December.  All November all we hear is deep winter moving in when that's not usually the case.  Same with summer moving in in late April.

And it's not typical of Spring to want days and days of near 90F and high dews. 60s/70s with low dews is more typical of our Springs. I would say Spring performed close to climo this season.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted

With the upcoming warmer departures, we'll see what happens to the negative departures.

 

Saint Johnsbury, VT is running around -4F for June so far....  we haven't see this type of streak of negative departures in a while. 

 

20 straight days without a positive departure. 

 

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