Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Now if we can get some unidericational winds <cough, Ian, cough> i think we're rooting for multidericational winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 i think we're rooting for multidericational winds I'm still trying to figure out what dericational means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 New SREF on the SPC site looks pretty robust. SREF SigTor ingredients look pretty high for us very late Wed night and again Thursday afternoon around 18z (in retrospect to the idea that it barely gets above like a 5 around here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 SREF SigTor ingredients look pretty high for us very late Wed night and again Thursday afternoon around 18z (in retrospect to the idea that it barely gets above like a 5 around here) Have the link? I'm Mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Have the link? I'm Mobile If you are mobile you will have a heck of a time viewing the SPC SREF site. It is not images like the NCEP site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Have the link? I'm Mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Hug the Euro. In Euro we trust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Novachris Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Hug the Euro. In Euro we trust. In NAM we bust? Might have to save that one for winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Hug the Euro. In Euro we trust. 996 L moving across S PA... severe weather wise that looks a bit ominous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 9996 L moving across S PA... severe weather wise that looks a bit ominous not sure a 9996 low is that good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 not sure a 9996 low is that good Mappy with the quick typo trigger finger today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 not sure a 9996 low is that good No, but a 9996 would still probably cause humongo problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Mappy with the quick typo trigger finger today. meh No, but a 9996 would still probably cause humongo problems would be one hell of a high pressure system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 spc should slight risk us on the new day 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 not sure a 9996 low is that good Nice catch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 spc should slight risk us on the new day 2. I don't see it... I see SLGT risk moving toward I-81 corridor and us maybe getting 5%... MOD risk is coming regardless I believe reading the GRR updated disco from the Lakes/Ohio Valley forum on 1730 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 I don't see it... I see SLGT risk moving toward I-81 corridor and us maybe getting 5%... MOD risk is coming regardless I believe reading the GRR updated disco from the Lakes/Ohio Valley forum on 1730 You think we get a day 2 MOD tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 You think we get a day 2 MOD tomorrow? If we do.. prob won't be till 1730z IMO. Likely want to see the 12z runs and the evolution of the MCS complex first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 here comes mroe derecho talk SPC d1: SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO A SVR FORWARD-PROPAGATING/ POSSIBLE DERECHO-PRODUCING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 here comes mroe derecho talk SPC d1: SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO A SVR FORWARD-PROPAGATING/ POSSIBLE DERECHO-PRODUCING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. Let the media frenzy commence! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Let the media frenzy commence! Hopefully cwg and other outlets can resist the tempation to use _____ageddon vernacular for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 here comes mroe derecho talk SPC d1: SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO A SVR FORWARD-PROPAGATING/ POSSIBLE DERECHO-PRODUCING CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. Folks that operate the Bay Bridge and those in charge at BGE will still say they didn't have enough advance warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 12Z GFS sounding for KBWI at 18z THUR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 I only care about hodorgraphs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 12z GFS at DCA for 18z THUR... SBCAPE of 5000 seems a bit much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Folks that operate the Bay Bridge and those in charge at BGE will still say they didn't have enough advance warning. SquallOfDoom a derecho out west doesn't necessarily mean much for us.. those guys get like 2 a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 yoda's going to be wrong about tomorrow. they might not slight us till tomorrow but it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Hopefully cwg and other outlets can resist the tempation to use _____ageddon vernacular for this event. CWG has already issued tweets regarding the "derecho" and saying to not get too far ahead of ourselves Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather 22h Ratcheting down the derecho hype, but recognizing the risk (late Wednesday): http://wapo.st/19Ys5Nh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 Well, those 12z runs were mighty impressive looking to say the least for thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 11, 2013 Share Posted June 11, 2013 CWG has already issued tweets regarding the "derecho" and saying to not get too far ahead of ourselves Capital Weather Gang @capitalweather 22h Ratcheting down the derecho hype, but recognizing the risk (late Wednesday): http://wapo.st/19Ys5Nh everyone locally saying not to hype is helping the odds of a derecho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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