wxmeddler Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 80/72 at DCA this hour w/ 10 mph wind out of the south. We're getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 80/72 at DCA this hour w/ 10 mph wind out of the south. We're getting there.Nothing like a 2 pm downpour to prime the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Can we get a pin? Tornado Watch till 10 PM just issued 858 WWUS30 KWNS 101759 SAW3 SPC AWW 101759 WW 293 TORNADO DC DE MD NC NJ PA VA WV CW 101800Z - 110200Z AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 40SW AVC/SOUTH HILL VA/ - 30NW ILG/WILMINGTON DE/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /27NNE RDU - 38SSW ETX/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030. LAT...LON 36258044 39977797 39977401 36257666 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Watch goes pretty far west. That's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Plentiful to copious sunshine behind the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 I am in that cell in PW, just west of Dale City and I can report an absolute torrent of rain falling the last 15-20 minutes with a few claps of thunder and little wind. The rain is strikingly heavy, flooding out the street, patio and backyard. I'd say at least an inch has fallen from this one cell/shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Novachris Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 storms beginning to fire west of Roanoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Same tor probs as the TOR watch to the south of ours -- http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0293.html DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVE ALONG THE NRN EXTENSIONS OF THE SAME THE CONFLUENCE AXES RESPONSIBLE FOR STORMS NOW IN THE CAROLINAS. WHILE MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN MODEST...SFC HEATING AND FAIRLY RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE SHOULD YIELD SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY FOR SUSTAINED STORMS AND POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS GIVEN STRENGTHENING MID-LVL FLOW /WITH SWLY 500 MB FLOW AROUND 50 KTS/ AND ASCENT EXPECTED WITH THE CONTINUED EWD MOVEMENT OF TN VLY UPR TROUGH. POTENTIAL FOR LOW-LVL MESOCYCLONES MAY BE ENHANCED NEAR DIFFUSE WARM FRONT IN SE PA/NE MD/DE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 yay another severe wx thread. We should split this thread in early Pm and a late pm thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Let's all go chasing!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Initial storms are using a weak vort max / incoming LLJ for sustainment. The cell SW of DCA does have some weak rotation. I'm not sure if these will be able to do it but the environment over the Chesapeake region ahead of them seems supportive, despite a ton of crap convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Let's all go chasing!!! what time you picking me up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 yay another severe wx thread. We should split this thread in early Pm and a late pm thread why you feel the need to troll svr stuff? no different than taking a long term disco thread in winter and making a thread for a specific storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 why you feel the need to troll svr stuff? no different than taking a long term disco thread in winter and making a thread for a specific storm. LOL. come on Ian lighten up. Just having fun, it is no different than you trolling us in the winter, it is fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Let's all go chasing!!! If there's anything interesting north of the beltway, ideally west, I may take a peek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Chasing on horseback or via canoe probably the best options around here, to avoid the clogged up roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Sad to say tornaodo chasers would actually be an improvement over normal beltway drivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 All the crap convection makes me wonder about the potential. It feels more like a heavy rain day than a tornado day. (I haven't looked at the shear) only at the radar and my own back yard temperature and RH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Once this ''line'' clears DC metro, it goes mostly sun. That plus near 70 degree dew points should yield at least a storm or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 All the crap convection makes me wonder about the potential. It feels more like a heavy rain day than a tornado day. (I haven't looked at the shear) only at the radar and my own back yard temperature and RH. No fishing today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 All the crap convection makes me wonder about the potential. It feels more like a heavy rain day than a tornado day. (I haven't looked at the shear) only at the radar and my own back yard temperature and RH. mesoanalysis still showing ~2000+ CAPE behind the line so might be OK. i do think more often than not, not just here, a band like this during prime heating is not great if you want to hit potential. the secondary line is pretty far west.. we prob want something else to pop in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Getting blitzed here. This is going to be a week to remember. More concerned about later in the week though. Setting the line at 2 confirmed TORs in our region this evening. The sun that is going to break out soon is going to pave the way for what could be a dangerous evening in the mid-atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 mesoanalysis still showing ~2000+ CAPE behind the line so might be OK. i do think more often than not, not just here, a band like this during prime heating is not great if you want to hit potential. the secondary line is pretty far west.. we prob want something else to pop in between. 1500 MLCAPE is nosing in as well... 0-1km shear is decent at 25 kts too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 mesoanalysis still showing ~2000+ CAPE behind the line so might be OK. i do think more often than not, not just here, a band like this during prime heating is not great if you want to hit potential. the secondary line is pretty far west.. we prob want something else to pop in between. *weenie* Strongest sun angle and longest days of the year are right now *weenie* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 No fishing today? When I woke up at 4 it was thundering so I went back to bed. It looked like a dicey day today weatherwise for being on the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 All the crap convection makes me wonder about the potential. It feels more like a heavy rain day than a tornado day. (I haven't looked at the shear) only at the radar and my own back yard temperature and RH. The shear isn't all that bad for this area, It's enough to put down some small tor's given a good thermodynamic environment. I think your right though about the possibility of too much crapvection in the sunshine sector. Water loading might/is going to be an issue too, PWAT's are 1.8-2.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Raining again. Lovin this weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 *weenie* Strongest sun angle and longest days of the year are right now *weenie* i guess im cautiously optimistic but not sure what else to expect at this pt.. my thoughts already verified, so might be a good time to just watch. still would rather have had different timing where we are now tho vis sat looks decent to the sw. on the flip side maybe later is good then i can go to the Mall.. or get Mark to come pick me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 blue skies all over now that the line of showers is passing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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