A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 severe potential looks pretty garbage for Detroit but elevated bangers for southern suburbs looks like a good bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 Just had torrential rains by my estimate dropped another inch of rain. Models say round 2 tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 What's everyone's thoughts on this evenings/tonight's development back out in Western Iowa? Seems like hi-res models have consistently been showing another major mcs blowing up and charging east/southeast overnight. I think it's a pretty safe bet that something goes up to the west in Iowa, I do suspect it will track southwest of Chicago and follow the current complex through north central illinois....but who knows maybe the llj can help us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 severe potential looks pretty garbage for Detroit but elevated bangers for southern suburbs looks like a good bet Yep. But either way, the Wyandotte weather magnet will probably be in full force this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 Yep. But either way, the Wyandotte weather magnet will probably be in full force this evening. We really haven't got much in the downriver area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 I think it's a pretty safe bet that something goes up to the west in Iowa, I do suspect it will track southwest of Chicago and follow the current complex through north central illinois....but who knows maybe the llj can help us out. There's enough shear that there's a decent chance for some more mesovorticies along the leading edge of the complex. They seem to have a tendency to steer things a bit to the left (north), so that's something to consider as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 25, 2013 Share Posted June 25, 2013 There's enough shear that there's a decent chance for some more mesovorticies along the leading edge of the complex. They seem to have a tendency to steer things a bit to the left (north), so that's something to consider as well. yeah, i'm not overly confident either way with the overnight evolution other than that we'll see a large and mostly non-severe heavy rain maker in the region because that's what the pattern has delivered for quite a few nights in a row. A large mature MCS diving to my southeast isn't idea but we're still bringing plenty to the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Yep. But either way, the Wyandotte weather magnet will probably be in full force this evening. It will even stay south of Wyandotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 644 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 644 PM CDT TUE JUN 25 2013 WITH LITTLE CONVECTION HAVING FIRED YET...HAVE UPDATED WX/POP TRENDS IN GRIDS TO BEGIN HIGHER POPS LATER TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS TRYING TO GET GOING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL IA...BUT NOT HAVING MUCH LUCK. ANTICIPATE ACTIVITY TO NOW DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT WITH LLJ INCREASING. HOWEVER THIS MAY CONFINE ACTIVITY MORE TO THE EASTERN CWA WITH LLJ ORIENTED MORE TOWARD EASTERN IA TOWARD 03-06Z. THEREFORE HAVE ADJUSTED LIKELY POPS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 mood thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Central IL storms fairly active. 0632 PM TSTM WND DMG VILLA GROVE 39.86N 88.16W06/25/2013 DOUGLAS IL EMERGENCY MNGRTREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN VILLA GROVE. 0650 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SE NEWMAN 39.79N 87.97W06/25/2013 M63.00 MPH DOUGLAS IL TRAINED SPOTTERMEASURED 63 MPH WIND GUST 1 MILE SE OF NEWMAN...CORN WASALSO BLOWN DOWN. Closer to home, storms gonna miss my place to the north. Not a drop of rain. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Lots of towers around and nearly constant thunder...best action since this pattern started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Quite a bit of damage in my hometown of Munster, Indiana from the storms yesterday evening. Row of 8-10 power poles were blown over just down the street from my mom. Trees/limbs knocked down in a relatively narrow path in the central/northern stretch of town. Whatever it was had to be producing winds upwards of 80 mph in that narrow zone. Hope to get some pics to post later. Here are the pics. Taken by my mom. Trees down. That blue thing to the right is a large umbrella that was blown over there from the public pool that you see behind the fence. Slight damage to high school Power pole leaning near high school Tree and other branches down Power poles down in background. You only see a few of the 8+ that were blown down. Supposedly lots of trees/large branches down on the more residential streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Pretty cool satellite shot... low sun angle acting to enhance the towers. You can see that frontal boundary extending up into MN that's been mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Central IL storms fairly active. 0632 PM TSTM WND DMG VILLA GROVE 39.86N 88.16W 06/25/2013 DOUGLAS IL EMERGENCY MNGR TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN VILLA GROVE. 0650 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SE NEWMAN 39.79N 87.97W 06/25/2013 M63.00 MPH DOUGLAS IL TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 63 MPH WIND GUST 1 MILE SE OF NEWMAN...CORN WAS ALSO BLOWN DOWN. Closer to home, storms gonna miss my place to the north. Not a drop of rain. Blah. Wow my father lives in Villa grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Everything that gets close to the Ann Arbor area has been fizzling out. It just isn't in the cards tonight locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Had one bolt of lightning and crack of thunder. So all is not lost. More stuff developing back in central IL, but should safely go well south of here. 7/10 split night for the LAF. Next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Everything that gets close to the Ann Arbor area has been fizzling out. It just isn't in the cards tonight locally. Should be a good light show to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Should be a good light show to the south. So far nothing, once it gets dark though I should be able to see the distant lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 So far nothing, once it gets dark though I should be able to see the distant lightning. They're elevated, so I wouldn't doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Svr storms popping up to my ne, south, and west. Looks like it is starting to get active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I'm also wondering if the storms currently sw of PIA arching up to Burlington might develop northeastward and be of interest to northeastern IL as the evening progresses and the LLJ develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Folks in say Toledo and Cleveland could get your everyday 5 hr thunderstorm the way that line is training... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Was just noticing that myself. Looks like things trying to get going there. The next few scans might tell the tale. I'm also wondering if the storms currently sw of PIA arching up to Burlington might develop northeastward and be of interest to northeastern IL as the evening progresses and the LLJ develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 I'm also wondering if the storms currently sw of PIA arching up to Burlington might develop northeastward and be of interest to northeastern IL as the evening progresses and the LLJ develops. I don't think so. Looks like a long night for training for the Champaign area. Disturbance in Iowa is getting close and should also track along the I74 corridor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 I'm also wondering if the storms currently sw of PIA arching up to Burlington might develop northeastward and be of interest to northeastern IL as the evening progresses and the LLJ develops. Most likely. Increasingly agitated CU from that W. IL activity up into NE. IA. ...and another area in C. IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Svr storm warning out for my Elkhart area and environs until 10 EDT for 60 mph winds as storms approach from the sw. Will see what happens with tonight's round. Back yard is filled with moisture loving fireflies this evening. Impressive twinkling sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Haven't had the best of luck over this way either. Storms developed just south of here and with a quick 20 minute burst of rain, it's cooled off to a mild 68 with much drier air. Feels like a cold front went through. I'm willing to bet tonight's action will lay south of the MI/IN border (like usual). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 SPC meso disc out now for sw IA and nw MO for 40% prob of watch issuance. That area would certainly be where the next major overnight MCS would develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 26, 2013 Share Posted June 26, 2013 Just got smoked with torrential rain round 2. Satellite is out, 40 MPH winds, 1.5 inches for the day. Radar is still blowing up Just to my west. EDIT: Just in those few minutes, Rain is coming down in buckets once again. Flash flooding will be an issue tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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