snowfan Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 They really caught fire a few years back during the big snow winter. They are incredibly popular within the local Baltimore school systems and some of the Baltimore news channels haven given them enough pub to maintain. never understood why anyone listens to them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 They really caught fire a few years back during the big snow winter. They are incredibly popular within the local Baltimore school systems and some of the Baltimore news channels haven given them enough pub to maintain. 60k likes on thier fb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 60k likes on thier fb Yeah. It's important to keep in mind that the average Joe/Mary doesn't know what the heck SPC or NWS is. They don't know that a website like twisterdata exists. They're weather dumb. The folks on this board represent a very small minority of the general public. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltimoreguy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 They really caught fire a few years back during the big snow winter. They are incredibly popular within the local Baltimore school systems and some of the Baltimore news channels haven given them enough pub to maintain. This is exactly it. They launched during the winter of Snowmageddon, and because they are relentless weenies, they call for the maximum possible impact from every storm (e.g., today's comments on "death and destruction"). They just so happened to hit the jackpot that winter on two historic storms, and their reputation was established. Strangely, they've continued to call for huge storms ever since and as a result have pretty much never been right, but people around here still trust them as the ultimate weather authority. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 This is exactly it. They launched during the winter of Snowmageddon, and because they are relentless weenies, they call for the maximum possible impact from every storm (e.g., today's comments on "death and destruction"). They just so happened to hit the jackpot that winter on two historic storms, and their reputation was established. Strangely, they've continued to call for huge storms ever since and as a result have pretty much never been right, but people around here still trust them as the ultimate weather authority. They are usually on the weenie side of things, but I've seen them nail things since then. People in the area find their page easy to access and easy to understand. That's all people really want these days, regardless of accuracy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I come back to DC for the first time in 2 years tomorrow....and I get this weather? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looks like most of the hi res models screw the dc area tomorrow. Go RGEM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looks like most of the hi res models screw the dc area tomorrow. Go RGEM! I hate this hobby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 $20 says we wake up to the MOD Risk gone and a 30% Slight Risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Dude, really? I'd rather see MoD post here than read this $20 says we wake up to the MOD Risk gone and a 30% Slight Risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The only type of weather the models are always correct on is heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I love people who don't know what they are talking about You do love yourself a little too much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Model hugging in summer. Wow. And we still get shafted - ok, in a bizarre way if you want death storms. At least we are consistent in sucking wind at getting severe in the summer as well as winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The only type of weather the models are always correct on is heat the euro is only always right when it doesn't give us snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 the euro is only always right when it doesn't give us snow You got that right. 100%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The storms haven't happened yet... how do we know which (if any) model is correct at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 $20 says we wake up to the MOD Risk gone and a 30% Slight Risk. I will take that bet... this is on the 0600z right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I hope this center of the low is along PA/MD line rather than central, or northward, PA. Reason being if low is that close we will stay cloudy Thursday. If low is in Central Pa or north we will break out into the sun and when that trailing tail whips through it's going to be bad and not lookin' for no splinters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The storms haven't happened yet... how do we know which (if any) model is correct at this point? That gets said about snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The storms haven't happened yet... how do we know which (if any) model is correct at this point? SREF and NAM out soon. Weeee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 You do love yourself a little too much... I see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 SREF and NAM out soon. Weeee. Consult a psychologist before viewing - side effects may include massive meh and depression. Though knowing this hobby they will probably suck us back in big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Still plenty of instability for a good bang. Violent tornadoes can stay over the plains not rooting for one here although it will happen someday and we are probably ill prepared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Still plenty of instability for a good bang. Violent tornadoes can stay over the plains not rooting for one here although it will happen someday and we are probably ill prepared. Probably is putting it kindly. Condsider bing stuck on the Beltway or I-95 when an EF2 or 3 comes a roarin'. Although most single-family homes here have some sort of basement to go to besides the townhomes with garages on the bottom floor. Not too mnay people would be aware of tornado sirens or have even practiced tornado safety either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 18z RAP suggests L will still be in E OH at 12z tomorrow (a random model while we wait for the 15z SREF/18z NAM killer combo) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 CRAS looks OK with the low position at least, but it drops due south to get there. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/images/cras45na_pcp_036m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 The storms haven't happened yet... how do we know which (if any) model is correct at this point? Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 LWX NOT MUCH CHANGE IN OUR CONCERN FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE ON THU AFTN. AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOPRES SYSTEM WILL TRACK EWD ACROSS PA TOMORROW WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE OH VLY. 12Z MODELS SHOW SMALL DIFFERENCES WITH TIMING OF THE FRONT DURING THE DAY BUT CURRENT THINKING IS FROPA WILL OCCUR LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO ALLOW FOR STRONG PRE-FRONTAL DESTABILIZATION EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE DURING THE MRNG ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM THE OVNGT MCS WILL IMPACT HEATING INITIALLY. 09Z SREF SHOWS A DECENT CHANCE /GREATER THAN 40 PERCENT/ OF SBCAPE VALUES GREATER THAN 2000 J/KG BY THE AFTN FROM I-95 EAST. COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS ALOFT /BULK SHEAR VALUES 40 KT OR GREATER/ AND DEEP LIFT...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY ORGANIZE DURING THE MIDDAY. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PARALLEL TO THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY FAVOR A LINEAR MODE OF CONVECTION WITH A LARGE BOWING SEGMENT CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. SPC HAS PLACED AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE IN A MODERATE RISK FOR TOMORROW. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. BASED ON THE EXPECTED LOCATION OF THE WARM FRONT...THERE WOULD BE AN ENHANCED RISK FOR A TORNADO NEAR THE MASON-DIXON LINE.&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 CRAS looks OK with the low position at least, but it drops due south to get there. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/images/cras45na_pcp_036m.gif Pulling out cras eh? This just got real!! Rap does a decent job on low placement and I have seen it lead the way many times inside 15hrs. Later runs will be interesting to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.