Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Two more cool days coming up. Almost through one summer month with barely any heat. Yeah, I really have very little confidence that this particular summer will ever deliver the heat goods.. We just cannot seem to rid ourselves of the anomalous N/S nature to the flow ("buckled nature"). No sooner do we see the various operational types attempt to at last flatten the flow/expand subtropical ridge, then a couple cycles later we get another ridge node parked 55 or 60N somewhere over Canada and around and around we go. The Euro showed a full on ridge over the CONUS for 3 cycles, and now, complete and utter mass-field reversal. Care to gamble on which verifies ? Maybe there is something like a science fiction, "conservation of atmospheric momentum" in play, and that hemisphere is still reeling from nasty QBO/Statospheric naughtiness. Who knows, but it's hard to knock such consistency. The buckled version is what keeps verifying. Makes the low end heat wave back 2 weeks ago seem pretty rarefied when put into perspective of unrelenting cool/wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Would this current weather pattern hurt or help any tropical potential later in the summer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 This will certainly cement a high dew mid/ late summer with all the groundwater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 What a cluster fuk. Slept through the alarm, didn't order wake up and missed my flight. Red eye tonight. Dinner and drinks too late last night with my sons ftw and my delayed return FTL. Perfect week to miss back east as the wx here has been stupendous but I'm stuck at SFO for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Would this current weather pattern hurt or help any tropical potential later in the summer? Good ...complicated question. There are studies out there about soil moisture over eastern N/A and correlations to troughing -vs- ridging. In fact, this applies to everywhere on the planet; the physics of air/land coupled model do not vary between Europe, China, Africa, Australia and the USA. It's the same everywhere. Why that's potentially important is because enhanced soil moisture tends to correlate with troughs. As an immediate pre-requisite for establishing enhanced threat for the east coast is to have some kind of semi permanent weakness established in the mean subtropical ridging from the MS to the EC, whereby TC's can be lured in by favorable steering fields. Just knowing this conceptually sort of backs us into a tentative assumption that the increased eastern rains may mean more activity, but that is all supposition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 What a cluster fuk. Slept through the alarm, didn't order wake up and missed my flight. Red eye tonight. Dinner and drinks too late last night with my sons ftw and my delayed return FTL. Perfect week to miss back east as the wx here has been stupendous but I'm stuck at SFO for the day Not a bad place to be stuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Not a bad place to be stuck.Toetapping at the airport? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Not a bad place to be stuck.Toetapping at the airport? Actually I decided to check my bag, take the BART into the city, and walk around this spectacular city until I have to return in about 9 hours. More OT but Bruins game...painful five it was already late here when it ended...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 If clouds aren't too much of an issue..could be quite warm Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Good shot at storms late Mon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Good shot at storms late Mon? Perhaps... The actual frontal timing through the area is overnight, which may be late, but if it warm sectors early enough in the day than heating may aid a prefrontal trough, and those often pool theta-e/instability well ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 It's fun watching the Mid Atlantic subforum flip out about the severe storms going through the Beltway. PDS watches get everyone crazy (including the warning forecasters sometimes). Lots of scud on the shelf cloud being reported as tornadoes methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 It's fun watching the Mid Atlantic subforum flip out about the severe storms going through the Beltway. PDS watches get everyone crazy (including the warning forecasters sometimes). Lots of scud on the shelf cloud being reported as tornadoes methinks. Yeah I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Yeah I agree. Looked like the RFD outflow may have tried to spin something up near Rockville, MD, but otherwise it was a lot of posters experiencing severe criteria for the first time and attributing it to a tornado just because of the warning they were under. HP storms are so difficult for untrained spotters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I'm feeling like Joe here. Cloudless, low 70s, sitting outside sipping ice coffee and doing some work in the city by the bay......made some nice lemonade from the lemons of missing my morning flight and I missed a week of yuk. No real heat in site it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 The only silver lining was warm sectoring yesterday all afternoon Except it didn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 I'm feeling like Joe here. Cloudless, low 70s, sitting outside sipping ice coffee and doing some work in the city by the bay......made some nice lemonade from the lemons of missing my morning flight and I missed a week of yuk. No real heat in site it seems. Sounds like you're having a good time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Except it didn't.Yes it did son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 warm-sector is anything above 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted June 13, 2013 Share Posted June 13, 2013 Yes it did son No, not "all afternoon." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Guess that storm: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Guess that storm: Blizzard of '78 It's a trick question, the car makes you think it must have been in the 1940's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Blizzard of '78 It's a trick question, the car makes you think it must have been in the 1940's. Looks like a Beetle, hard to tell what year but probably 70s. Funny, my parents lived in GER and moved to NJ and imported a Volvo and Beetle, in '77. The beetle was stripped in the Bronx after breaking down. They bought another and a year later, was stolen in Bayonne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Looks like a Beetle, hard to tell what year but probably 70s. Funny, my parents lived in GER and moved to NJ and imported a Volvo and Beetle, in '77. The beetle was stripped in the Bronx after breaking down. They bought another and a year later, was stolen in Bayonne. Now that you said that, it makes more sense. A Beetle. Wasn't thinking about that for some reason. But yeah, the Bronx is the last place you want your car to break down. That's crazy how your parents had their car stolen within years of each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Warm day as of the 5pm climate reports... BDL takes the cake with a -20 on the high temp, lol. BDR...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp BDL...-13 on the day, -20 on the high temp ORH...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp PVD...-9 on the day, -14 on the high temp BOS...-5 on the day, -8 on the high temp The calls for a chilly day would appear to be correct...and I think it puts ORH and BDL below normal for June now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Warm day as of the 5pm climate reports... BDL takes the cake with a -20 on the high temp, lol. BDR...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp BDL...-13 on the day, -20 on the high temp ORH...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp PVD...-9 on the day, -14 on the high temp BOS...-5 on the day, -8 on the high temp The calls for a chilly day would appear to be correct...and I think it puts ORH and BDL below normal for June now. -20, wow, still the best day ever though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Warm day as of the 5pm climate reports... BDL takes the cake with a -20 on the high temp, lol. BDR...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp BDL...-13 on the day, -20 on the high temp ORH...-7 on the day, -12 on the high temp PVD...-9 on the day, -14 on the high temp BOS...-5 on the day, -8 on the high temp The calls for a chilly day would appear to be correct...and I think it puts ORH and BDL below normal for June now. Yeah both ORH and BDL are below avg in June now. They were both only +0.2 coming into today. A -3 daily would have wiped that out. BDL will prob be like -0.7 tomorrow morning on the month and ORH -0.4 or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Please tell me it's not going to rain on Sunday now. Please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 I am trying to calculate the average highs for May and June (year-over-year). But, when I went to wunderground, it looks like it calculates the monthly average as the monthly high vs. the monthly low. Shouldn't the aveage be the sume of the daily highs divided by the number of days? Any idea how to extract that from Wunderground? I'm pretty sure I can pull it from the station data loaded on my wife's computers. But....that's on my wife's computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted June 14, 2013 Share Posted June 14, 2013 Finally next week is looking dry including this weekend. Monday and Tuesday we might get some rain but nothing crazy. I want my torch back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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