Gilbertfly Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Thunder hasnt stopped for 25 minutes....been constant....wish it was 11:00 o'clock at night it has remained very hot and humid here for whatever reason...could see things backbuild over us or the line retain into us...kinda weird after getting poured on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Same here....constant thunder. Just had a wind gust about 50 mph blow in. Leaves are flying off of the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Meh.... Nice downpour but nothing exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 complex looks to be stalling dang near over head as it peters out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Hate these good cape days that are screwed over by weak mid-levels. Glad that will change over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 keep bouncing back and forth between hot and humid and cool and dry.....clouds above literally aren't moving....should make things fun tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Heard the marine alarm go off when the advisory went out. I see cumulus towers all around, but nothing really that close by atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Nice half an inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 the slowest moving bowing line segment......in.....the......world Edit: It's a boundary palooza at my house....cool wind shifts every other minute That's the way it is here now. Winds keep in flipping to different southerly and westerly directions. Temperature didn't stay down long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Lamest looking warned cell ever in LOT now? Legit reports though. No, that award goes to the low-topped shower back on 5/22/13 that hit Wayne County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Tuesday and Wednesday are starting to look very interesting locally. Especially if the GFS ends up being correct with a stronger further south system. Pulled a real nice forecast sounding off the 18Z NAM for my backyard Wednesday afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Kirksville to Ottumwa area starting to get active with incipient cells. SPC mulling a possible watch for sw IA as LLJ starts to do its thing. Maybe these cells will move to the Quad City area and Cyclone can get some storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Kirksville to Ottumwa area starting to get active with incipient cells. SPC mulling a possible watch for sw IA as LLJ starts to do its thing. Maybe these cells will move to the Quad City area and Cyclone can get some storms. I was thinking the LLJ would be aimed further north tonight, since the warm front has surged northward. Is there a good site for viewing the LLJ? -anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Pulled a real nice forecast sounding off the 18Z NAM for my backyard Wednesday afternoon: Tell me about it, I will be closely watching this week. May have to get out and chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 namCGP_con_stp_054.gif Wednesday doesn't look so bad either as the s/w rounds the northeastern periphery of the ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 GGEM definitely jumped on the slower and further south train on the 00z run. I'm interested to see if this slowing trend continues to the point where we have the mid level jet and attendant stronger deep layer shear rounding the base of the trough in time so low level winds aren't as veered (on Wednesday) and accordingly higher tornado potential is evident. Supercells going in IA eastward across the MS River on Tuesday evening may have a great environment to work with (despite somewhat weaker mid/upper) level flow as well assuming storm mode doesn't go awry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 DTX not very excited for Wednesday A SIGNIFICANT WAVE IS ON SCHEDULE FOR WEDNESDAY...LIKELY TRACKINGTHROUGH SOMETIME DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE CONCEPTUAL MODEL LOOKSGOOD AND HAS THE WAVE IN THE RIGHT PLACE...BACKSIDE OF SHORTWAVERIDGE STRUCTURE ON NOSE OF LEADING UPPER LEVEL JETLET. EXACTTRAJECTORY IS AGAIN A HEADACHE WITH MODELS DIFFERING. THE PREFERENCEIS WITH A MORE NORTHERN AND ZONAL TRACK...SIMILAR TO THEECMWF...WHICH PUSHES THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LAKEMICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LAKE HURON. THIS SOLUTION ALSO SUPPORTS LESSIN THE WAY OF LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING/SLOWING SINCE TRANSIENT MOTIONOF IMPRESSIVE THETA E RIDGE SHOULD CAUSE THE HEIGHT FALLS TO FLASHACROSS THE STATE. THE LOW WILL LIKELY TRACK WITH THE NOSE OF THATFEATURE. THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR SOME CAPPING ACROSS THE CWAEARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE CONVECTION FILLS IN BY MIDDAY. EQUALLY GOODINSTABILITY IS ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY BUT BULK SHEAR VALUES WILL BENOWHERE NEAR AS HIGH. ORGANIZED SEVERE DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 zzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 I agree alek, the last three complexes have found a way to just skirt and miss us near the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 I agree alek, the last three complexes have found a way to just skirt and miss us near the lake. 95% of the wx since ground hogs day blizz has been zzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Anyone want to explain why all this is dying out? Not that I mind since it's been happening on my day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Already getting some breaks in the overcast. Hopefully we can get some instability to build as that complex in Iowa moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Anyone want to explain why all this is dying out? Not that I mind since it's been happening on my day off. LLJ weakening and weak large scale forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Sun is coming out more and more here. Up to 75°/67°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 New day one outlook has expanded the slight risk east, basically to the IL/IN border...30% winds to BMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 yep, should see another decent complex run from the quad cities on south east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 I kinda like Tuesday and especially Wednesday's potential around here. Shear definitely looks better than what we've seen lately and that is going to make a difference I think. Would think that Wednesday's probs will get raised in some of that large 15% area as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 Watch issued for IA/IL/MO. Should see the complex across IA/MO develop into a nice elongated bow. Unfortunately the lingering activity across the DVN/LOT CWA's probably killed the threat farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 24, 2013 Share Posted June 24, 2013 Watch issued for IA/IL/MO. Should see the complex across IA/MO develop into a nice elongated bow. Unfortunately the lingering activity across the DVN/LOT CWA's probably killed the threat farther north. I'm liking my position in Peoria right now Joe Needed a boat here last night/this morning though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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