MidwestChaser Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:18 AM, PatrickSumner said: It would support the current day 2 outlook by SPC, however. Who cares? It's going to be different soon anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:21 AM, MidwestChaser said: Who cares? It's going to be different soon anyway. How different is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:14 AM, Stebo said: Yeah I am not so sure about that evolution, especially with the low moving West to East. Correct me if i'm wrong but don't night time MCS's usually like to move toward the more unstable air? If so, isn't that scenario possible or something like it but not as much southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:18 AM, PatrickSumner said: It would support the current day 2 outlook by SPC, however. Which is almost 12 hours old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:22 AM, snowlover2 said: Correct me if i'm wrong but don't night time MCS's usually like to move toward the more unstable air? If so, isn't that scenario possible or something like it but not as much southeast? Mean winds dont support that type of movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 A few images off of the new 00z NSSL WRF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:22 AM, Chargers09 said: Which is almost 12 hours old. But it's over Marion, which is important!!!111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:14 AM, Stebo said: Yeah I am not so sure about that evolution, especially with the low moving West to East. Thought the same thing. Could see it diving a bit given the placement of the instability axis and the steering flow but that might be a bit overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:24 AM, MidwestChaser said: But it's over Marion, which is important!!!111 !1111!11111 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:22 AM, PatrickSumner said: Who cares? It's going to be different soon anyway. How different is the question. Yeah, I don't think you'll be posting here anymore very soon, as trends are looking more and more craptastic for Marion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 GFS decidedly north with the storm complex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 RAP continues to be the most aggressive with the lake breeze and earliest with CI, after 19z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 Looking ahead, more good potential behind this event after a couple day break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:28 AM, M4dRefluX said: Yeah, I don't think you'll be posting here anymore very soon, as trends are looking more and more craptastic for Marion LOL. I am in Seymour. Soooo. Don't worry I have a car and gas. I will go and see it if my heart desires. (Which it does) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:43 AM, Hoosier said: Looking ahead, more good potential behind this event after a couple day break. yep, GFS likes Sat/Sun. Just like a winter storm parade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 5:25 AM, Hoosier said: Thought the same thing. Could see it diving a bit given the placement of the instability axis and the steering flow but that might be a bit overdone. Yeah eventually it would shift, although i do believe the instability axis will be lifting northeastward which could offset any hard right turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Must be some debate over something if new Day 1 is 5 mins late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Yeah I really think they have to be contemplating a high with this long of delay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:07 AM, yoda said: Must be some debate over something if new Day 1 is 5 mins late I've hit refresh like 50 times in the past 10 minutes. Congrats on your moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 SPC seems to be taking their time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:09 AM, Hoosier said: I've hit refresh like 50 times in the past 10 minutes. Congrats on your moderate. Sidebar, the potential in the Mid Atlantic looks incredible for that region on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:09 AM, Hoosier said: I've hit refresh like 50 times in the past 10 minutes. Congrats on your moderate. So did I And thanks... stay safe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:08 AM, Stebo said: Yeah I really think they have to be contemplating a high with this long of delay. What threat would it be for though? 60% hatched wind is pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:11 AM, Hoosier said: What threat would it be for though? 60% hatched wind is pretty rare. Has to be, I can't see it being a 30% tor even though the tornado potential is very real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:11 AM, Hoosier said: What threat would it be for though? 60% hatched wind is pretty rare. That would have to be it... or someone forgot to hit the send button... Day 2 was sent out at 2:02 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 No way they go high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Almost 15 minutes late. Must be a good debate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:13 AM, yoda said: That would have to be it... or someone forgot to hit the send button... Day 2 was sent out at 2:02 AM Can't remember a SPC update being this late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 On 6/12/2013 at 6:13 AM, Stebo said: Has to be, I can't see it being a 30% tor even though the tornado potential is very real. 10/26/10 had a 60% hatched wind. I think there have been one or two in the Plains but other than that I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 12, 2013 Share Posted June 12, 2013 Moderate extended north to IL/WI border, western edge on the IA/IL border. Wow, 10% hatched tor probs all of northern IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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