clueless Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Snow weenies are tough. This is all very civilized. No one has even tried to commit "severe" suicide. JI is already on watch for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 some sprinkles in northern md? we need reports people. and take cover as needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 some sprinkles in northern md? we need reports people. and take cover as needed.. Raining here now. Probably going to mess up the derecho. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 . Raining here now. Probably going to mess up the derecho. MDstorm so we remember the day when looking back: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Snow weenies are the wurst. You better hide come winter. You've made a couple comments this spring that I won't forget this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 so we remember the day when looking back: Untitled-2.jpg ZDR is just above zero with CC around 99%, I would guess some light sprinkles but that little heavier splotch to near 35dbz has some higher KdP in it. So maybe some heavier precip in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 so we remember the day when looking back: Untitled-2.jpg Got me bull's eyed . MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Winds gusting over 5mph IMBY. Starting to get worried about an old oak that is by the kitchen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Winds gusting over 5mph IMBY. Starting to get worried about an old oak that is by the kitchen. Secure your trash can covers pronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 ZDR is just above zero with CC around 99%, I would guess some light sprinkles but that little heavier splotch to near 35dbz has some higher KdP in it. So maybe some heavier precip in that area. some sort of boundary just pushed west across dc.. still heading west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 some sort of boundary just pushed west across dc.. still heading west. Maybe it will stall and cause a localized DC supercell tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 some sort of boundary just pushed west across dc.. still heading west. Almost looks like a reverse outflow on radar. What is that from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 some sort of boundary just pushed west across dc.. still heading west. The only hope we have is you 3 weenies bringing us the same luck you had on your trip. I am praying for Ianwoodymeddler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Watch the warmfront produce a huge tornado outbreak between 4 and 8 am when everyone's asleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 Almost looks like a reverse outflow on radar. What is that from? It's a sea breeze front (bay breeze actually), and has been slowly working west since it started around 6:45 (it crossed my station at 7:14). Interestingly, it hardly has a dew point change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Maybe it will stall and cause a localized DC supercell tomorrow. looks like it's targeting the snow weenie enclaves to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 It's a sea breeze front (bay breeze actually), and has been slowly working west since it started around 6:45 (it crossed my station at 7:14). Interestingly, it hardly has a dew point change. the cold atlantic is trying to attack us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 the cold atlantic is trying to attack us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 lots of nice supercells for this time of night in that eastern belt. looks like this one is undercut by outflow but warning for cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Looks like the stuff in OH is staying discrete for the time being and not really moving all that fast. The stuff back in northern IN has congealed and no longer discrete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Some cells starting to pop up in far western WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 CWG is going Storm Threat Level 3 tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 Some cells starting to pop up in far western WV. That should roll through here around 3-4 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1053 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1022 PM CDT WED JUN 12 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...OH...SW PA...NRN WV CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 301... VALID 130322Z - 130415Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 301 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE AND MAY INCREASE ACROSS WW 301 AS A LINEAR MCS APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. NEW WW ISSUANCE WILL BE NECESSARY TO REPLACE PORTIONS OF THE CURRENT WATCH. DISCUSSION...A BOWING LINEAR MCS IS CURRENTLY ORGANIZING ACROSS NCNTRL IND. THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE BOW IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES ESTIMATED TO BE IN THE 2500 TO 3500 J/KG. IN ADDITION...STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS IN PLACE WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR ESTIMATED BY WSR-88D VWPS AT 40 TO 50 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A SEVERE THREAT LATE THIS EVENING AS THE BOW CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. THE BOW SHOULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND WIND GUSTS ABOVE 70 KT WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE. A TORNADO THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST AS THE LINE MOVES INTO CNTRL AND ERN OH DUE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET. SUPERCELLS OUT AHEAD OF THE LINE WILL ALSO HAVE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND HAIL. ..BROYLES/HART.. 06/13/2013 ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 They're going warned very quickly. Tops in the 50-55k range. That should roll through here around 3-4 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 David Tolleris has not thrown in the towel on potential derecho for DC tomorrow judging from his comments. EDIT: " *** STAND BY ... NEW MODEL DATA COMING ... THINGS LOOKING WORSE FOR MORE OF VA MD ... new imnges out shortly" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 That MCS is going good now, measured reports of 65, estimated reports of 80 and a tractor trailer rolled on I-69 N of Indy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 00z NAM/GFS and 21z SREF look slightly more impressive than their previous runs. I bet SPC sticks with Moderate Risk for the region. Highest tornado threat MD/DE/SE PA/S NJ, but still relatively solid shot at severe weather into VA as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 00z NAM/GFS and 21z SREF look slightly more impressive than their previous runs. I bet SPC sticks with Moderate Risk for the region. Highest tornado threat MD/DE/SE PA/S NJ, but still relatively solid shot at severe weather into VA as well. Def agree... Prob more wind threat S of DCA... better tor threat between DCA and PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 David Tolleris has not thrown in the towel on potential derecho for DC tomorrow judging from his comments. EDIT: " *** STAND BY ... NEW MODEL DATA COMING ... THINGS LOOKING WORSE FOR MORE OF VA MD ...new imnges out shortly" i doubt it since he's been against a derecho in this area for days and was calling people morons earlier for saying it. the advertised threat east of the apps has never been a derecho tho some have misinterpreted it as that. who knows.. maybe the cold pool will just go nuts and it won't matter and it'll just roll continuously but the signs around here have been for development along the front as a mostly separate if interrelated entity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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