hm8 Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 SEMI Popcorn Sent from my HTCONE using Tapatalk 4 Beta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Wow, Chambana, that's impressive! Storms in NW Iowa have potential to grow? Sounds of uncertainty in the last LOT AFD. THE DECAYING STORMS OVER NORTHEAST IL ANDREMNANT CLOUDS MAY ALSO LEAVE A BOUNDARY THAT COULD FOCUS NEWSTORM GROWTH IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MORNING ACTIVITY MAY ALSO SERVETO STABILIZE THINGS A BIT LONGER OVER NORTHEAST IL. STILL MUCHUNCERTAINTY BUT WILL KEEP POPS AROUND 20-40 PERCENT ACROSS THEFORECAST AREA FOR THE REST OF TODAY. HAVE ALSO TWEAKEDTEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST IL. EXPECTSOUTHERLY WINDS TO REDEVELOP AFTER THE MORNING OUTFLOW DIMINISHESAND DAYTIME HEATING KICKS IN. NOT ANTICIPATING A LAKE BREEZE BUTIF STORMS REDEVELOP TODAY WINDS COULD FLUCTUATE AND/OR COME IN OFFTHE LAKE FOR A TIME. AREAS IN THE FAR SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECASTARE MOST LIKELY TO REACH 90 WHILE NEAR THE WI BORDER OR IN AREASIMPACTED BY STORMS TEMPS MAY ONLY REACH LOW 80S. WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENTLOW LEVEL INSTABILITY FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY HEAVYDOWNPOURS...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER WITH 0-6 KM BULKSHEAR RATHER WEAK AND FAIRLY WARM AIR ALOFT...NOT ANTICIPATINGORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER TODAY...OR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...AS PERSPC OUTLOOKS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 If anything grows out of the northwest Iowa, it won't make it here til Wednesday. In all seriousness, I doubt it. Maybe a stray thunderstorm if we're lucky. In my personal opinion. Hopefully I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Some nice towering Cumulus way off in the distance... Can just see the silhouette of it Sent from my HTCONE using Tapatalk 4 Beta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Was just spotting in southern Huntington Co., watching a pulse storm. It collapsed right over me. Got penny sized hail, zero visibility and an estimated 65 mph gust. I was sitting in a cemetery and watched the shingles come off of the entire side of the office of the cemetery. I then checked the a area for damage and found several healthy trees broken or uprooted, a 40' x 50' section of roof off of a confined feeding barn, and a couple of doors blown off of steel barns. This damage was all in a 2 square mile area. Quite the microburst, exciting stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 New storms firing in the ARX & MPX cwa and back into northern IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 New storms firing in the ARX & MPX cwa and back into northern IA. Looks like DDL will have the stormiest night of those in this subforum. Maybe a chance that storms will develop for Madison and Milwaukee, but any further south is questionable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Those are some monster cells popping there. The sun is now out here. Wonder if its too late to increase instability. New storms firing in the ARX & MPX cwa and back into northern IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Looks like DDL will have the stormiest night of those in this subforum. Maybe a chance that storms will develop for Madison and Milwaukee, but any further south is questionable. Yeah most likely. The RAP does turn the cells more easterly later on. Those are some monster cells popping there. The sun is now out here. Wonder if its too late to increase instability. Dewpoint is creeping up here with filtered sun. Maybe the LLJ can provide some storm support again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Yeah most likely. The RAP does turn the cells more easterly later on. Dewpoint is creeping up here with filtered sun. Maybe the LLJ can provide some storm support again tonight. The development just north of Madison is what I'll be keeping an eye on. They're moving easterly to start, perhaps they will buck the trend and start shifting south of due east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Go east go east! I don't want the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 22, 2013 Share Posted June 22, 2013 Go east go east! I don't want the rain I was just going to say, you're probably ecstactic that you will likely be wedged in between two cells/clusters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Only good thing is it would drop the temps... Dew point here is 72F now...ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Only good thing is it would drop the temps... Dew point here is 72F now...ugh The storms up near Winona are digging southeastward, and may impact you guys later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Feels like the tropics out there after that spell of sun and upper 60 dewpoints. yuck. Looks like MSN will get hit by these cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Poured here...then strong winds...sky was funky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Might catch the southern end of the storms here, but they will almost certainly weaken, pretty cool and slightly more stable air here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 It was odd, seeing storms move from north to south. Ugh, all this moisture, on top of maturing corn, dew points could be hit 70, models showing lower 90s. Looks like that low gets pushed back north, northwestward tomorrow, should keep us storm free. It's been nice having these hot temps, but the lack of sunshine upsets me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 It was odd, seeing storms move from north to south. Ugh, all this moisture, on top of maturing corn, dew points could be hit 70, models showing lower 90s. Looks like that low gets pushed back north, northwestward tomorrow, should keep us storm free. It's been nice having these hot temps, but the lack of sunshine upsets me. Well just be thankful you don't live in Milwaukee or Traverse City or a like climate. I don't mind it since I'm not a heat lover, but for those who love the heat, they are not good places to live at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Tornado warning for Columbia county WI. Does that break the tornado warning drought for MKX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Well just be thankful you don't live in Milwaukee or Traverse City or a like climate. I don't mind it since I'm not a heat lover, but for those who love the heat, they are not good places to live at all. Where abouts do you live in Wisconsin? I took trip up the mississippi through western illinois, all the way up to superior, hitting all the state parks on my way up. Wisconsin is beautiful. Would love to go snowmobiling sometime in the winter up there. Heard its wicked fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Where abouts do you live in Wisconsin? I took trip up the mississippi through western illinois, all the way up to superior, hitting all the state parks on my way up. Wisconsin is beautiful. Would love to go snowmobiling sometime in the winter up there. Heard its wicked fun. Just west of Milwaukee, the immediate western suburb, so I am close enough to Lake Michigan to feel the effects of the lake breeze (mostly good, except when it stabilizes the atmosphere for incoming convection). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 According to MKX, a spotter just reported a tornado on the ground 3 miles SW of Rio in Columbia County (per their FB page). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 We have a MCS in the making I think. Rough night for Milwaukee metro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 The line in WI seems to be taking on a southward movement. Wonder how far south it will go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 23, 2013 Author Share Posted June 23, 2013 Gonna be similar evolution of things to last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 The line in WI seems to be taking on a southward movement. Wonder how far south it will go. I would think the cold pool will drive it to at least Racine. Probably down this far at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 I would think the cold pool will drive it to at least Racine. Probably down this far at some point. Like the Milwaukee area, your area will be spared from convection thanks (or no thanks) to the easterly flow. See that batch of storms hit the fan between Milwaukee and Madison? That's the dry east flow and the OFB racing out ahead of it. Ironically, that same OFB will actually probably warm us up as our winds will shift back west most likely. Pretty much the worst of both worlds, but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Like the Milwaukee area, your area will be spared from convection thanks (or no thanks) to the easterly flow. See that batch of storms hit the fan between Milwaukee and Madison? That's the dry east flow and the OFB racing out ahead of it. Ironically, that same OFB will actually probably warm us up as our winds will shift back west most likely. Pretty much the worst of both worlds, but oh well. Yeah the onshore flow is a pain in this case. Will probably get some more rain tonight nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted June 23, 2013 Share Posted June 23, 2013 Yeah the onshore flow is a pain in this case. Will probably get some more rain tonight nonetheless. I don't think rain, look what happened, even the moderate to heavy rain shriveled up from those stronger storms. Until the OFB moves through and perhaps shift the winds back west, the convection to the west will probably either train or push slowly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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