Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Northern IN has lit up nicely. Quality lighting show here with the blob moving through. Always a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Last night I had colorful pinkish cloud to cloud sheet lightning as the storms rolled through. Quite impressive. Very heavy rain and usual lightning moving through here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Good light show to my S and SW with some occasional strikes overhead and all around me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Another dud of a night in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Another dud of a night in Chicago. Are you kidding me? You just got hit by a major bow echo yesterday evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 LOT... MCV MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS UPDATE CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA PER GOES SATELLITE EXTRAPOLATION.EXPECTATION IS THAT THIS CIRCULATION WILL MOVE OUT OF THEEAST/SOUTHEAST COUNTIES BY 10 PM CDT. CONVECTION WHICH CONTINUESTO BUBBLE OVER LAKE MICHIGAN/NORTHWEST INDIANA AND OVER THE SOUTHEND OF THE LAKE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS THEMCV COMPLETES ITS TRANSIT OF THE AREA BEFORE MOVING EAST OF THEFORECAST AREA. SUBSIDENCE/STABILIZATION IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OFTHIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY SUPPRESS NEW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THECENTRAL PART OF THE NRN IL CWA FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS...ANDTHEREFORE AFTER COLLABORATION WITH SPC HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVELASALLE...KENDALL...GRUNDY AND WILL COUNTIES FROM SEVERETHUNDERSTORM WATCH 363.WHILE PREVIOUS CONVECTION HAS STABILIZED LOW LEVELS ACROSS THESOUTHERN TIER OF OUR CWA COUNTIES IN 363...INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOWLEVEL JET AS NOTED IN VWP/S TO OUR WEST/SOUTHWEST HAS RESULTED INDEVELOPMENT OF NEW DEEP/STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS WESTERN IL ANDTHESE STORMS MAY PERSIST ABOVE COLD POOL AND MAINTAIN A SEVERETHREAT INTO THE PONTIAC/KANKAKEE AREAS IN ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS.LOOKING FARTHER WEST...MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE ACROSS THE MID-MISSOURIVALLEY WAS NOTED IN GOES VAPOR IMAGERY. LAST VIS IMAGES OF THEEVENING SHOW ACCAS FIELD OVER WESTERN/CENTRAL IA...WITH 3000-4000J/KG OF MUCAPE INDICATED PER SPC/RAP MESOANALYSIS. CONVECTIONALLOWING MODELS INCLUDING WRF-NMM AND HRRR RUNS CONTINUE TO IMPLYTHAT THE IA/WESTERN IL AREA WILL BECOME/REMAIN ACTIVE OVERNIGHT...WITH ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS OF STORMS POTENTIALLY AFFECTING PARTS OFTHE CWA INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. 23Z HRRR RUN SEEMS TO HAVE AREASONABLE HANDLE ON THIS SCENARIO...WITH ACTIVITY CURRENTLYDEVELOPING OVER WESTERN/CENTRAL IL PERHAPS AFFECTING OUR SOUTHERNCOUNTIES THROUGH 05-07Z...THEN DEPICTING DEVELOPMENT OVERCENTRAL/EASTERN IA SPREADING ACROSS NRN IL DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS.HEAVY RAINFALL/SEVERE RISK CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH WARM/MOIST ANDUNSTABLE AIR MASS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Are you kidding me? You just got hit by a major bow echo yesterday evening.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Still very heavy rain here. Spectacular light show just to my south as svr warning issued for 70 mph winds from Wakarusa to Goshen on eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Still very heavy rain here. Spectacular light show just to my south as svr warning issued for 70 mph winds from Wakarusa to Goshen on eastward. nice, high quality little train over there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 lol It's June, we're all greedy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 It's June, we're all greedy I really should have grabbed a video, you all would have laughed. It was very lame and didn't even manage to wet the surfaces under the trees in my courtyard. Kids never even stopped playing at the park. But I digress, you win some and you lose some...severe is hit and miss. It would have been nice to end up under a training MCS during this pattern but that doesn't appear to be in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Here is Peoria I saw some unbelievable flash flooding the other night with those training storms. My neighbor's 5 inch rain gauge was overflowing and he had a lot of water in his basement because their sump pump couldn't keep up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Here is Peoria I saw some unbelievable flash flooding the other night with those training storms. My neighbor's 5 inch rain gauge was overflowing and he had a lot of water in his basement because their sump pump couldn't keep up. You look good for another round tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 You look good for another round tonight. Yea and we'll definitely don't need it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Some returns finally showing up on Des Moines radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 This is stronger than Monday night's 50 mph report from the IWX office. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA1002 PM EDT TUE JUN 25 2013..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..1001 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N NORTH WEBSTER 41.36N 85.70W06/25/2013 E65 MPH KOSCIUSKO IN NWS OFFICE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Another dud of a night in Chicago. Kinda hoping for that up this way. Would like to not be woken up at 3am tonight. I do see some returns showing up north of Cyclone though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Of course the line going through Indiana weakens. What else is new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Yea and we'll definitely don't need it.. Yep, you had record flooding along the Illinois River in the Peoria area in May as I remember and svr storms in your area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 New watch being considered for IL/IN. MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1236 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0920 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL IL...MUCH OF IN CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 363... VALID 260220Z - 260345Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 363 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL THREAT MAY BE DEVELOPING OVER IL AS STORMS REGENERATE ABOVE SURFACE COLD POOL...AND THEN TRAIN EWD /WHERE A HEAVY RAIN THREAT IS POSSIBLE...REFER TO WPC GUIDANCE/. NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED OVER PORTIONS OF IL AND IND. OVER SRN IN...STRONG/SEVERE GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A MULTICELL LINE SEGMENT. OVER NRN IN...LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE PROPAGATING SWD DURING THE NIGHT...AND MAY ALSO POSE MARGINAL DAMAGING WIND THREAT. DISCUSSION...AT 0210Z...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDED NWWD FROM SRN IN INTO CNTRL/WRN IL. A SMALL LINE SEGMENT LOCATED AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE COLD POOL IN SRN IN IS MOVING INTO A WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS WHICH IS AIDING IN MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY. THIS MAY SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. FARTHER W OVER WRN/CNTRL IL...50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET CENTERED OVER THE GREAT PLAINS IS VEERING INTO THE REMNANT SURFACE COLD POOL...AND IS AIDING IN REGENERATION OF STORMS. HIGH THETA-E AIRMASS BEING LIFTED OVER THE COLD POOL IS CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPE VALUES AOA 2000 J/KG...AND WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 30 KT...WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION AND A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. THIS AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A NEW WW. ..GARNER.. 06/26/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 It is really ironic how small t storm cells keep initiating so close to Alek by the north Chicago shoreline and then move eastward. It's like the Greek myth of Tantalus...so close yet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 It is really ironic how small t storm cells keep initiating so close to Alek by the north Chicago shoreline and then move eastward. lol, getting some light showers now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Hopefully IA can light up soon. Small area of 5000 j/kg of MUCAPE in eastern IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1237 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0944 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN IA...NERN MO CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 260244Z - 260415Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER CNTRL/ERN IA AND NRN MO TONIGHT. STORMS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A WW. DISCUSSION...A 30-50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET VEERS NEWD FROM OK/KS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AREA TONIGHT. CONVERGENCE AND WAA LOCATED IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE LLJ COMBINED WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL YIELD AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM CNTRL/ERN IA INTO NRN MO...WITH COOLING CLOUD TOPS OVER CNTRL IA POSSIBLY SIGNALING AN AREA OF INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. VEERING DEEP-LAYER WIND PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAA REGIME WILL SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION...PERHAPS IN THE FORM OF A FEW SUPERCELLS INITIALLY...WITH A TRANSITION TO UPSCALE GROWTH/MCS DEVELOPMENT LATER IN THE NIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A WW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Outside of the sub forum but I noticed the lone cell between Wichita and Dodge City has been stuck in place for about an hour. Moving south at 5mph. Pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Apparently I am under another severe watch until 5 AM .... Been on the watch for awhile today! Please rain so I can breathe outside again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Looks like they just popped several new watches. In fact, the WW they canceled early for portions of LOT has now been replaced by a new WW until 5 am... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 Apparently I am under another severe watch until 5 AM .... Been on the watch for awhile today! Please rain so I can breathe outside again.... Prelim looks like a large watch across IA/MO/IL/IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Prelim looks like a large watch across IA/MO/IL/IN. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 368 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 950 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS WESTERN INDIANA FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM UNTIL 500 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR RAPIDS IOWA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TERRE HAUTE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 362...WW 363...WW 364...WW 365...WW 366...WW 367... DISCUSSION...SCTD STRONG TO SVR TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING ATOP SHALLOW COOL DOME OVER CNTRL/NRN IL AND WRN IND...IN WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT AREA ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING/VEERING LLJ. STRONG...ELEVATED THETA-E ADVECTION AND INCREASING UPR DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF UPR IMPULSE NOW AMPLIFYING OVER THE MID/LWR MO VLY SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WINDS FROM SUSTAINED STORMS...STORM CLUSTERS...AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS. FARTHER W...ADDITIONAL TSTMS MAY FORM LATER TNGT/EARLY WED IN CNTRL IA...CLOSER TO UPR TROUGH AXIS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP ESE OR SEWD...POSING A RISK FOR SVR HAIL AND WIND OVER ERN IA AS THE STORMS EVOLVE INTO A LARGER-SCALE CLUSTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 some of the better returns I have seen outta iowa all day....north of Des Moines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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