We appear to near the threshold into a new pattern - good opportunity to start a new forecast/banter

[Brian5671]

anyone think those MCS's in the midwest give us more clouds that currently forecast for tomorrow?

[weathafella]

84/55 at BOS now. Perfect.

[Typhoon Tip]

Will's right about that synoptic impression but I caution that is not likely to even happen that way in its self (as is)..

[Damage In Tolland]

AWT

[ORH_wxman]

AWT

 

Going with the GFS?

[ORH_wxman]

Will's right about that synoptic impression but I caution that is not likely to even happen that way in its self (as is)..

 

 

Given that we are 6-7 days out, I think anything can happen at this point and it wouldn't be surprising. We could see a low go to our north and stay completely warm sectored...or we could get 3 days of onshore murk and neither would shock me.

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro much much better esp Pike south. GFS leading way?

[Typhoon Tip]

Given that we are 6-7 days out, I think anything can happen at this point and it wouldn't be surprising. We could see a low go to our north and stay completely warm sectored...or we could get 3 days of onshore murk and neither would shock me.

 

Exactly... 

 

One other thing, the GFS had afternoon convective QPF nodes everywhere like everyday next week... If there is ANY tendency for a boundary of the BD ilk in the area, thunderstorm processing will DEFINITELY drill it south whether the GFS sees that or not.  Folks should keep that in mind, too

[powderfreak]

In honor of today being the 21st and the days getting shorter from here on out (decline to winter is now in progress)...

 

Mt Hutt Ski Resort in New Zealand picked up 40" (100cms) in 20 hours yesterday.  That's a decent storm.

 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro much much better esp Pike south. GFS leading way?

 

Its actually worse on Thursday south of the pike than north since that is where the rain is.

[CoastalWx]

Euro ensembles are ugly Thursday and Friday, but maybe hold out hope for a warmer weekend. Tough to say, but it may be wet too.

[Damage In Tolland]

Tossed

[ORH_wxman]

Tossed

 

 

So we'll let the record show here that you are going with the GFS and tossing the Euro/Euro ensembles/Canadian.

[CT Rain]

So we'll let the record show here that you are going with the GFS and tossing the Euro/Euro ensembles/Canadian.

 

We should wager a 5ppd with this. 

[Ginx snewx]

In honor of today being the 21st and the days getting shorter from here on out (decline to winter is now in progress)...

 

Mt Hutt Ski Resort in New Zealand picked up 40" (100cms) in 20 hours yesterday.  That's a decent storm.

 

one of the Museums researchers is there. I have been texting with him. Ferocious storm

[Damage In Tolland]

Yup it will not be in the 50's for 2 days next week

[ORH_wxman]

Yup it will not be in the 50's for 2 days next week

 

 

That's not really going out on a limb.

 

 

 

[CT Rain]

Yup it will not be in the 50's for 2 days next week

 

Good call. We agree. 

[Damage In Tolland]

That's not really going out on a limb.

Nothing lower than mid - upper 60's with similar dews

[Damage In Tolland]

Good call. We agree.

Which is why we're tossing the Euro

[Ginx snewx]

Nothing lower than mid - upper 60's with similar dews

Thats friggin cold for summer

[dendrite]

Nothing lower than mid - upper 60's with similar dews

30 straight days of torch?

[Ginx snewx]

30 straight days of torch?

days and days of high dews and high temps? Pattern change?

[Damage In Tolland]

30 straight days of torch?

And likely warmer

[dendrite]

EC ens keep the trough in the east right thru d15 after the torch to start next week.

[CT Rain]

Dewpoint is 62 here. HFD is 63. Looks like a normal lawn doesn't have the magical ET of Mount Tolland. 

[Ginx snewx]

Dewpoint is 62 here. HFD is 63. Looks like a normal lawn doesn't have the magical ET of Mount Tolland. 

63 here

[Damage In Tolland]

BOX has upper 70's end of next week. Someone gonna bust

[Damage In Tolland]

Dewpoint is 62 here. HFD is 63. Looks like a normal lawn doesn't have the magical ET of Mount Tolland.

Dews were forecast to be cool in the 50's so we lucked out

[dendrite]

BOX has upper 70's end of next week. Someone gonna bust

I doubt they're overly focused on d7 temps...it's probably being played close to climo.