yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Woah... the 15z THUR sounding at KIAD is disturbing from IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 0Z nam slower again. Euro FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Woah... the 15z THUR sounding at KIAD is disturbing from IAD In what way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Woah... the 15z THUR sounding at KIAD is disturbing from IAD That's nasty.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 18z Thur is more impressive on several parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Woah... the 15z THUR sounding at KIAD is disturbing from IAD KHGR at 18Z has 93% supercell composite. Dear god. 91% at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 18z Thur at DCA has a 90.9 supercell potential lol. Oh Earl Barker... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 18z Thur is more impressive on several parameters. They're both really impressive for sure. BTW, I sent a PM with some color tables. Dunno if you got it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 In what way? That type of sounding is something we don't see much of around here... 18z THUR is also more of the same with 4000 CAPE... its very nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 They're both really impressive for sure. BTW, I sent a PM with some color tables. Dunno if you got it. Just checked! Got 'em thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I need Ian to come in here and say it is BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I need Ian to come in here and say it is BS.This might be about the best potential setup I've seen in the general region. But since it is here you gotta assume fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 So I just popped the 18z sounding at KIAD and saw a 0-3 km EHI of 6.5 and a relatively long sickle shaped hodograph... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 That's nasty.. Where can I find these Skew-T's with data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 This might be about the best potential setup I've seen in the general region. But since it is here you gotta assume fail. Strongly agree.. now we have to worry about the meh fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Where can I find these Skew-T's with data? http://wxcaster.com/model_skewt.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 So I just popped the 18z sounding at KIAD and saw a 0-3 km EHI of 6.5 and a relatively long sickle shaped hodograph... Any meanings to the shape of the hodograph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 $20 says the models are over playing surface dew points and thus the severe weather parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Any meanings to the shape of the hodograph? Ya good chance for tornadic storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 This might be about the best potential setup I've seen in the general region. But since it is here you gotta assume fail. Not sure if you've seen the SPC SREF maps coming in now - 15z on the supercell comp one and 18z on the tor ingredients one - Best since you've been here? that's saying a lot - we've had some good events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 $20 says the models are over playing surface dew points and thus the severe weather parameters. Where have you been? It has been humid as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Strongly agree.. now we have to worry about the meh failI actually wouldn't bet on a fully linear mode at least right away with the modeling. I mean if we are ever going to get a string of supercells this might be how it comes together. Even if it does trend linear there could be sig tor potential over a broad area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 $20 says the models are over playing surface dew points and thus the severe weather parameters. Didn't you say $20 yesterday's event was going to stay overcast with no severe wx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 I actually wouldn't bet on a fully linear mode at least right away with the modeling. I mean if we are ever going to get a string of supercells this might be how it comes together. Even if it does trend linear there could be sig tor potential over a broad area. These types of words should be banned when in presence of severe weenies... I know how Josh feels now when he sees a perfect hurricane heading his way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Didn't you say $20 yesterday's event was going to stay overcast with no severe wx? Either way nothing is going to happen locally, west of I-79 is looking better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Either way nothing is going to happen locally, west of I-79 is looking better. Did someone hack your account? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 This is pretty dang nice looking. 992mb over Pitt in June is a rarity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidjd1994 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 whats it looking like for central md? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 silly .. now just slow it down another three hrs or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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