chris87 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looks like the GFS is a tad bit slower as well it also doesn't do any re-development south like 12z -- tracks the low through southern PA due east PA (NW to SE) and off the coast -- a bit fast for optimal timing but probably improved over 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I haven't done much of that since yesterday Your fine, i love your copy and pasting makes a lot less work for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looks like the GFS is a tad bit slower as well Not really.... 18z its 50-75 miles west of PHL... looks nothing like the NAM but it doesn't do what chris87 said above which helps some I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 18z 4km NAM sim radar continues to want to bring in some kind of complex between 2-5 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Howard Bernstein @hbwx 1m So if we only get severe storms and isol tornadoes, & no derecho, will you be angry? So much freaking out today.... http://fb.me/2bQO8rQdG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Our Derecho is now forming over northern Illinois Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Our Derecho is now forming over northern Illinois no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Torcon 5.. batten down the hatches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Torcon 5.. batten down the hatches TORCON - 5 MD, DE, north VA, DC; 3 to 4 east VA was from Forbes around noon... wedges here we come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Watch coming NW http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1046.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 There is some activity developing in Northern Ohio. I suspect this is the point of origin for any derecho event that may occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Watch coming NW http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1046.html Woo storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Watch coming NW http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1046.html Willing to bet NW 1/3 of LWX CWA gets added in since LWX was added to the MD As in prob Frederick Cty VA to Berkley WV to Washington Cty MD and W/NW in the STW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 There is some activity developing in Northern Ohio. I suspect this is the point of origin for any derecho event that may occur.I'm lookin towar FL for our derecho myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 There is some activity developing in Northern Ohio. I suspect this is the point of origin for any derecho event that may occur. You are mistaken I think those are just leading storms. The potential derecho is back west of chicago IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Not sure why we are discounting a derecho so soon. I suggest we all stay vigilant and keep watching out west because mother nature has done crazier things before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I'm lookin towar FL for our derecho myself Isnt that where our hurricane is coming from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Not sure why we are discounting a derecho so soon. I suggest we all stay vigilant and keep watching out west because mother nature has done crazier things before.We might have 4 or 5 derechos by morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 You are mistaken I think those are just leading storms. The potential derecho is back west of chicago IMO Well, the timing on the Chicago MCS would bring it into the region tommorow morning (6-10 am period?). Some of the high res models was bringing stuff in as early as 3 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 We might have 4 or 5 derechos by morning Days and days of derecho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 We might have 4 or 5 derechos by morning June 4 had 3 or 4 lines come through. One overnight. One at 3pm (Derecho) One at 6pm and a few supercells on that line and in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 meh or yeah? Somewhere in between right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Willing to bet NW 1/3 of LWX CWA gets added in since LWX was added to the MD As in prob Frederick Cty VA to Berkley WV to Washington Cty MD and W/NW in the STW Actually... more like Staunton to Luray to Winchester to Hagerstown and west would be my guess in the STW... with the storms moving SE out of SW PA only takes one to get into N VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Really, the derecho talk is still going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 June 4 had 3 or 4 lines come through. One overnight. One at 3pm (Derecho) One at 6pm and a few supercells on that line and in front of it. We could get a few rds. Still think unlikely the IL batch gets here before dying and that vorticity is the low that passes north. I mean who knows but that seems to be the plan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 No LWX counties in the new watch... but its a TOR and it has beefy wording and its right next door http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0301.html Mod across the board, but high for hail and wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 No LWX counties in the new watch... but its a TOR and it has beefy wording and its right next door http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0301.html Mod across the board, but high for hail and wind Almost has better probabilities than the PDS in the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looks like the GFS is a tad bit slower as well Maybe not slower but it came way north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Damn this thread is just as bad as when a winter storm is near by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The track of our derecho won't be known until it gets onshore from the NW Pacific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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