LMolineuxLM1 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Might be Ryan and I down there this Thursday chasing this event. Last year we were the ones that nailed the Fallston, MD tornado on June 1st. We are waiting for tonight's 0Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Don't think we'll see much in my neck of the woods.. (Hopefully I'm wrong.. I'd actually like to see some exciting weather) I can see a "mountain jump" coming and all the good stuff will form in the Piedmont areas. Too bad I have to work or I would go chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Might be Ryan and I down there this Thursday chasing this event. Last year we were the ones that nailed the Fallston, MD tornado on June 1st. We are waiting for tonight's 0Z runs. lol you got hit by it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Derecho! Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Sooo wedge on the mall? Highly doubtful you'd have a nice photogenic wedge on the mall... a rainwrapped 2.6 mile wide EF5 hellstorm stretching from the Lincoln Memorial to the Library of Congress is far more likely. So can one of the local TV stations hire Val Castor for Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Are there any good examples of a similar summertime setup with a strengthening surface low passing thru PA? I've done a slightly more than cursory look and haven't found any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Well if the front came charging into today's air mass I don't think it would be much, winds mixing things up good and stabilize and looks like dews above the surface have lowered a lot. But if it comes charging into an air mass like Monday's then it would be a general area wide pounding. So which will it be? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Are there any good examples of a similar summertime setup with a strengthening surface low passing thru PA? I've done a slightly more than cursory look and haven't found any. Uncharted territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 ^ that looks like it coincides with what the 09z SREF was showing this morning... missed the 15z SREF and will wait to see what the 21z SREF shows re SigTor parameters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 Still thinking a linear storm mode threat for Thursday, good chance of some embedded sups. Perhaps a tail end charlie could put something down. Still no idea for Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Pretty self explanatory. -posted on Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Still thinking a linear storm mode threat for Thursday, good chance of some embedded sups. Perhaps a tail end charlie could put something down. Still no idea for Wed. Tomorrow is either going to have a few supercells in the region, an mcs dropping from the nw or nothing. Easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Tomorrow is either going to have a few supercells in the region, an mcs dropping from the nw or nothing. Easy. Well if there is a MCS that moves into the LWX CWA, it won't be till late night IMO... like after 10pm... so anything else before to me would be bonus... that's where I was kinda coming from earlier when you and I had that friendly battle over SLGT risk for day tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Well if there is a MCS that moves into the LWX CWA, it won't be till late night IMO... like after 10pm... so anything else before to me would be bonus... that's where I was kinda coming from earlier when you and I had that friendly battle over SLGT risk for day tomorrow SPC outlooks are valid from 12z to 12z - so even if the MCS was late night it would still be covered by that days day 1 outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 SPC outlooks are valid from 12z to 12z - so even if the MCS was late night it would still be covered by that days day 1 outlook. yoda needs to copy and paste the spc rulebook to something. both days are pretty conditional. tomorrow there might not be a real trigger.. then there are a multitude of things that could go wrong thursday despite the higher end potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 SPC outlooks are valid from 12z to 12z - so even if the MCS was late night it would still be covered by that days day 1 outlook. True... but I was more expecting it to come tomorrow on the 20z OTLK... not the 1730z Day 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 yoda needs to copy and paste the spc rulebook to something. both days are pretty conditional. tomorrow there might not be a real trigger.. then there are a multitude of things that could go wrong thursday despite the higher end potential. Hey now... I am trying to post some of my own thoughts interspersed with the copy and pasting I guess maybe lee trough or terrain induced storms as trigger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Mod risk for today gone. See, even SPC can't forecast a possible derecho a few hours in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Pretty sure most of us know about this already but - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/envbrowser/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Pretty sure most of us know about this already but - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/envbrowser/ Behold! The power of GIS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 It's times like this I wish I was just a snow weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Radar Sim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Before any storms actually form - I have seem some folks on here with the various GR software post some nice radar images with good color tables. Does anybody have suggestion on color tables (esp for GR2AE) other than the default ones? If you'd prefer (or the mods would prefer) you can PM me the files. Velocity is mainly what I am after but I'd also accept nice reflectivity tables as well. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Well NWS Pitt is game for widespread coming toward us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Is this for wed ot Thur Radar Sim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Is this for wed ot Thur I believe June 4, 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 it is funny I believe June 4, 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 That seems really early from Pitt... though it looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Lost a lot of my links when I switched to my new laptop. A good link or links to sim radar would be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 LWX HWO updated as of 945 added tornadoes to Thursday risk with large hail and damaging winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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