Brian5671 Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Great day to dry it out some....Upton only going for 30% chance of a t-storm tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 It's awesome out there. Off to Dartmouth for friendship soccer tournament and than a wedding this evening. Looks like my low was right around 50F and will go up to 80F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 wow WoW WOW WOW The power of positive thinking will always prevail! SUNSATIONAL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Beautiful day....almost ready to go Mr Torchey on y'all...lol. This is splendid weather. Best forecaster alive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 High water taking its toll, some kids went tubing this morning in the farmy and one didn't make it out, FD and state troopers all over the river from New Hartford to Collinsville, sad but it was a dumb idea to even go near the river right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 Best forecaster alive Thanks man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 And after all this, I wake up to pollen covering my car. Still spewing its yellow death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 And after all this, I wake up to pollen covering my car. Still spewing its yellow death.Yup I don't get it. Usually it's 1-2 weeks. This year pollen all summer. Just washed and waxed the truck. Dance recital all day FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 Yup I don't get it. Usually it's 1-2 weeks. This year pollen all summer. Just washed and waxed the truck. Dance recital all day FTL Will you be in a tutu? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 High water taking its toll, some kids went tubing this morning in the farmy and one didn't make it out, FD and state troopers all over the river from New Hartford to Collinsville, sad but it was a dumb idea to even go near the river right now Coast Guard chopper flying up and down the river when I walked through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Looks like Euro FTW with holding any showed/ storms off till evening at earliest tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Bummer I am working but best day ever out here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Bummer I am working but best day ever out here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 Bummer I am working but best day ever out here? Working today and tomorrow as well..swing shift. Figures, one of the best weekends of the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 Looks like Euro FTW with holding any showed/ storms off till evening at earliest tomorrow Euro gets you rain after 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 High water taking its toll, some kids went tubing this morning in the farmy and one didn't make it out, FD and state troopers all over the river from New Hartford to Collinsville, sad but it was a dumb idea to even go near the river right nowOh that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Bummer I am working but best day ever out here?COC to the max, loving a 3 day weekend, water running everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 I wish we could bottle up today for all summer. A dry 75-80 with a breeze is pretty much perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 15, 2013 Author Share Posted June 15, 2013 I wish we could bottle up today for all summer. A dry 75-80 with a breeze is pretty much perfect. Yes. These are the days I love. Much better than hoping for severe fail storms when we have high dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro gets you rain after 4pm. Right storms in the evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Working today and tomorrow as well..swing shift. Figures, one of the best weekends of the summer. Swing on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Yeah these days are best...bluebird and the sun warms the house up from the overnight chill. Got down to 43F early this morning and already near 70F out there with no humidity at all. SLK was frosty at 33F but they'll already be hitting the mid-60s here at 11. Quick rebound day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 68/37 NNW 10 G 17 Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro ensembles last night tried to bring some heat back in for next weekend. A reverse from yesterday's trend and back to the chances it showed a couple days ago. We'll have to see if we can sneak a couple days in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Just spent 3 1/2 hours mowing--done with that for the day. Maybe do the rest tomorrow. Really nice out there, though. 69.3/44. Off to the dumpl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Just spent 3 1/2 hours mowing--done with that for the day. Maybe do the rest tomorrow. Really nice out there, though. 69.3/44. Off to the dumpl only 3.5 hrs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Really nice out there, though. 69.3/44. Off to take a dumpl Tmi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 12z gfs looks great, I'd take that in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 12z gfs looks great, I'd take that in a heartbeat.What does it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 15, 2013 Share Posted June 15, 2013 Euro ensembles last night tried to bring some heat back in for next weekend. A reverse from yesterday's trend and back to the chances it showed a couple days ago. We'll have to see if we can sneak a couple days in. The signal is definitely there... but I think there's a disconnect between it and the tendency for convoluted flow N of the border; it will be interesting to see which wins, but the seasonal trend has been nodding toward the N. Notice the operational Euro drops a buzz-saw down central Canada, and uses it to destroy the signal rather abruptly shortly after D6 or 7? That's likely the Euro bias of over boring heights out downwind of mid latitude ridges. I don't see a lot of counter-balancing mass-field that would be necessary to support the presence of -4SD closed "Day After Tomorrow" juggernaut vortex like it has. I am confident that feature gets tamed in future runs at some point. If you look closely at the 144 to 168 hour difference, it really illustrates nicely how/why the Euro does this bias -- it appears to almost manufacture a secondary speed max from nothing, carving the U/A mid levels back SW, and then benefits/uses it out in time to usurp the entire height field from 60N to 35N over eastern N/A, because suddenly it has to then conserve the momentum of that "phantom" deepening. It's fractals at their best -- spontaneous emergent forces superimposing constructively to destroy reality - haha. If that secondary wind max is weaker ... and I bet it either is, or non-existent as usual, everything changes significantly in the late middle range with the circulation overall. It could very easily mean that the Euro is blinding its self from an emerging warm pattern -- for the time being. And this is a notable bias in the Euro for its later middle ranges and onward. I mean, sure ... there are other reasons not to trust any model beyond D5, but the Euro has more definitive error behaviors than the GFS, which is just inherently like an unmanned fire-hose, spraying randomness all over the landscape every other run in its deeper ranges. I know the Euro does regressions to smooth for errors; I can almost imagine that some errors escape that clean-up effort and end up ballooning in time, perhaps. Anyway, the American derived NAO is still concertedly rising through D7. The last time it motivated that much we had the midland-scaled heat wave 3 weeks ago. Obviously the wave-lengths at this time of year make that teleconnector trickier to use, but at some point, gaining some 2SD and more should have an influence backward on the flow in perhaps raising eastern N/A heights. So there is that too. In the end, could be a wavy boundary N of us with occasional heat/humidity sort of deal, with thunder chances, more so than a death dome of heat. At least through D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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