ORH_wxman Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Precip is definitely filling in a lot faster now over NE PA and the southern tier of NY eastward to the Hudson Valley as the ML center dives SE now over N PA. So I think much of SNE that has been dryslotted will get back into steady rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I just noticed BOX's current forecast has 80% categorical POPS for rain through 2pm tomorrow for a good chunk of the area... This is the ORH forecast... I don't know how steady rain lingers that long tomorrow. And another 1-2" tonight after today's half inch, with up to another 1/4" tomorrow, so plenty more rain coming it would seem. This Afternoon Rain. High near 63. Southeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tonight Rain. Patchy fog. Low around 50. Northeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Friday Rain before 2pm, then showers likely, mainly after 4pm. High near 65. North wind 8 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. That's double what they have for out here--calling for .75" to 1" in my P/C. Up to .73" on the day now with the dry slot on my doorstep. Looks like some back-filling is not far away, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 .34 Surprisingly even the drizzle stopped. Just cloudy.54.9 hideous degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 .34 Surprisingly even the drizzle stopped. Just cloudy.54.9 hideous degrees it's coming back soon. i think stuff is going to start to blossom over BSEIII's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Yeah still looks like we are going to get it good today it's coming back soon. i think stuff is going to start to blossom over BSEIII's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Rate diminished to .10"/hr for about 5 minutes, and I thought we were done. But, the back fill has already arrived and back to .23/hr. .75" on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Really? You see that much impact once/if things fill in? Well NE winds to 30-35 and at the very least sheet drizzle will make it nasty out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 it's going to be interesting to watch the precip shield as the mid-level center (really low level there as well) pivots e and starts override that good S low level inflow that's really apparent on vis sat over NJ / LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 The stuff over NE PA will move east and blossom a bit as H7 and H850 redevelop ESE and we get the LLJ going again. I wouldn't expect bands of heavy rain for hours, but the rain shield will get a boost from mid level processes tonight. Probably a general light to mdt rain with heavier elements in it. Probably will be gaps where nothing much happens too. Pouring currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Wow, really coming down..convective like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Man we cannot shake the trough. Euro and GFS both hinting at cstls again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Pretty strange to see vertical development from stratocumulus off the ocean, but it's there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Wow, really coming down..convective like. How much have you gotten out there so far? Up to .81" here with .34"/hr rate currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 How much have you gotten out there so far? Up to .81" here with .34"/hr rate currently. Youd have 10 inches OTG and I'd have 4 and be losing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 How much have you gotten out there so far? Up to .81" here with .34"/hr rate currently. Not much, was just a downpour from a little band propagating northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Is the convection in VA having any affect on the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Is the convection in VA having any affect on the low I don't think so. The earlier convection south of LI screwed around with the moisture transport north into SNE. Now we'll have to wait for the return flow to get estabished again as the low center itself moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Yeah the real ending for this thing comes from the NW later this evening/night. Should be ending NW /SE after midnight, though who knows how fast. NAM has steady stuff ending over eastern area around 4am it looks like, which means ending in ALB around 11 or midnight or something... But that's the NAM - As others have noted, the dry slot has punched about as far N as it will... In fact, rad is filling back in down to the Pike in Mass already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Upton dropped the flood watches--they're still looking for .75-1.00 QPF tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Sorry if posted earlier, haven't been following... Nice mesolow off Cape with impressive circulation: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Rad has a finger of drizzle/mist/gloom blossoming near Tolland.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 wow, Tor warnings for the Baltimore subburbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 wow, Tor warnings for the Baltimore subburbs Confirmed tornado on the ground... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 thats sweet! Sorry if posted earlier, haven't been following...Nice mesolow off Cape with impressive circulation:ImageUploadedByTapatalk1371153961.598388.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 heavy rain tonight for sne area with total near 3 inches . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 heavy rain tonight for sne area with total near 3 inches . BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 heavy rain tonight for sne area with total near 3 inches . Any more specific than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Just a superbe afternoon here in N Connecticut with drizzle and 54F. I think I'll have to outfit my tractor with pontoon's to cut my grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Scott, check out the SE inflow jet beginning to crank: 131953 SCT070 SCT090 10 63 51 1315G21 072131853 FEW041 BKN075 OVC095 10 61 53 1412G18 075 000131753 BKN085 OVC100 8 -RA 61 56 1308 085 002 002 67 61131653 BKN080 OVC090 10 -RA 64 56 1309 087 000131553 FEW075 OVC090 10 -RA 64 54 1106 085 000 Feeling is that this system's brunt may yet be felt for some. As the rain ball associated with the mid level center settle E/ESE, combined with llv jetlet we'll see the rad fill in over CT/RI again, and it may rain prolifically in these areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 My p/c has me only picking up .10-.25 tonight. That's a downer--had expected more. Meanwhile, up to 1.03 on the day. 51.9/51 Was just dropping my daughter at her art class in Shelburne Falls. Deerfield's running pretty well after the series of events. It's no Irene footage, but looks decent nonetheless. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_H46S19IMFM&feature=youtube_gdata_player Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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