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Severe Weather Threat 6/17 & 6/18


weatherwiz

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Wonder if most if this bypasses CT to the north. Front is stalling and running parallel to flow. Maybe tomorrow is our day

Joe D @JoeDawg42: Watching along/S of Pike for severe threat. Large temp/dewpt spreads, -14C at 500 mb & 40-50kt shear as storms head in from E NY.
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This is ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous.  It's always something here.  We could have a PERFECT setup and a bunch of canary's flying south could fart and that would develop a warm pocket aloft which would prevent convection from developing high updrafts

I think today is going as planned? What do you mean?

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I think today is going as planned? What do you mean?

 

Yeah I agree.

 

It's just these updrafts are having so much trouble but why is that?  I know the dews are on the lower side but that really can't be having such a negative effect on the updrafts, can it?  i guess if you don't have the moisture to lift than I understand.

 

But if it more of the fact that shear is just outweighing buoyancy?  Do we have stubborn warm layers aloft?  A combination?  

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Yeah I agree.

 

It's just these updrafts are having so much trouble but why is that?  I know the dews are on the lower side but that really can't be having such a negative effect on the updrafts, can it?  i guess if you don't have the moisture to lift than I understand.

 

But if it more of the fact that shear is just outweighing buoyancy?  Do we have stubborn warm layers aloft?  A combination?  

 

All the best storms have bee north where temps aloft are cooler. Better dynamics there too. It will all sag ESE so give it an hour or so.

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Whoa!

KPSM 172017Z 29033G50KT 1/8SM R34/0600FT -TSRA GS VV001 25/17

     A2976 RMK LTG OHD= (SPECI)

 

It was wild, sky took that greenish 'big hail' look but didn't see any ice immediate vicinity.  Trees were bending way over at times though with leaves/twigs flying past and C/G was frequent with vis below 1/8 at times.  Clearing now.

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