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Swooning through June


CoastalWx

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Nice bump north on the NAM for the late week system. Some of these progs look ridiculous for this time of year.

 

It's so ridiculously anomalous that one must wonder when the other shoe should fall, and we end up with something more tame .. anomalous, yes, but 4 to 5" ?   

 

It can happen.  It's a 4 SD (est) type deal, in a beyond 48-hour NAM solution, when the Euro is inside of 4.5 days and says tamer.   

 

I dunno.  NCEP (Cisco) was making statements that sounded like they were accepting the convective feedback as legit -- maybe this a NAM coup in the making. 

 

I tell you what...  we seem to be living in an era when anomalies are the standard, both hot and cold.  The funny thing is, they still normalize a norm.  Weird.  It can't seem to rain or snow without it being drowning or up to our ***holes.  We can't seem to get cool and warm without it being frost in May or 90-100 in May.  It's the era of extremes.  So now we are in June, and some GGEM solutions try to snow in the elevations, N. While the 12z Euro has a Sonoran heat release that would erase all negative anomalies on the month -- possibly belying that journey. 

 

Some would say it is symptomatic of a climate gone awry.  Maybe they are right.  Why? Who knows.  But one thing we all can agree on, quiescence seems to be a distancing memory as it's either Sandy or repeating 20 to 30" snow bombs....interspersed with the occasional death heat.  

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It's so ridiculously anomalous that one must wonder when the other shoe should fall, and we end up with something more tame .. anomalous, yes, but 4 to 5" ?   

 

It can happen.  It's a 4 SD (est) type deal, in a beyond 48-hour NAM solution, when the Euro is inside of 4.5 days and says tamer.   

 

I dunno.  NCEP (Cisco) was making statements that sounded like they were accepting the convective feedback as legit -- maybe this a NAM coup in the making. 

 

I tell you what...  we seem to be living in an era when anomalies are the standard, both hot and cold.  The funny thing is, they still normalize a norm.  Weird.  It can't seem to rain or snow without it being drowning or up to our ***holes.  We can't seem to get cool and warm without it being frost in May or 90-100 in May.  It's the era of extremes.  So now we are in June, and some GGEM solutions try to snow in the elevations, N. While the 12z Euro has a Sonoran heat release that would erase all negative anomalies on the month -- possibly belying that journey. 

 

Some would say it is symptomatic of a climate gone awry.  Maybe they are right.  Why? Who knows.  But one thing we all can agree on, quiescence seems to be a distancing memory as it's either Sandy or repeating 20 to 30" snow bombs....interspersed with the occasional death heat.

It's not so much the rain amount, but rather how dynamic the storm looks for the time of year. The mid-levels really go to town.
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Man we cannot wait for this early next week

ARLY NEXT WEEK...
UNSETTLED WX RETURNS FOR MON INTO WED NEXT WEEK AS TROUGH MOVES
IN FROM THE W. APPEARS THAT THE FIRST ROUND OF PRECIP WOULD BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT ON MON ALLOWING SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO
THE WARM SECTOR FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
CONVECTION TOWARD MID WEEK. TEMPS/DWPTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
LEADING TO WARM/MUGGY CONDITIONS.
NOT EXPECTING A FULL WASHOUT IN
TERMS OF PRECIP...BUT PERIODS OF SHOWERS/T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

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Man we cannot wait for this early next week

ARLY NEXT WEEK...

UNSETTLED WX RETURNS FOR MON INTO WED NEXT WEEK AS TROUGH MOVES

IN FROM THE W. APPEARS THAT THE FIRST ROUND OF PRECIP WOULD BE

ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM FRONT ON MON ALLOWING SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO

THE WARM SECTOR FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR

CONVECTION TOWARD MID WEEK. TEMPS/DWPTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE

LEADING TO WARM/MUGGY CONDITIONS. NOT EXPECTING A FULL WASHOUT IN

TERMS OF PRECIP...BUT PERIODS OF SHOWERS/T-STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

 

Meh.

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You and your east winds lol

 

Hmm, looks like I was right for yesterday?

 

Friday has nothing to do with that, this storm will be slow to depart at the upper levels capture it. The deepening trough will also ensure clouds and cooler wx even if it departs a little quicker.

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Your problem is you just don't admit when you're wrong. You were wrong yesterday. It got to past Sturbridge

 

LOL it never got past Sturbridge and you never got past 70. Does warm sectoring for an hour at 6 in the evening count as a win? All these forecasts of sun and butterflies near the Pike failed miserably.

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LOL it never got past Sturbridge and you never got past 70. Does warm sectoring for an hour at 6 in the evening count as a win? All these forecasts of sun and butterflies near the Pike failed miserably.

It was thru here by 1:00. It was a sunny afternoon till storms late. I remember Allison saying at one of the gtg you never admit you're wrong and very stubborn
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